Literature DB >> 24101454

Does model-free forecasting really outperform the true model?

Florian Hartig1, Carsten F Dormann.   

Abstract

Mesh：

Year:  2013        PMID： 24101454      PMCID： PMC3801002          DOI： 10.1073/pnas.1308603110

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A        ISSN： 0027-8424            Impact factor:   11.205


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  5 in total

1.  Statistical methods of parameter estimation for deterministically chaotic time series.

Authors:  V F Pisarenko; D Sornette
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2.  Statistical inference for noisy nonlinear ecological dynamic systems.

Authors:  Simon N Wood
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2010-08-11       Impact factor: 49.962

3.  Failure of maximum likelihood methods for chaotic dynamical systems.

Authors:  Kevin Judd
Journal:  Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys       Date:  2007-03-15

Review 4.  Statistical inference for stochastic simulation models--theory and application.

Authors:  Florian Hartig; Justin M Calabrese; Björn Reineking; Thorsten Wiegand; Andreas Huth
Journal:  Ecol Lett       Date:  2011-06-17       Impact factor: 9.492

5.  Model-free forecasting outperforms the correct mechanistic model for simulated and experimental data.

Authors:  Charles T Perretti; Stephan B Munch; George Sugihara
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2013-02-25       Impact factor: 11.205
  5 in total
  5 in total

1.  Reply to Hartig and Dormann: The true model myth.

Authors:  Charles T Perretti; Stephan B Munch; George Sugihara
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2013-10-15       Impact factor: 11.205

2.  Statistical ecology comes of age.

Authors:  Olivier Gimenez; Stephen T Buckland; Byron J T Morgan; Nicolas Bez; Sophie Bertrand; Rémi Choquet; Stéphane Dray; Marie-Pierre Etienne; Rachel Fewster; Frédéric Gosselin; Bastien Mérigot; Pascal Monestiez; Juan M Morales; Frédéric Mortier; François Munoz; Otso Ovaskainen; Sandrine Pavoine; Roger Pradel; Frank M Schurr; Len Thomas; Wilfried Thuiller; Verena Trenkel; Perry de Valpine; Eric Rexstad
Journal:  Biol Lett       Date:  2014-12       Impact factor: 3.703

3.  The ecological forecast horizon, and examples of its uses and determinants.

Authors:  Owen L Petchey; Mikael Pontarp; Thomas M Massie; Sonia Kéfi; Arpat Ozgul; Maja Weilenmann; Gian Marco Palamara; Florian Altermatt; Blake Matthews; Jonathan M Levine; Dylan Z Childs; Brian J McGill; Michael E Schaepman; Bernhard Schmid; Piet Spaak; Andrew P Beckerman; Frank Pennekamp; Ian S Pearse
Journal:  Ecol Lett       Date:  2015-05-07       Impact factor: 9.492

4.  Hybrid modeling and prediction of dynamical systems.

Authors:  Franz Hamilton; Alun L Lloyd; Kevin B Flores
Journal:  PLoS Comput Biol       Date:  2017-07-10       Impact factor: 4.475

5.  A combined model of human erythropoiesis and granulopoiesis under growth factor and chemotherapy treatment.

Authors:  Sibylle Schirm; Christoph Engel; Markus Loeffler; Markus Scholz
Journal:  Theor Biol Med Model       Date:  2014-05-26       Impact factor: 2.432
  5 in total

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