| Literature DB >> 24069477 |
Loïc Epelboin1, Charlotte Boullé, Sihem Ouar-Epelboin, Matthieu Hanf, Philippe Dussart, Félix Djossou, Mathieu Nacher, Bernard Carme.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Dengue and malaria are two major public health concerns in tropical settings. Although the pathogeneses of these two arthropod-borne diseases differ, their clinical and biological presentations are unspecific. During dengue epidemics, several hundred patients with fever and diffuse pain are weekly admitted at the emergency room. It is difficult to discriminate them from patients presenting malaria attacks. Furthermore, it may be impossible to provide a parasitological microscopic examination for all patients. This study aimed to establish a diagnostic algorithm for communities where dengue fever and malaria occur at some frequency in adults. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPALEntities:
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Year: 2013 PMID: 24069477 PMCID: PMC3772026 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0002420
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS Negl Trop Dis ISSN: 1935-2727
Figure 1Monthly cases of dengue and malaria diagnosed in the Cayenne hospital between 2004 and 2010.
Median β coefficients estimated by multivariate logistic regression model and bootstrapping procedure.
| Matched multivariate analysis | .632 bootstrap | ||||
| OR | 95% CI | p | β-coefficients | Value of score | |
|
| 2,50 | 1,35–4,63 | 0,004 | 0,915 | 1 |
|
| 88,12 | 10,16-764-45 | <0,001 | 9,322 | 9 |
|
| 2,99 | 1,32–6,75 | 0,008 | 1,235 | 1 |
|
| 10,33 | 2,10–50,74 | 0,004 | 2,185 | 2 |
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| 2,12 | 1,05–4,29 | 0,037 | 1,044 | 1 |
|
| 2,92 | 1,64–5,19 | <0,001 | 1,132 | 1 |
Odds ratio and 95% confidence interval and p-value calculated by matched multivariate analysis.
Matched multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed for malaria and dengue. Weights are based on the β coefficients of the logistic regression and were calculated by rounding the model coefficients to the nearest whole integer after .632 bootstrapping (median). The weights rank the risk predictors in relative importance and dictate how one assigns integer points value for each predictor for a given patient. The assigned points are then summed to compute that individual's risk for the mixed clinical and biological malaria score values.
Figure 2Representation of the beta coefficients from bootstrap resampling of clinical and biological variables.
Figure 3Sensitivity and specificity curves of the mixed clinical and biological malaria vs. dengue predictive score.
Repartition of the dengue and malaria patients depending on the C-reactive protein (CRP) level.
| CRP ≤5 mg/L | CRP>5 mg/L | Total | |
|
| 1 | 204 | 205 |
|
| 73 | 134 | 207 |
Comparison between malaria and dengue epidemiological and clinical variables by matched bivariate analysis.
|
|
| OR | 95% CI | p | |
|
| 119 (57,2) | 162 (77,9) | 2,65 | 1,71–4,11 |
|
|
| 49 (23,6) | 18 (8,7) | 0,31 | 0,18–0,56 |
|
|
| 7 (3,4) | 51 (24,6) | 10,27 | 4,3–24,49 |
|
|
| 183 (92,9) | 151 (74,4) | 0,27 | 0,16–0,45 |
|
|
| 71 (34,1) | 72 (34,6) | 1,03 | 0,69–1,54 | 0,89 |
|
| 45 (21,6) | 69 (33,2) | 1,78 | 1,16–2,75 |
|
|
| 21 (10,2) | 115 (62,8) | 16,15 | 8,3–31,45 |
|
|
| 33 (16,3) | 61 (29,9) | 2,20 | 1,36–3,58 |
|
|
| 128 (64,6) | 165 (82,1) | 2,43 | 1,52–3,89 |
|
|
| 3 (1,8) | 7 (3,6) | 1,81 | 0,46–7,11 | 0,39 |
|
| 10 (4,9) | 24 (11,9) | 2,64 | 1,21–5,74 |
|
|
| 122 (59,2) | 126 (63,3) | 1,18 | 0,8–1,76 | 0,40 |
|
| 26 (12,6) | 10 (5) | 0,37 | 0,17–0,8 |
|
|
| 53 (25,9) | 56 (28,3) | 1,11 | 0,73–1,7 | 0,62 |
|
| 102 (49,8) | 109 (54,5) | 1,19 | 0,81–1,76 | 0,37 |
|
| 37 (18) | 64 (32,2) | 2,16 | 1,34–3,48 |
|
|
| 30 (14,6) | 5 (2,5) | 0,16 | 0,06–0,42 |
|
|
| 127 (62) | 130 (64) | 1,07 | 0,7–1,62 | 0,76 |
|
| 16 (7,8) | 7 (3,4) | 0,38 | 0,15–0,97 |
|
|
| 3 (3,1) | 23 (18,3) | 19,21 | 2,48–148,78 |
|
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| 6 (2,9) | 9 (4,3) | 1,53 | 0,53–4,4 | 0,43 |
|
| 42 (20,2) | 10 (4,8) | 0,21 | 0,1–0,42 |
|
Odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) and p calculated by matched bivariate analysis.
p-value calculated with Wald test in matched bivariate analysis.
Inhabitants of the coast are defined as people living in Cayenne, Rémire-Montjoly, Matoury Macouria, Kourou, Irakoubo or Mana.; Other people declared to live in Cacao, Roura, Montsinnéry-Tonnégrande, Régina, Saül, St-Elie, Saint Laurent du Maroni, Apatou, Maripasoula, Papaïchton, St George de l'Oyapock, Camopi or Trois-Sauts. 4 people came from France, 1 from the French Caribbean and 1 from French Polynesia.
Bpm, beats per minut;
ENT symptoms, (Ear, Nose and Throat): pharyngitis, otitis and/or sinusitis).
Comparison between malaria and dengue biological variables by matched bivariate analysis.
|
|
| OR | 95% CI | p | |
|
| 40 (19,2) | 43 (20,7) | 1.13 | 0.69–1.84 | 0.63 |
|
| 39 (18.8) | 52 (25.9) | 1,50 | 0,93–2,42 | 0,10 |
|
| 13 (6.3) | 2 (0.1) | 0,15 | 0,03–0,66 |
|
|
| 57 (27,4) | 48 (23,1) | 0,80 | 0,52–1,24 | 0,32 |
|
| 25 (12.0) | 102 (49.0) | 7,45 | 4,32–12,83 |
|
|
| 19 (13,9) | 22 (15,4) | 0,85 | 0,39–1,86 | 0,69 |
|
| 19 (14,1) | 12 (8,5) | 0,34 | 0,12–0,96 |
|
|
| 3 (1,5) | 14 (7) | 5,21 | 1,46–18,53 |
|
|
| 4 (2) | 14 (7) | 3,66 | 1,2–11,16 |
|
|
| 3 (1,6) | 20 (10,5) | 7,02 | 2,02–24,43 |
|
|
| 32 (16) | 33 (16,7) | 0,99 | 0,58–1,68 | 0,96 |
|
| 41 (20,5) | 23 (11,6) | 0,49 | 0,28–0,86 |
|
|
| 73 (35,3) | 1 (0,5) | - | - |
|
|
| 115 (55,6) | 78 (38) | 39,79 | 5,44–291,12 |
|
|
| 19 (9,2) | 126 (61,5) | 306,84 | 40,22–2340,61 |
|
Odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) and p calculated by matched bivariate analysis.
p-value calculated with Wald test in matched bivariate analysis.
ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; CRP, C-reactive protein.