Assessment of xylem phenology: a first attempt to verify its accuracy and precision.

This manuscript aims to evaluate the precision and accuracy of current methodology for estimating xylem phenology and tracheid production in trees. Through a simple approach, sampling at two positions on the stem of co-dominant black spruce trees in two sites of the boreal forest of Quebec, we were able to quantify variability among sites, between trees and within a tree for different variables. We demonstrated that current methodology is accurate for the estimation of the onset of xylogenesis, while the accuracy for the evaluation of the ending of xylogenesis may be improved by sampling at multiple positions on the stem. The pattern of variability in different phenological variables and cell production allowed us to advance a novel hypothesis on the shift in the importance of various drivers of xylogenesis, from factors mainly varying at the level of site (e.g., climate) at the beginning of the growing season to factors varying at the level of individual trees (e.g., possibly genetic variability) at the end of the growing season.