| Literature DB >> 24453883 |
Qiuwen Zhang1, Xiaohong Yang2, Yan Zhang3, Ming Zhong2.
Abstract
Groundwater contamination is a serious threat to water supply. Risk assessment of groundwater contamination is an effective way to protect the safety of groundwater resource. Groundwater is a complex and fuzzy system with many uncertainties, which is impacted by different geological and hydrological factors. In order to deal with the uncertainty in the risk assessment of groundwater contamination, we propose an approach with analysis hierarchy process and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation integrated together. Firstly, the risk factors of groundwater contamination are identified by the sources-pathway-receptor-consequence method, and a corresponding index system of risk assessment based on DRASTIC model is established. Due to the complexity in the process of transitions between the possible pollution risks and the uncertainties of factors, the method of analysis hierarchy process is applied to determine the weights of each factor, and the fuzzy sets theory is adopted to calculate the membership degrees of each factor. Finally, a case study is presented to illustrate and test this methodology. It is concluded that the proposed approach integrates the advantages of both analysis hierarchy process and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, which provides a more flexible and reliable way to deal with the linguistic uncertainty and mechanism uncertainty in groundwater contamination without losing important information.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2013 PMID: 24453883 PMCID: PMC3885272 DOI: 10.1155/2013/610390
Source DB: PubMed Journal: ScientificWorldJournal ISSN: 1537-744X
S-P-R-C model of groundwater contamination.
| Source | Pathway | Receptor | Consequences |
|---|---|---|---|
|
| Path 1 | People | Human health |
Path 1: the contamination migrates out of the region.
Path 2: the contamination bypasses the reactive barrier and enters the protected zone.
Path 3: the contamination migrates to the region intercepted by the permeable reactive barrier.
Relationship between linguistic variables and risk evaluation levels.
| Risk level | Linguistic variable |
|---|---|
|
| Most difficult to be polluted |
|
| Very difficult to be polluted |
|
| Difficult to be polluted |
|
| Slightly easy to be polluted |
|
| Easy to be polluted |
Pairwise comparison matrix of U 1 based on 0–2 scale.
| Factor |
|
|
| Order index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
|
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
|
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
Pairwise comparison matrix of U 2 based on 0–2 scale.
| Factor |
|
|
|
| Order index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
|
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
|
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Definition of 0.1–0.9 scale.
| Scale | Definition |
|---|---|
| 0.1 | B is extremely more important than A |
| 0.2 | B is strongly more important than A |
| 0.3 | B is more important than A |
| 0.4 | B is a little more important than A |
| 0.5 | A is as important as B |
| 0.6 | A is a little more important than B |
| 0.7 | A is more important than B |
| 0.8 | A is strongly more important than B |
| 0.9 | A is extremely more important than B |
Pairwise comparison matrix of U 1 based on 0.1–0.9 scale.
| Factor |
|
|
| Order index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| 0.5000 | 0.6100 | 0.4798 | 1.5898 |
|
| 0.4482 | 0.5000 | 0.3593 | 1.3075 |
|
| 0.6719 | 0.5750 | 0.5000 | 1.7469 |
Pairwise comparison matrix of U 2 based on 0.1–0.9 scale.
| Factor |
|
|
|
| Order index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| 0.5000 | 0.5515 | 0.8935 | 0.6167 | 2.5617 |
|
| 0.4081 | 0.5000 | 0.7986 | 0.6025 | 2.3092 |
|
| 0.1101 | 0.2449 | 0.5000 | 0.3248 | 1.1798 |
|
| 0.4098 | 0.3538 | 0.6968 | 0.5000 | 1.9604 |
Figure 1Crisp sets and fuzzy sets.
Figure 2Triangular membership functions of depth of the aquifer (D).
Membership function of soil media (S).
| No. | Membership degree |
|---|---|
| 1 | (0, 0, 0, 0, 1) |
| 2 | (0, 0, 0, 0, 1) |
| 3 | (0, 0, 0, 0, 1) |
| 4 | (0, 0, 0, 0, 1) |
| 5 | (0, 0, 0, 1, 0) |
| 6 | (0, 0, 0, 1, 0) |
| 7 | (0, 0, 1, 0, 0) |
| 8 | (0, 1, 0, 0, 0) |
| 9 | (0, 1, 0, 0, 0) |
| 10 | (1, 0, 0, 0, 0) |
| 11 | (1, 0, 0, 0, 0) |
Factor values of the samples in the case study.
| Sample no. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 61 | 170.2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 4.92 |
| 2 | 12 | 64.3 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 1.64 |
| 3 | 8 | 45.7 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 24.6 |
| 4 | 16 | 85.1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 13.2 |
| 5 | 55 | 128.3 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 0.41 |
Membership degrees of the factors in sample 1.
| Risk factor | Membership degree |
|---|---|
|
| (1, 0, 0, 0, 0) |
|
| (0, 0, 0.60, 0.40, 0) |
|
| (0, 0, 0.25, 0.50, 0.25) |
|
| (0, 0, 0, 0, 1) |
|
| (0, 0, 0, 0.25, 0.75) |
|
| (0, 0, 0.75, 0.25, 0) |
|
| (0.90, 0.10, 0, 0, 0) |
Priority weights in AHP system and membership degrees in fuzzy system.
| Risk level | Main factors | Weight | Subfactors | Weight | Fuzzy relationship | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||
|
| Permeation | 0.43 |
| 0.2583 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 0.50 | 0.25 |
|
| 0.1047 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | |||
|
| 0.6370 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.75 | 0.25 | 0.00 | |||
| Conduction | 0.57 |
| 0.5650 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
|
| 0.2622 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.00 | |||
|
| 0.0553 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 0.75 | |||
|
| 0.1175 | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |||
Risk results of multilevel fuzzy comprehensive evaluation of the samples in case study.
| Sample no. | Risk factors | Evaluation results | Final results | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Principle 1 | Principle 2 | |
| 1 | 61 | 170.2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 4.92 |
| 0.0067 | 0.3229 | 0.1917 | 0.0964 |
| 1.0897 × 10−4 |
| 2 | 12 | 64.3 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 1.64 | 0.1019 | 0.2530 |
| 0.1444 | 0.0672 |
| 1.4109 × 10−4 |
| 3 | 8 | 45.7 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 24.6 | 0.0912 | 0.1319 |
| 0.2364 | 0.0608 |
| 1.5218 × 10−4 |
| 4 | 16 | 85.1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 13.2 | 0.0354 |
| 0.2206 | 0.1820 | 0.0315 |
| 1.3219 × 10−4 |
| 5 | 55 | 128.3 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 0.41 |
| 0.0209 | 0.3203 | 0.2025 | 0.0672 |
| 1.2689 × 10−4 |