Literature DB >> 24567383

Agreeing to disagree on climate policy.

Geoffrey M Heal1, Antony Millner.   

Abstract

Disagreements about the value of the utility discount rate--the rate at which our concern for the welfare of future people declines with their distance from us in time--are at the heart of the debate about the appropriate intensity of climate policy. Seemingly small differences in the discount rate yield very different policy prescriptions, and no consensus "correct" value has been identified. We argue that the choice of discount rate is an ethical primitive: there are many different legitimate opinions as to its value, and none should receive a privileged place in economic analysis of climate policy. Rather, we advocate a social choice-based approach in which a diverse set of individual discount rates is aggregated into a "representative" rate. We show that performing this aggregation efficiently leads to a time-dependent discount rate that declines monotonically to the lowest rate in the population. We apply this discounting scheme to calculations of the social cost of carbon recently performed by the US government and show that it provides an attractive compromise between competing ethical positions, and thus provides a possible resolution to the ethical impasse in climate change economics.

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Year:  2014        PMID: 24567383      PMCID: PMC3956160          DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1315987111

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A        ISSN: 0027-8424            Impact factor:   11.205


  2 in total

1.  Why is climate sensitivity so unpredictable?

Authors:  Gerard H Roe; Marcia B Baker
Journal:  Science       Date:  2007-10-26       Impact factor: 47.728

2.  Environmental economics. Determining benefits and costs for future generations.

Authors:  K Arrow; M Cropper; C Gollier; B Groom; G Heal; R Newell; W Nordhaus; R Pindyck; W Pizer; P Portney; T Sterner; R S J Tol; M Weitzman
Journal:  Science       Date:  2013-07-26       Impact factor: 47.728

  2 in total
  2 in total

Review 1.  Uncovering the Research Gaps to Alleviate the Negative Impacts of Climate Change on Food Security: A Review.

Authors:  Muhammad Shahbaz Farooq; Muhammad Uzair; Ali Raza; Madiha Habib; Yinlong Xu; Muhammad Yousuf; Seung Hwan Yang; Muhammad Ramzan Khan
Journal:  Front Plant Sci       Date:  2022-07-11       Impact factor: 6.627

Review 2.  Valuing the Future and Discounting in Random Environments: A Review.

Authors:  Jaume Masoliver; Miquel Montero; Josep Perelló; J Doyne Farmer; John Geanakoplos
Journal:  Entropy (Basel)       Date:  2022-04-01       Impact factor: 2.524

  2 in total

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