| Literature DB >> 24090280 |
Nantasit Luangasanatip, Maliwan Hongsuwan, Yoel Lubell, Direk Limmathurotsakul, Prapit Teparrukkul, Sirirat Chaowarat, Nicholas P J Day, Nicholas Graves, Ben S Cooper.
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Economic evaluations of interventions in the hospital setting often rely on the estimated long-term impact on patient survival. Estimates of mortality rates and long-term outcomes among patients discharged alive from the intensive care unit (ICU) are lacking from lower- and middle-income countries. This study aimed to assess the long-term survival and life expectancy (LE) amongst post-ICU patients in Thailand, a middle-income country.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2013 PMID: 24090280 PMCID: PMC4056652 DOI: 10.1186/cc13036
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Crit Care ISSN: 1364-8535 Impact factor: 9.097
Figure 1Patient flow from intensive care unit admission to discharge and until five-year follow-up.
Demographic data for ICU patients
| | ||
|---|---|---|
| Age (Med [IQR]) | 57.6 [42.6, 71.1] | 54.5 [38.2, 67.8] |
| Age group (number of patients) | | |
| 15 to 29 | 408 (12.6%) | 1,132 (16.1%) |
| 30 to 44 | 492 (15.1%) | 1,298 (18.4%) |
| 45 to 59 | 879 (27.0%) | 1,821 (25.8%) |
| 60 to 74 | 901 (27.7%) | 1,914 (27.1%) |
| >75 | 571 (17.6%) | 905 (12.8%) |
| Length of hospital stay | 3.0 [ | 7.0 [ |
| (Med [IQR]) | | |
| Sex (% female) | 1,241 (38.2%) | 2,700 (38.2%) |
| ICD10 (Top five, by %) | | |
| Circulatory system (I00 to I99) | 1,040 (32.0%) | 2,627 (37.2%) |
| - Cerebrovascular diseases (I60 to I69) | 535 | 404 |
| - Other forms of heart disease (I30 to I52) | 179 | 615 |
| - Ischemic heart diseases (I20 to I25) | 152 | 886 |
| - Chronic rheumatic heart diseases (I05 to I09) | 86 | 441 |
| Injury, poison and other external causes (S00 to T98) | 751 (23.1%) | 1,598 (22.6%) |
| - Injury (S00 to T14) | 715 | 1,490 |
| - Poisoning and certain other consequences of external causes (T15 to T98) | 36 | 108 |
| Digestive system (K00 to K93) | 328 (10.1%) | 789 (11.2%) |
| - Other diseases of the digestive system (K90 to K93) | 106 | 125 |
| - Diseases of oesophagus, stomach and duodenum (K20 to K31) | 48 | 225 |
| - Disorders of gallbladder, biliary tract and pancreas (K80 to K87) | 43 | 166 |
| Respiratory system (J00 to J99) | 248 (7.6%) | 376 (5.3%) |
| - Influenza and pneumonia (J09 to J18) | 145 | 129 |
| - Chronic lower respiratory diseases (J40 to J47) | 35 | 82 |
| - Suppurative and necrotic conditions of lower respiratory tract (J85 to J86) | 10 | 61 |
| Neoplasms (C00 to D48) | 186 (5.7%) | 488 (6.9%) |
| - Malignant neoplasms (C00 to C99) | 160 | 331 |
| - Neoplasms of uncertain or unknown behaviour (D37 to D48) | 22 | 128 |
| - Benign neoplasms (D10 to D36) | 4 | 27 |
| Hospital mortality (%) | N/A | 139 (2.0%) |
| Five-year mortality (%) | N/A | 2,527 (35.7%) |
1Includes patients who died within two days of ICU discharge.
Demographic data for post-ICU patients
| | ||
|---|---|---|
| Age (Med [IQR]) | 64.6 [52.6, 74.0] | 47.46 [32.6, 62.2] |
| Age group (number of patients) | | |
| 15 to 29 | 127 (5.0%) | 1,005 (22.1%) |
| 30 to 44 | 256 (10.1%) | 1,042 (22.9%) |
| 45 to 59 | 618 (24.5%) | 1,203 (26.5%) |
| 60 to 74 | 949 (37.6%) | 965 (21.2%) |
| >75 | 577 (22.8%) | 328 (7.2%) |
| Length of hospital stay | 8.0 [ | 7.0 [ |
| (Med [IQR]) | | |
| Sex (% female) | 1,041 (41.2%) | 1,659 (36.5%) |
| ICD10 (Top five, by %) | | |
| Circulatory system (I00 to I99) | 1,023 (40.5%) | 1,604 (35.3%) |
| - Cerebrovascular diseases (I60 to I69) | 337 | 549 |
| - Other forms of heart disease (I30 to I52) | 225 | 390 |
| - Ischemic heart diseases (I20 to I25) | 216 | 188 |
| - Chronic rheumatic heart diseases (I05 to I09) | 114 | 327 |
| Neoplasms (C00 to D48) | 324 (12.8%) | 164 (3.6%) |
| - Malignant neoplasms (C00 to C99) | 249 | 82 |
| - Neoplasms of uncertain or unknown behaviour (D37 to D48) | 70 | 58 |
| - Benign neoplasms (D10 to D36) | 5 | 22 |
| Digestive system (K00 to K93) | 321 (12.7%) | 468 (10.3%) |
| - Other diseases of the digestive system (K90 to K93) | 86 | 139 |
| - Diseases of oesophagus, stomach and duodenum (K20 to K31) | 67 | 99 |
| - Disorders of gallbladder, biliary tract and pancreas (K80 to K87) | 60 | 65 |
| Injury, poison and other external causes (S00 to T98) | 215 (8.5%) | 1,383 (30.4%) |
| - Injury (S00 to T14) | 182 | 1,308 |
| - Poisoning and certain other consequences | 33 | 75 |
| of external causes (T15 to T98) | | |
| Respiratory system (J00 to J99) | 190 (7.5%) | 186 (4.1%) |
| - Influenza and pneumonia (J09 to J18) | 75 | 54 |
| - Chronic lower respiratory diseases (J40 to J47) | 58 | 46 |
| - Suppurative and necrotic conditions | 15 | 24 |
| of lower respiratory tract (J85 to J86) |
Figure 2Kaplan-Meier survival estimates for post-ICU patients and survival for the general population in Thailand.
Figure 3The extrapolated lifetime survival curve of post-ICU patients and survival for the general population.
Life expectancy among post-ICU patients adjusted for age and sex
| | | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 to 29 | 43.16 | 43.80 | 48.97 |
| 30 to 44 | 28.87 | 29.56 | 36.01 |
| 45 to 59 | 16.41 | 16.98 | 24.03 |
| 60 to 74 | 8.72 | 8.96 | 13.66 |
| ≥75 | 4.75 | 4.61 | 6.36 |
| Overall | 18.26 | 18.56 | 25.15 |
†Base case analysis: we assumed that from year five to year seven post-discharge the relative risk of mortality amongst post-ICU patients was the same as that in year five. From year eight onwards, the relative risk was assumed to be 1.
*Sensitivity analysis: we assumed the mortality rates among the post-ICU patients after five years post-discharge to be the same as those in the general population matched for age and sex.
◊General population: we applied the mortality rate of the Thai general population age- and sex-matched to all post-ICU patients since ICU discharge.
Figure 4Kaplan-Meier survival estimates for post-ICU patients stratified by diagnostic group.
Comparison of survival 1-5 years after ICU discharged by age and diagnostic group
| Number of patients at each follow up time | 7,070 | 5,606 | 5,236 | 4,972 | 4,730 | 4,543 |
| Age (median, [IQR]) | 54.5 [38.2, 67.8] | 51.4 [35.2, 65.6] | 50.5 [34.2, 64.8] | 49.5 [33.8, 63.8] | 48.5 [33.0, 63.0] | 47.5 [32.6, 62.2] |
| Length of hospital stay | 7.0 [ | 7.0 [ | 7.0 [ | 7.0 [ | 7.0 [ | 7.0 [ |
| Sex (% female) | 38.2% | 37.6% | 37.3% | 37.2% | 36.7% | 36.5% |
| Age group | | | | | | |
| 15 to 29 | 100.0% | 93.0% | 91.8% | 90.7% | 89.8% | 88.8% |
| 30 to 44 | 100.0% | 88.4% | 85.1% | 83.1% | 81.8% | 80.3% |
| 45 to 59 | 100.0% | 80.2% | 75.0% | 71.4% | 68.4% | 66.1% |
| 60 to 74 | 100.0% | 70.7% | 64.5% | 58.9% | 53.7% | 50.4% |
| ≥75 | 100.0% | 65.4% | 54.6% | 48.5% | 41.9% | 36.2% |
| Diagnostic group | | | | | | |
| Heart diseases, other forms (I00 to I99 except I60 to I69) | 100.0% | 83.0% | 76.9% | 72.0% | 67.9% | 63.7% |
| Cerebrovascular diseases (I60 to I69) | 100.0% | 62.1% | 55.9% | 52.5% | 49.3% | 46.5% |
| Injury, poison and other external causes (S00 to T98) | 100.0% | 92.6% | 90.9% | 89.3% | 87.4% | 86.5% |
| Digestive system (K00 to K93) | 100.0% | 78.2% | 71.9% | 67.7% | 62.9% | 59.3% |
| Respiratory system (J00 to J99) | 100.0% | 69.1% | 62.0% | 57.2% | 52.9% | 43.6% |
| Neoplasms (C00 to D48) | 100.0% | 51.4% | 42.4% | 38.1% | 35.5% | 33.6% |