Literature DB >> 24311257

Systematic review and meta-analysis of use of serum C-reactive protein levels to predict anastomotic leak after colorectal surgery.

P P Singh1, I S L Zeng, S Srinivasa, D P Lemanu, A B Connolly, A G Hill.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Several recent studies have investigated the role of C-reactive protein (CRP) as an early marker of anastomotic leakage following colorectal surgery. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to evaluate the predictive value of CRP in this setting.
METHODS: A systematic literature search was performed using MEDLINE, Embase and PubMed to identify studies evaluating the diagnostic accuracy of postoperative CRP for anastomotic leakage following colorectal surgery. A meta-analysis was carried out using a random-effects model and pooled predictive parameters were determined along with a CRP cut-off value at each postoperative day (POD).
RESULTS: Seven studies, with a total of 2483 patients, were included. The pooled prevalence of leakage was 9·6 per cent and the median day on which leakage was diagnosed ranged from POD 6 to 9. The serum CRP level on POD 3, 4 and 5 had comparable diagnostic accuracy for the development of an anastomotic leak with a pooled area under the curve of 0·81 (95 per cent confidence interval 0·75 to 0·86), 0·80 (0·74 to 0·86) and 0·80 (0·73 to 0·87) respectively. The derived CRP cut-off values were 172 mg/l on POD 3, 124 mg/l on POD 4 and 144 mg/l on POD 5; these corresponded to a negative predictive value of 97 per cent and a negative likelihood ratio of 0·26-0·33. All three time points had a low positive predictive value for leakage, ranging between 21 and 23 per cent.
CONCLUSION: CRP is a useful negative predictive test for the development of anastomotic leakage following colorectal surgery.
© 2013 BJS Society Ltd. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

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Year:  2013        PMID: 24311257     DOI: 10.1002/bjs.9354

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Br J Surg        ISSN: 0007-1323            Impact factor:   6.939


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