Rebecca Steinbach1, Phil Edwards2, Judith Green3. 1. Department of Social and Environmental Health Research, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK. 2. Department of Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK. 3. Department of Health Services Research and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Research has suggested that inequalities in risk exposure may help explain identified ethnic inequalities in child pedestrian injury risk. However, addressing risk exposure in epidemiological research presents theoretical and methodological challenges. This article conceptualises the risk of child pedestrian injury as related to both exposure levels (the quantity of time children spend as pedestrians) and the probability of a hazard where that exposure takes place (the quality of the road environment). OBJECTIVE: To investigate the sensitivity of results on ethnic inequalities in child pedestrian injury risk in London to control for exposure and hazard levels. METHODS: Using police records of injury 2000-2009, we modelled the relationship between ethnicity, deprivation and child pedestrian injury rates in London using characteristics of the road environment to control for hazard levels and restricting the analysis to the time of the weekday morning commute (7.00-9.00 am), when most children must make a journey to school, to control for exposure levels. RESULTS: Controlling for risk exposure in this way fundamentally changed the nature of the relationship between ethnicity, deprivation and child pedestrian injury. During the time of the morning commute to school, 'Black' children were found to have higher pedestrian injury rates in the least-deprived areas. CONCLUSIONS: To inform effective strategies for reducing injury inequality, it is vital that exposure to risk is both acknowledged and considered. Published by the BMJ Publishing Group Limited. For permission to use (where not already granted under a licence) please go to http://group.bmj.com/group/rights-licensing/permissions.
BACKGROUND: Research has suggested that inequalities in risk exposure may help explain identified ethnic inequalities in child pedestrian injury risk. However, addressing risk exposure in epidemiological research presents theoretical and methodological challenges. This article conceptualises the risk of child pedestrian injury as related to both exposure levels (the quantity of time children spend as pedestrians) and the probability of a hazard where that exposure takes place (the quality of the road environment). OBJECTIVE: To investigate the sensitivity of results on ethnic inequalities in child pedestrian injury risk in London to control for exposure and hazard levels. METHODS: Using police records of injury 2000-2009, we modelled the relationship between ethnicity, deprivation and child pedestrian injury rates in London using characteristics of the road environment to control for hazard levels and restricting the analysis to the time of the weekday morning commute (7.00-9.00 am), when most children must make a journey to school, to control for exposure levels. RESULTS: Controlling for risk exposure in this way fundamentally changed the nature of the relationship between ethnicity, deprivation and child pedestrian injury. During the time of the morning commute to school, 'Black' children were found to have higher pedestrian injury rates in the least-deprived areas. CONCLUSIONS: To inform effective strategies for reducing injury inequality, it is vital that exposure to risk is both acknowledged and considered. Published by the BMJ Publishing Group Limited. For permission to use (where not already granted under a licence) please go to http://group.bmj.com/group/rights-licensing/permissions.
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