| Literature DB >> 24079269 |
Gönül Dinç1, Kaan Sözmen, Gül Gerçeklioğlu, Hale Arık, Julia Critchley, Belgin Unal.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality increased in developed countries until the 1970s then started to decline. Turkey is about to complete its demographic transition, which may also influence mortality trends. This study evaluated trends in coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke mortality between 1988 and 2008.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2013 PMID: 24079269 PMCID: PMC3850640 DOI: 10.1186/1471-2458-13-896
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Public Health ISSN: 1471-2458 Impact factor: 3.295
Figure 1Age-standardised (European population) coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke mortality in Turkey for men and women aged ≥35, 1988–2008.
Change in coronary heart disease and stroke mortality by sex in Turkey for adults aged ≥35, 1988–2008
| 1988–1994 | 2.9*(1.1,4.7) | 1988–1990 | 2.0(-4.1,8.4) | |
| 1990–1994 | -3.8*(-6.7, -0.4) | |||
| 1994–2008 | -1.7*(-2.0, -1.4) | 1994–2004 | 0.6*(0.2,1.2) | |
| 2004–2008 | -4.4*(-6.3, -2.6) | |||
| 1988–1994 | 2.0*(0.2–3.7) | 1988–1990 | 3.6(-4.9,12.8) | |
| 1994–2000 | -2.8*(-5.0, -0.5) | 1990–1994 | -3.8(-7.8,0.4) | |
| 2000–2005 | 1.0(-2.2,4.3) | 1994–2005 | 1.1*(0.4,1.8) | |
| 2005–2008 | -6.7*(-11.3, -1.8) | 2005–2008 | -7.9*(-11.8, 3.4) | |
*Linear slope of the identified period is significantly different from previous or next identified period (p < 0.05).
Coronary heart disease mortality trends by sex and age group in Turkey between 1988–2008
| | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35–44 | 1988–1994 | 3.9(1.0, 6.9)* | 1988–1994 | 4.5(1.0, 8.1)* |
| 1994–2003 | -4.7(-6.2, -3.2)* | 1994–2000 | -6.1(-9.8, -2.3)* | |
| 2003–2008 | -1.6 (-4.5, 1.4) | 2000–2008 | 0.2(-1.6,2.0) | |
| 45–54 | 1988–1994 | 3.6 (2.2, 5.1)* | 1988–1990 | 8.6 (-6.6, 26.2) |
| 1994–2008 | -2.7(-3.0, -2.4)* | 1990–2008 | -1.8(-2.2, -1.4)* | |
| 55–64 | 1988–1991 | 0.9(-2.4,4.3) | 1988–1994 | 3.5(0.6,6.6)* |
| 1991–1994 | 6.7(0.1,13.7)* | |||
| 1994–1999 | -4.3(-6.2, -2.4)* | 1994–2008 | -3.2(-3.9, -2.5)* | |
| 1999–2008 | -2.4(-2.9, -1.9)* | |||
| 65–74 | 1988–1994 | 1.7(-0.2,3.7) | 1988–1995 | 2.0(0.4, 3.8)* |
| 1995–2001 | -3.2(-5.4, -0.9)* | |||
| 1994–2008 | -1.5(-1.9, -1.1)* | 2001–2006 | -0.3(-3.3,2.8) | |
| 2006–2008 | -4.8(-13.3, -4.6)* | |||
| 75+ | 1988–1994 | 2.3(0.7–3.9)* | 1988–1994 | 1.5(-0.4,3.4) |
| 1994–1997 | -4.5(-12.8,4.7) | 1994–1998 | -3.6(-8.5,1.6) | |
| 1997–2003 | 0.9(-1.0,2.9) | 1998–2005 | 1.6(-0.1,3.2) | |
| 2003–2008 | -2.9(-4.4, -1.3)* | 2005–2008 | -8.7(-12.2, -5.1)* | |
*Linear slope of the identified period is significantly different from previous or next identified period (p < 0.05).
Figure 2Observed and modelled coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality rate per 100 000, by age group for men and women, 1988–2008.
Stroke mortality trends by sex and age groups in Turkey between 1988–2008
| | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35–44 | 1988–1999 | -3.5(-4.3, -2.7)* | 1988–2008 | -3.3(-3.8, -2.9)* |
| | 1999–2002 | -7.3(-16.6,3.1) | ||
| | 2002–2005 | 2.6(-8.8, 15.4) | ||
| | 2005–2008 | -7.5(-12.0, -2.7)* | ||
| 45–54 | 1988–1999 | -2.2(-3.0, -1.5)* | 1988–2005 | -2.6(-3.2, -2.0)* |
| | 1999–2008 | -3.8(-4.6, -3.0)* | 2005–2008 | -7.4(-13.7, -0.5)* |
| 55–64 | 1988–1993 | -3.0(-5.0, -1.0)* | 1988–1999 | -0.8(-1.7,0.1) |
| | 1993–1996 | 1.9(-6.9,11.5) | 1999–2008 | -5.2(-6.2, -4.1)* |
| | 1996–2008 | -3.9(-4.3, -3.4)* | ||
| 65–74 | 1988–1995 | -2.6(-4.1, -1.1)* | 1988–1999 | 0.4(-0.3,1.1) |
| | 1995–1998 | 3.3(-6.1,13.7) | 1999 - 2006 | -1.6(-3.1, -0.1)* |
| | 1998–2006 | -1.3(-2.5, -0.1)* | 2006–2008 | -7.5(-15.3,1.0) |
| | 2006–2008 | -5.8(-13.8, -3.0)* | | |
| 75+ | 1988–1990 | 3.2(-7.0,14.5) | 1988–1996 | -2.1(-3.6, -0.6)* |
| | 1990–1995 | -3.2(-6.3, -0.0)* | ||
| | 1995–2005 | 2.2(1.3 - 3.1)* | 1996–2005 | 3.5(2.1–5.0)* |
| 2005–2008 | -4.4(-8.0, -0.8)* | 2005–2008 | -8.6(-13.2, -3.8)* | |
*Linear slope of the identified period is significantly different from previous or next identified period (p < 0.05).
Figure 3Observed and modelled stroke mortality rate per 100 000, for men and women by age group, 1988–2008.