| Literature DB >> 24625322 |
Bo Feng, Rui-Feng Yang, Qing Xie, Jia Shang, Fan-Yun Kong, Hai-Ying Zhang, Hui-Ying Rao, Qian Jin, Xu Cong, Yun-Ye Liu, Yi Kang, Lai Wei1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Earlier kinetics of serum HCV core antigen (HCVcAg) and its predictive value on sustained virological response (SVR) were investigated in patients with genotype 1 HCV infection during antiviral treatment.Entities:
Mesh:
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Year: 2014 PMID: 24625322 PMCID: PMC3995626 DOI: 10.1186/1471-230X-14-47
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Gastroenterol ISSN: 1471-230X Impact factor: 3.067
Baseline patient characteristics for patients with sustained virological response (SVR) and non-sustained virological response (N-SVR)
| Male/female | 10/6 | 6/10 | 0.325 |
| Age (years) | 41.90 ± 11.08 | 51.36 ± 8.31 | 0.019 |
| ALT (U/L) | 47.38 ± 3.65 | 47.27 ± 6.87 | 0.988 |
| HCV RNA (log10 IU/mL) | 6.39 ± 0.57 | 6.21 ± 1.14 | 0.557 |
| HCVcAg (log10 fmol/L) | 3.61 ± 0.54 | 3.75 ± 0.36 | 0.441 |
| No. of each cohortsa | 6/3/7/5 | 2/6/2/1 | 0.057 |
aThe numbers of patients in each cohorts (Y PegIFN α-2b 90 μg, 135 μg, 180 μg, and PegIFNα-2a 180 μg).
Figure 1Dynamic changes of HCVcAg and HCV RNA levels during antiviral treatment. Following antiviral treatment, serum HCVcAg levels closely track those of HCV RNA and rapidly declined within the first 4 weeks.
Figure 2ROCs of predictive values of ∆HCVcAg at various time points of the first 12 weeks on SVR. AUROCs calculated were 0.835, 0.814, 0.870, 0.866, 0.879, 0.913, 0.853, 0.823 and 0.719 at 24 h, 48 h, 72 h, 96 h, 120 h, 144 h, and weeks 4, 8, 12.
Area under the ROC curve (AUROC), sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values of sustained virological response based on a log 10 decrease in total HCV core antigen, across cutpoints and timepoints after initial antiviral treatment
| AUROC | 0.835 | 0.814 | 0.870 | 0.866 | 0.879 | 0.913 | 0.913 | 0.853 | 0.823 | 0.719 |
| (95% CI) | (0.691-0.980) | (0.663-0.965) | (0.742-0.998) | (0.738-0.994) | (0.760-0.998) | (0.799-1.000) | (0.799-1.000) | (0.720-0.985) | (0.680-0.965) | (0.520-0.917) |
| Cutoffa | 0.785 | 1.090 | 1.034 | 1.262 | 1.138 | 0.976 | 1.096 | 3.231 | 3.780 | 3.770 |
| Sensitivity | 0.810 | 0.762 | 0.810 | 0.810 | 0.810 | 0.952 | 0.762 | 0.714 | 0.667 | 0.667 |
| Specificity | 0.818 | 0.727 | 0.818 | 0.818 | 0.818 | 0.700 | 0.800 | 0.909 | 1.000 | 0.818 |
| PPV | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.913 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
| NPV | 0.846 | 0.846 | 0.846 | 0.846 | 0.846 | 1.000 | 0.769 | 0.687 | 0.611 | 0.687 |
AUROC, areas under the univariate receiver operating characteristic curve; PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value.
aCutoff was defined as change of log 10 fmol/L.
Figure 3ROC curves of predictive values of HCV RNA at week 4 on sustained virological response (SVR). When the optimal cutoff value was 3.770, the corresponding AUROC was 0.854 (95% CI 0.705-1.000).
Predictive values and Area under the ROC curve (AUROC) of sustained virological response based on a log 10 decrease in total HCV core antigen and HCV RNA concentrations after initial antiviral treatment
| ∆HCVcAg (log10 fmol/L) | | | |
| 144 h | 100% | 76.9% | 0.913 (0.799-1.000) |
| Week 4 | 100% | 68.7% | 0.853 (0.720-0.985) |
| Week 8 | 100% | 61.1% | 0.823 (0.680-0.965) |
| Week 12 | 100% | 68.7% | 0.719 (0.520-0.917) |
| ∆HCV RNA (log10 IU/mL) | | | |
| Week 4 | 100% | 70.6% | 0.854 (0.705-1.000) |
PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value; AUROC, areas under the univariate receiver operating characteristic curve.
Comparison of predictive power of a log decrease in HCVcAg at 144 h and rapid virological response (RVR)/early virological response (EVR)
| ∆HCV Ag ≥ 1 log | 0.952 | 0.727 | 0.875 | 0.870 | 0.889 |
| RVR | 0.286 | 1.000 | 0.531 | 1.000 | 0.423 |
| EVR | 1.000 | 0.273 | 0.750 | 0.724 | 1.000 |
Figure 4Influence of baseline parameters on ∆HCVcAg at 144 h. Decline of HCVcAg at 144 h showed a correlation with age (r = -0.583, P < 0.001), and no correlation with baseline viral loads and HCVcAg levels (P = 0.107 and P = 0.288, respectively).