| Literature DB >> 23928827 |
Jacques Touchon1, Jean Lachaine, Catherine Beauchemin, Anna Granghaud, Benoit Rive, Sébastien Bineau.
Abstract
The costs associated with the care of Alzheimer's disease patients are very high, particularly those associated with nursing home placement. The combination of a cholinesterase inhibitor (ChEI) and memantine has been shown to significantly delay admission to nursing homes as compared to treatment with a ChEI alone. The objective of this cost-effectiveness analysis was to evaluate the economic impact of the concomitant use of memantine and ChEI compared to ChEI alone. Markov modelling was used in order to simulate transitions over time among three discrete health states (non-institutionalised, institutionalised and deceased). Transition probabilities were obtained from observational studies and French national statistics, utilities from a previous US survey and costs from French national statistics. The analysis was conducted from societal and healthcare system perspectives. Mean time to nursing home admission was 4.57 years for ChEIs alone and 5.54 years for combination therapy, corresponding to 0.98 additional years, corresponding to a gain in quality adjusted life years (QALYs) of 0.25. From a healthcare system perspective, overall costs were €98,609 for ChEIs alone and €90,268 for combination therapy, representing cost savings of €8,341. From a societal perspective, overall costs were €122,039 and €118,721, respectively, representing cost savings of €3,318. Deterministic and probabilistic (Monte Carlo simulations) sensitivity analyses indicated that combination therapy would be the dominant strategy in most scenarios. In conclusion, combination therapy with memantine and a ChEI is a cost-saving alternative compared to ChEI alone as it is associated with lower cost and increased QALYs from both a societal and a healthcare perspective.Entities:
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Year: 2013 PMID: 23928827 PMCID: PMC4201748 DOI: 10.1007/s10198-013-0523-y
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Eur J Health Econ ISSN: 1618-7598
Fig. 1Structure of the Markov model
Transition probabilities
| Cycle (years in the model) | Probability of institutionalisationa | Probability of deathb | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ChEI alone | Combination therapy | Both groups | |
| One | 0.0167 | 0 | 0.0300 |
| Two | 0.1031 | 0 | 0.0335 |
| Three | 0.0947 | 0 | 0.0375 |
| Four | 0.0808 | 0.0167 | 0.0421 |
| Five | 0.0891 | 0.0418 | 0.0475 |
| Six | 0 | 0 | 0.0539 |
| Seven | 0 | 0 | 0.0612 |
aData were extracted from Fig. 3 of the Lopez et al. publication [9] using Grafula 3 version 2.10 software
bFrench survival tables adjusted for death specifically related to AD (calculations not shown, available from authors on request)
Annual costs
| Description | 2005 value (€) | 2010 value (€) |
|---|---|---|
| Costs of medication | ||
| Cholinesterase inhibitors | – | 855 |
| Memantine | – | 1,158 |
| Costs of community carea | 17,104 | 18,757 |
| Direct costs (excluding medication) | ||
| Medical visits | 285 | 313 |
| Hospitalisations | 185 | 203 |
| Nurses | 3,326 | 3,647 |
| Dependency assistance | 5,088 | 5,580 |
| Family contributions | 768 | 842 |
| Other financial aids | 2,772 | 3,040 |
| Indirect costs | ||
| Informal help | 4,680 | 5,132 |
| Costs of nursing home carea | 26,301 | 28,843 |
| Direct costs (excluding medication) | ||
| Medical visits | 285 | 313 |
| Hospitalisations | 184 | 202 |
| Care fee | 6,560 | 7,194 |
| Dependency fee | 4,872 | 5,343 |
| Accommodation fee | 14,400 | 15,792 |
Cost categories correspond to those provided in the 2005 national report of the French Assembly on AD [30]
aOriginal costs are 2005 and were updated to 2010 levels based using OECD 2005–2010 consumer price inflation rate
Direct and indirect costs per patient in each transition state
| Annual costs/patient (€) | State | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Non-institutionalised | Institutionalised | Death | ||||
| ChEI | ChEI + MEM | ChEI | ChEI + MEM | ChEI | ChEI + MEM | |
| Medications | 855 | 2,013 | 855 | 2,013 | 0 | 0 |
| Other direct costs | 13,625 | 13,625 | 28,843 | 28,843 | 0 | 0 |
| Indirect costs | 5,132 | 5,132 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Scenarios used in the deterministic sensitivity analysis (costs and utility parameters)
| Analysis | Parameter | Base value | Variation (compared to base case) (%) | Range of values | Scenario number | Distributionb |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base-case | 1 | |||||
| Costs of community | Direct costsa | 13,625 | 80 | 10,900 | 2 | Triangular |
| 120 | 16,350 | 3 | Triangular | |||
| Indirect costs | 5,132 | 80 | 4,106 | 4 | Triangular | |
| 120 | 6,159 | 5 | Triangular | |||
| Cost of institution | Direct costsa | 28,843 | 80 | 23,074 | 6 | Triangular |
| 120 | 34,611 | 7 | Triangular | |||
| Utilities | Community | 0.60 | 80 | 0.48 | 8 | Triangular |
| 120 | 0.72 | 9 | Triangular | |||
| Institution | 0.34 | 80 | 0.27 | 10 | Triangular | |
| 120 | 0.41 | 11 | Triangular |
aNo sensitivity analysis was conducted on treatment costs as there is no uncertainty related to this parameter
bDistributions used for the probabilistic analysis
Scenarios used in the deterministic sensitivity analysis (transition probabilities–institutionalisation)
| Probabilities of institutionalisation | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | Base case scenario | 50 % | 200 % | Worst case scenario (A) | Best case scenario (B) | Smoothed scenario (C) | ||||||
| ChEI | ChEI + MEM | ChEI | ChEI + MEM | ChEI | ChEI + MEM | ChEI | ChEI + MEM | ChEI | ChEI + MEM | ChEI | ChEI + MEM | |
| 1 | 0.0167 | 0.0000 | 0.0084 | 0.0000 | 0.0334 | 0.0000 | 0.0084 | 0.0000 | 0.0334 | 0.0000 | 0.0559 | 0.0085 |
| 2 | 0.1031 | 0.0000 | 0.0516 | 0.0000 | 0.2062 | 0.0000 | 0.0516 | 0.0000 | 0.2062 | 0.0000 | 0.0559 | 0.0085 |
| 3 | 0.0947 | 0.0000 | 0.0474 | 0.0000 | 0.1894 | 0.0000 | 0.0474 | 0.0000 | 0.1894 | 0.0000 | 0.0559 | 0.0085 |
| 4 | 0.0808 | 0.0167 | 0.0404 | 0.0084 | 0.1616 | 0.0334 | 0.0404 | 0.0334 | 0.1616 | 0.0084 | 0.0559 | 0.0085 |
| 5 | 0.0891 | 0.0418 | 0.0446 | 0.0209 | 0.1782 | 0.0836 | 0.0446 | 0.0836 | 0.1782 | 0.0209 | 0.0559 | 0.0085 |
| 6 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0559 | 0.0085 |
| 7 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0559 | 0.0085 |
| Scenario | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||||||
(A) Worst case scenario: the probability of institutionalisation when taking a ChEI alone was reduced by half, whereas the probability associated with taking the combination was doubled; (B) best case scenario: the probability of institutionalisation when taking a ChEI alone was doubled, whereas the probability when taking the combination was reduced by half; (C) smoothed scenario: probabilities of institutionalisation were smoothed assuming a constant hazard over time (i.e. exponential model) in order to explore further the impact of null transition probabilities from the base case scenario
Scenarios used in the deterministic sensitivity analysis (transition probabilities–death)
| Years | Probabilities of death | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Base-case scenario | 50 % | 200 % | |
| 1 | 0.0300 | 0.0150 | 0.0600 |
| 2 | 0.0335 | 0.0167 | 0.0670 |
| 3 | 0.0375 | 0.0187 | 0.0749 |
| 4 | 0.0421 | 0.0210 | 0.0842 |
| 5 | 0.0475 | 0.0238 | 0.0951 |
| 6 | 0.0539 | 0.0269 | 0.1078 |
| 7 | 0.0612 | 0.0306 | 0.1225 |
| Scenario | 17 | 18 | |
Incremental cost-effectiveness analysis (base case)
| Survival (years) | Survival at 7 years (%) | Time in community (years) | QALYs | Healthcare perspective | Societal perspective | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Costs (€) | Costs (€) | |||||
| ChEI alone | 5.66 | 63 % | 4.57 | 3.11 | 98,609 | 122,039 |
| ChEI + memantine | 5.66 | 63 % | 5.54 | 3.37 | 90,268 | 118,721 |
| Incremental | 0 | 0.98 | 0.25 | −8,341 | −3,318 | |
| ICER | – | – | – | – | Dominant | Dominant |
Fig. 2Deterministic sensitivity analysis (healthcare perspective). * All scenarios resulted in a positive incremental effectiveness gain for combination therapy
Fig. 3Deterministic sensitivity analysis (societal perspective). * All scenarios resulted in a positive incremental effectiveness gain for combination therapy