Combined effect of smoking and occupational exposure to dusts, gases or fumes on the incidence of COPD.

To assess risk factors related to the development of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) including smoking and occupational exposure (OE) to dusts, gases or fumes, we performed a longitudinal 11-year follow-up postal survey. The original study population was a random population sample of 8000 inhabitants of Helsinki aged 20 to 69 years in 1996. Participants of the first postal questionnaire were invited to this follow-up survey in 2007 with 4302 (78%) answers obtained. Cumulative incidence of COPD in 11 years was 3.43% corresponding to an incidence rate of 3.17/1000/year after exclusion of those with self-reported physician-diagnosed COPD and ever COPD in 1996. Smoking and age, but not gender, were associated with incident COPD. Reported family history of COPD increased the cumulative incidence to 8.55% vs 3.04% among those without a family history (p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, significant independent risk factors for incident COPD were: current smoking in 1996 (OR 4.40 [95% CI 2.89-6.71]), age over 50 (OR 3.42 [95% CI 2.22-5.26]), family history of COPD (OR 2.08 [1.27-3.43]), ever asthma (OR 2.28 [1.35-3.86]), and self-reported OE (OR 2.14 [1.50-3.05]). Occupational exposure to dusts, gases or fumes, assessed both based on self-reported exposure and a job exposure matrix using reported professions, was an independent risk factor for incident COPD. Smoking and OE together yielded an additive effect on incidence of COPD.