Risk of stroke or transient ischemic attack after atrial fibrillation ablation with oral anticoagulant use guided by ECG monitoring and pulse assessment.

INTRODUCTION: We sought to gain insight into stroke risk after atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation. METHODS AND
RESULTS: We followed 1,990 patients for >1 year (49 ± 29 months) who underwent AF ablation. Prior to stopping oral anticoagulants (OAC), we performed 3-week transtelephonic ECG monitoring (TTM) and taught patients heart rate and pulse assessment. Documented AF or inability to do monitoring or assess pulse precluded stopping OAC in CHADS2 ≥1 patients. OAC was stopped in 546/840 (65%) with CHADS2  = 0; 384/796 (48%) with CHADS2  = 1 and 101/354 (40%) with CHADS2 ≥ 2. Sixteen strokes or TIAs occurred (0.2%/patient-year); 5 in CHADS2  = 0 patients (all off OAC); 5 in CHADS2  = 1 (1 off and 4 on OAC); and 6 in CHADS2 ≥2 (2 off and 4 on OAC). Twelve of 16 patients (75%) with stroke or TIA had documented AF. In patients "off " OAC, stroke rate/year stratified by the CHADS2 score was similar (CHADS2  = 0: 0.28%; CHADS2  = 1: 0.07%; CHADS2 ≥2: 0.50%; P = NS). There was no difference in stroke risk "on" versus "off " OAC in CHADS2  = 1 (0.48% vs. 0.07%) or CHADS2 ≥2 (0.39% vs. 0.50%). Risk of major bleeding per patient year "on" OAC was > "off " OAC (13/1,138 (1.14%) versus 1/832 (0.1%); P<0.016).
CONCLUSIONS: Post-AF ablation with OAC guided by TTM and pulse assessment: (1) Overall stroke or TIA rate risk is low and risk is due to recurrent AF and (2) OAC can be stopped in 40% of CHADS2 ≥2 patients with low stroke and hemorrhagic risk.