Niv Ad1, Sari D Holmes2, Lori E Stone2, Graciela Pritchard2, Linda Henry2. 1. Cardiac Surgery Research, Inova Heart and Vascular Institute, Falls Church, VA, USA niv.ad@inova.org. 2. Cardiac Surgery Research, Inova Heart and Vascular Institute, Falls Church, VA, USA.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: Reporting methods for surgical ablation (SA) of atrial fibrillation (AF) were standardized by the Heart Rhythm Society Guidelines, stating that results should be reported only for the first 2 years following SA. The purpose of this study was to assess the outcome of SA over 5 years and determine predictors for success over that period. METHODS: Data were collected prospectively for all SA (n=787). Rhythm was verified by electrocardiogram and Holter monitoring at 3, 6, 9, 12, 18 and 24 months and yearly thereafter. Patients with rhythm status available at 2 and 5 years were included in the main analyses (n=137). Multivariate logistic regression was used for predictors of normal sinus rhythm (NSR). Receiver operating curves compared 2- and 5-year predicted probability against observed rhythm status by year. RESULTS: Return to NSR at 2 years was 88% (80% off antiarrhythmic drugs) and at 5 years was 85% (71% off antiarrhythmic drugs). The majority of patients (64%) had stable NSR over 5 years. The only predictor for 2-year NSR was smaller left atrial size (odds ratio [OR]=0.40, P=0.044). Predictors for 5-year NSR were smaller left atrial size (OR=0.28, P=0.002), age (OR=0.91, P=0.031) and length of hospital stay (OR=0.85, P=0.026). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated stable results of SA for AF over time with somewhat different predictors for 2- and 5-year NSR in a group of patients with complete follow-up at both time points. Accurate models to determine predictors for success of SA more than 2 years after surgery are essential to better understand long-term outcome for patients with AF.
OBJECTIVES: Reporting methods for surgical ablation (SA) of atrial fibrillation (AF) were standardized by the Heart Rhythm Society Guidelines, stating that results should be reported only for the first 2 years following SA. The purpose of this study was to assess the outcome of SA over 5 years and determine predictors for success over that period. METHODS: Data were collected prospectively for all SA (n=787). Rhythm was verified by electrocardiogram and Holter monitoring at 3, 6, 9, 12, 18 and 24 months and yearly thereafter. Patients with rhythm status available at 2 and 5 years were included in the main analyses (n=137). Multivariate logistic regression was used for predictors of normal sinus rhythm (NSR). Receiver operating curves compared 2- and 5-year predicted probability against observed rhythm status by year. RESULTS: Return to NSR at 2 years was 88% (80% off antiarrhythmic drugs) and at 5 years was 85% (71% off antiarrhythmic drugs). The majority of patients (64%) had stable NSR over 5 years. The only predictor for 2-year NSR was smaller left atrial size (odds ratio [OR]=0.40, P=0.044). Predictors for 5-year NSR were smaller left atrial size (OR=0.28, P=0.002), age (OR=0.91, P=0.031) and length of hospital stay (OR=0.85, P=0.026). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated stable results of SA for AF over time with somewhat different predictors for 2- and 5-year NSR in a group of patients with complete follow-up at both time points. Accurate models to determine predictors for success of SA more than 2 years after surgery are essential to better understand long-term outcome for patients with AF.
Authors: Matthew C Henn; Timothy S Lancaster; Jacob R Miller; Laurie A Sinn; Richard B Schuessler; Marc R Moon; Spencer J Melby; Hersh S Maniar; Ralph J Damiano Journal: J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg Date: 2015-08-08 Impact factor: 5.209
Authors: Chawannuch Ruaengsri; Matthew R Schill; Ali J Khiabani; Richard B Schuessler; Spencer J Melby; Ralph J Damiano Journal: Eur J Cardiothorac Surg Date: 2018-04-01 Impact factor: 4.191
Authors: Camilla Skals Engelsgaard; Kenneth Bruun Pedersen; Lars Peter Riber; Peter Appel Pallesen; Axel Brandes Journal: Int J Cardiol Heart Vasc Date: 2018-04-13