Literature DB >> 23890133

Could rising BUN predict the future development of infected pancreatic necrosis?

Rupjyoti Talukdar1, Hana Nechutova, Magdalen Clemens, Santhi Swaroop Vege.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Infected (peri)pancreatic necrosis (IPN) in acute pancreatitis (AP) is associated with organ failure (OF) and high mortality. There are no established early markers of primary IPN. This study aimed to assess the association of simple parameters with primary IPN in AP.
METHODS: We retrospectively studied 281 patients with AP admitted to Mayo Clinic hospitals and identified those with microbiologically confirmed infections in (peri)pancreatic necrosis and collections. We defined primary IPN as infection of (peri)pancreatic necrotic tissue that developed before interventions. We recorded admission hematocrit, BMI, BUN, serum creatinine, SIRS score and development of persistent organ failure within 48 h of admission; and performed serial SIRS and BUN calculations for at least 48 h. We used univariate and multivariable analysis to assess associations and expressed results as odds ratio (OR)[95% CI].
RESULTS: 27 (9.6%) patients developed IPN, of which 21 (77.7%) had primary IPN. 38.1% had Gram positive, 9.5% Gram negative and 52.3% mixed bacterial infections. Five (23.8%) of the patients with IPN had fungal infection. On univariate analysis, SIRS ≥ 2 at admission, rise in BUN by 5 mg/dL within 48 h of admission, persistence of SIRS for 48 h and development of persistent OF within 48 h of disease had significant association with development of primary IPN with OR (95% CI) of 4.12 (1.53-11.15), 10.25 (3.95-26.61), 1.19 (1.69-10.39) and 7.62 (2.58-21.25) [2-tailed p = 0.004, <0.0001, 0.002 and <0.0001] respectively. On multivariable analysis, only rise in BUN by 5 mg/dL within 48 h of admission was associated with primary IPN (p = 0.007).
CONCLUSIONS: Rising BUN within 48 h of admission can be used to predict development of primary IPN in AP.
Copyright © 2013 IAP and EPC. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Entities:  

Keywords:  AP; APACHE; Acute pancreatitis; Acute physiology and chronic health evaluation; BMI; BUN; Blood urea nitrogen; Body mass index; IPN; Infected (peri)pancreatic necrosis; LC; LR; Likelihood ratio; Local complication; MSAP; Moderately severe acute pancreatitis; POF; PV; Persistent organ failure; Predictive value; Primary infected (peri)pancreatic necrosis; SIRS; Systemic inflammatory response syndrome

Mesh:

Year:  2013        PMID: 23890133     DOI: 10.1016/j.pan.2013.05.003

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Pancreatology        ISSN: 1424-3903            Impact factor:   3.996


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