| Literature DB >> 24386428 |
Jae-Hyun Kim1, Eun-Cheol Park2, Jung-Mo Nam3, Sohee Park4, Jaelim Cho3, Sun-Jung Kim1, Jae-Woo Choi1, Eun Cho5.
Abstract
PURPOSE: Suicide is a major health problem in Korea. Extensive media exposure of celebrity suicide may induce imitative suicide, a phenomenon called the Werther effect. We examined the increased suicide risk following the suicides of an entertainer and a politician, and identified the relative suicide risks.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2013 PMID: 24386428 PMCID: PMC3873447 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0084876
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Figure 1Weekly number of suicides before and after the celebrity suicides.
Number of suicides in the 3-week period prior to, and after, the suicide of actress Choi and former President Roh in South Korea.
| Three weeks before the suicide | Three weeks after the suicide | % change of increase | P-value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actress Choi (2008) | ||||
| All | 872 | 1415 | 62.27% | <.0001 |
| Male | 588 | 795 | 35.20% | <.0001 |
| Female | 284 | 620 | 118.30% | <.0001 |
| <50 years | 431 | 799 | 85.38% | <.0001 |
| By hanging | 588 | 775 | 31.80% | <.0001 |
| Ex-President Roh (2009) | ||||
| All | 1179 | 1236 | 4.83% | 0.4025 |
| Male | 776 | 800 | 3.09% | 0.6516 |
| Female | 403 | 436 | 8.19% | 0.2929 |
| >=50 years | 605 | 645 | 6.61% | 0.3485 |
| By jumping | 112 | 180 | 60.71% | 0.0003 |
P-value is associated with t-test.
Relative risk for factors associated with suicides during the 3 years with celebrity suicide as the center.
| Actress Jin-Sil Choi (40 years old in Oct 2008) | Ex-president Moo-hyun Roh (63 years old in May 2009) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factors | Adjusted Relative Risk | 95% Confidence interval | Adjusted Relative Risk | 95% Confidence interval | |
| Season | Winter | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | |
| Spring | 1.203 | 1.152 – 1.256 | 1.153 | 1.102 – 1.207 | |
| Summer | 1.191 | 1.124 – 1.263 | 1.094 | 1.027 – 1.165 | |
| Fall | 1.150 | 1.095 – 1.208 | 1.180 | 1.122 – 1.242 | |
| Days of the week | Sun | 1.000 | |||
| Mon | 1.139 | 1.089 – 1.191 | 1.139 | 1.086 – 1.194 | |
| Tue | 1.106 | 1.058 – 1.157 | 1.105 | 1.054 – 1.159 | |
| Wed | 1.059 | 1.012 – 1.108 | 1.057 | 1.008 – 1.109 | |
| Thu | 1.043 | 0.997 – 1.092 | 1.041 | 0.992 – 1.093 | |
| Fri | 1.030 | 0.984 – 1.078 | 1.029 | 0.980 – 1.080 | |
| Sat | 0.982 | 0.938 – 1.029 | 0.981 | 0.934 – 1.031 | |
| Humidity | 0.998 | 0.997 – 0.999 | 0.998 | 0.996 – 0.999 | |
| Temperature | 1.008 | 1.005 – 1.010 | 1.010 | 1.008 – 1.013 | |
| Unemployment rates | 1.101 | 1.052 – 1.152 | 1.084 | 1.032 – 1.464 | |
| Time-Day | 1.000 | 1.000 – 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 – 1.000 | |
| Time-Week | Other period | 1.000 | 1.000 | ||
| 1st week after suicide | 1.726 | 1.537 – 1.939 | 1.283 | 1.124 – 1.464 | |
| 2nd week | 1.518 | 1.342 – 1.717 | 1.237 | 1.080 – 1.417 | |
| 3rd week | 1.513 | 1.338 – 1.712 | 1.168 | 1.014 – 1.347 | |
| 4th week | 1.316 | 1.153 – 1.501 | 1.212 | 1.055 – 1.392 | |
| 5th week | 1.297 | 1.136 – 1.481 | 1.144 | 0.994 – 1.317 | |
| 6th week | 1.240 | 1.082 – 1.421 | 1.218 | 1.061 – 1.398 | |
| 7th week | 1.115 | 0.065 – 1.288 | 1.058 | 0.912 – 1.226 | |
Poisson time series autoregression model was applied for the 3-year period (1.5 years before and 1.5 years after the celebrity’s suicide).
* P< 0.05.
a Remaining weeks apart from the first 7 weeks after celebrity suicide
Relative suicide risk of subgroups for age, gender and suicide method for suicides that occurred within the Werther effect band, as compared to other suicides at other times over 3 years.
| Actress Jin-Sil Choi (Werther effect band: 6 weeks) | Ex-president Moo-hyun Roh (Werther effect band: 4 weeks) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subgroup | Adjusted Relative Risk | 95% Confidence interval | Adjusted Relative Risk | 95% Confidence interval | |
| Age | ≤19 | 1.145 | 0.864 – 1.518 | 1.627 | 1.117 – 2.368 |
| 20-29 | 2.082 | 1.819 – 2.382 | 1.664 | 1.226 – 2.258 | |
| 30-39 | 1.662 | 1.474 – 1.874 | 1.483 | 1.120 – 1.964 | |
| 40-49 | 1.457 | 1.301 – 1.632 | 1.573 | 1.211 – 2.043 | |
| 50-59 | 1.224 | 1.079 – 1.388 | 1.607 | 1.243 – 2.078 | |
| 60-69 | 1.223 | 1.074 – 1.393 | 1.457 | 1.112 – 1.909 | |
| ≥70 | 1.117 | 0.998 – 1.249 | 1.396 | 1.099 – 1.772 | |
| Gender | Male | 1.225 | 1.143 – 1.312 | 1.523 | 1.209 – 1.918 |
| Female | 1.732 | 1.592 – 1.885 | 1.519 | 1.182 – 1.952 | |
| Method of suicide | Same suicide method | 1.887 | 1.741 – 2.045 | 1.537 | 1.204 – 1.961 |
| Others | 1.020 | 0.861 – 1.208 | 1.506 | 1.195 – 1.896 | |
| Same period of Werther effect band | The year before suicide (2007 for Choi; 2008 for Roh) | 1.030 | 0.951 – 1.117 | 1.023 | 0.930 – 1.125 |
| The year after suicide (2009 for Choi; 2010 for Roh) | 0.994 | 0.921 – 1.074 | 0.949 | 0.881 – 1.023 | |
| Same suicide method during the same period of Werther effect | The year before suicide (2007 for Choi; 2008 for Roh) | 1.014 | 0.901 – 1.141 | 1.003 | 0.845 – 1.191 |
| The year after suicide (2009 for Choi; 2010 for Roh) | 0.958 | 0.863 – 1.064 | 0.890 | 0.797 – 0.994 | |
Estimates were adjusted for the effects of season, day of the week, humidity, temperature, time of day, and unemployment rate.
* P < 0.05.
a The reference group was that of the suicides that occurred beyond the Werther effect band (6 weeks right after Choi’s suicide, October 2008) over three years (1.5 years before and 1.5 years after the suicide of actress Choi)
b The reference group was that of the suicides that occurred beyond the Werther effect band (4 weeks right after former President Roh’s suicide, May 2009) over three years (1.5 years before and 1.5 years after the suicide of former President Roh).
c The adjusted relative risk ratios during the same period of Werther effect band were measured for each of three calendar years: one year before; one year of; and one year after the suicide incident year.