| Literature DB >> 24152013 |
Hanna Susi1, Anna-Liisa Laine.
Abstract
Trade-offs in life-history traits is a central tenet in evolutionary biology, yet their ubiquity and relevance to realized fitness in natural populations remains questioned. Trade-offs in pathogens are of particular interest because they may constrain the evolution and epidemiology of diseases. Here, we studied life-history traits determining transmission in the obligate fungal pathogen, Podosphaera plantaginis, infecting Plantago lanceolata. We find that although traits are positively associated on sympatric host genotypes, on allopatric host genotypes relationships between infectivity and subsequent transmission traits change shape, becoming even negative. The epidemiological prediction of this change in life-history relationships in allopatry is lower disease prevalence in newly established pathogen populations. An analysis of the natural pathogen metapopulation confirms that disease prevalence is lower in newly established pathogen populations and they are more prone to go extinct during winter than older pathogen populations. Hence, life-history trade-offs mediated by pathogen local adaptation may influence epidemiological dynamics at both population and metapopulation levels.Entities:
Keywords: Coevolution; disease transmission; epidemiology; host-pathogen interactions; infectivity; trade-offs
Mesh:
Year: 2013 PMID: 24152013 PMCID: PMC4208680 DOI: 10.1111/evo.12182
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Evolution ISSN: 0014-3820 Impact factor: 3.694
Results of the GLMMs analyzing correlations between different life-history stages of Podosphaera plantaginis as measured on sympatric and allopatric host genotypes. Statistically significant results are shown in bold
| Source | ||
|---|---|---|
| Infectivity | 0.07 | 0.7872 |
| Sympatry-Allopatry | 13.49 | |
| Infectivity×Sympatry-Allopatry | 18.78 | |
| Infectivity | 2.13 | 0.1501 |
| Sympatry-Allopatry | 2.98 | 0.0897 |
| Infectivity×Sympatry-Allopatry | 9.38 | |
| Time to germination | 27.25 | |
| Sympatry-Allopatry | 5.07 | 0.283 |
| Time to germination×Sympatry-Allopatry | 2.97 | 0.0902 |
| Infectivity | 1.50 | 0.2256 |
| Sympatry-Allopatry | 1.11 | 0.2974 |
| Infectivity×Sympatry-Allopatry | 6.58 | |
| Time to germination | 18.58 | |
| Sympatry-Allopatry | 0.18 | 0.6763 |
| Time to germination×Sympatry-Allopatry | 0.22 | 0.644 |
| Time to sporulation | 8.51 | |
| Sympatry-Allopatry | 0.23 | 0.6358 |
| Time to sporulation×Sympatry-Allopatry | 0.01 | 0.9316 |
Figure 1Life-history trait correlations of the 33 Podosphaera plantaginis strains measured on sympatric host genotypes (black symbols, solid line) and allopatric host genotypes (white symbols, dashed line). The significance of the slopes are indicated with asterisks (*P ≤ 0.05, **P ≤ 0.01, and ***P ≤ 0.001). For those life-history traits that depict timing of events (i.e., speed to germination and speed to sporulation), higher values indicate faster performance.
Figure 2(A) Disease prevalence of Podosphaera plantaginis populations established in 2010 is significantly lower than the prevalence of older pathogen populations. (B) Extinction probability of Po. plantaginis populations between 2010 and 2011 decreases significantly with population age. Numbers indicate the number of populations for each age class.