| Literature DB >> 23849322 |
Anoop S V Shah1, Jeremy P Langrish, Harish Nair, David A McAllister, Amanda L Hunter, Ken Donaldson, David E Newby, Nicholas L Mills.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Acute exposure to air pollution has been linked to myocardial infarction, but its effect on heart failure is uncertain. We did a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the association between air pollution and acute decompensated heart failure including hospitalisation and heart failure mortality.Entities:
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Year: 2013 PMID: 23849322 PMCID: PMC3809511 DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(13)60898-3
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Lancet ISSN: 0140-6736 Impact factor: 79.321
Contextual details of studies included in the meta-analysis by publication year
| Belleudi et al | Italy | 2010 | 2001–05 | Case-crossover | Hospital discharge registry | ≥65 years | 17 561 | HA |
| Bell et al | USA | 2009 | 1999–2005 | Time-series | Medicare data | All | 1 142 928 | HA |
| Haley et al | USA | 2009 | 2001–05 | Case-crossover | NYSDOH registry | All | 170 502 | HA |
| Stieb et al | Canada | 2009 | 1999–2000 | Time-series | Emergency department registry | All | 32 313 | HA |
| Ueda et al | Japan | 2009 | 2002–04 | Time-series | Ministry of Health | ≥65 years | 17 548 | Mortality |
| Zanobetti et al | USA | 2009 | 2000–03 | Time-series | Medicare data | All | 238 587 | HA |
| Colais et al | Italy | 2009 | 2001–05 | Case-crossover | Hospital discharge registry | ≥65 years | 55 339 | HA |
| Forastiere et al | Italy | 2008 | 1997–2004 | Case-crossover | Regional registries of cause of death | All | 9569 | Mortality |
| Yang et al | Taiwan | 2008 | 1996–2004 | Case-crossover | National Health Institute registry | All | 24 240 | HA |
| Lee et al | Taiwan | 2007 | 1996–2004 | Time-series | National Health Institute registry | All | 13 475 | HA |
| Peel et al | USA | 2007 | 1993–2000 | Case-crossover | Billing records | >64 years | 20 073 | HA |
| Martins et al | Brazil | 2006 | 1996–2001 | Time-series | Department of Data Analysis of the Unified Health System | ≥65 years | 24 476 | HA |
| Dominici et al | USA | 2006 | 1999–2002 | Time-series | Medicare data | ≥65 years | 986 392 | HA |
| Wellenius et al | USA | 2006 | 1986–99 | Case-crossover | Medicare and Medicaid data | All | 292 918 | HA |
| Barnett et al | Australia and New Zealand | 2006 | 1998–2001 | Case-crossover | Government health departments (Australia) and Ministry of Health (NZ) | ≥65 years | NR | HA |
| Wellenius et al | USA | 2005 | 1987–99 | Case-crossover | Medicare and Medicaid data | ≥65 years | 55 019 | HA |
| Bateson et al | USA | 2004 | 1988–91 | Case-crossover | Medicare and Medicaid data | All | 26 923 | Mortality |
| Metzger et al | USA | 2004 | 1993–2000 | Time-series | Billing data | All | 20 073 | HA |
| Goldberg et al | Canada | 2003 | 1984–93 | Time-series | Billing and prescription data | ≥65 years | 16 794 | Mortality |
| Koken et al | USA | 2003 | 1993–97 | Time-series | Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality | All | 1860 | HA |
| McGowan et al | New Zealand | 2002 | 1988–98 | Time-series | Hospital data admission registry | All | 5146 | HA |
| Hoek et al | Netherlands | 2001 | 1986–94 | Time-series | Death certificates | All | 45 333 | Mortality |
| Kwon et al | South Korea | 2001 | 1994–98 | Case-crossover and time-series | Mortality records | ≥65 years | 1807 | Mortality |
| Ye et al | Japan | 2001 | 1980–95 | Time-series | Ministry of Health | ≥65 years | 4469 | HA |
| Lippmann et al | USA | 2000 | 1992–94 | Time-series | Medicare data | All | 18 615 | HA |
| Stieb et al | Canada | 2000 | 1992–94 | Time-series | Emergency department registry | >30 years | 1312 | HA |
| Linn et al | USA | 2000 | 1992–95 | Time-series | CA OSHPD | All | 71 540 | HA |
| Wong TW et al | Hong Kong | 1999 | 1994–95 | Time-series | Hospital data admission registry | All | NR | HA |
| Burnett et al | Canada | 1999 | 1980–94 | Time-series | Ontario Ministry of Health | All | 49 311 | HA |
| Wong CM et al | Hong Kong | 1999 | 1995–97 | Time-series | Hospital authority data | ≥65 years | NR | HA |
| Morris et al | USA | 1998 | 1986–89 | Time-series | Medicare data | ≥65 years | 49 640 | HA |
| Burnett et al | Canada | 1997 | 1981–91 | Time-series | Hospital discharge records | ≥65 years | 157 865 | HA |
| Poloniecki et al | UK | 1997 | 1987–94 | Time-series | Hospital episode records | ≥65 years | 62 853 | HA |
| Morris et al | USA | 1995 | 1986–89 | Time-series | Medicare data | ≥65 years | 227 985 | HA |
| Schwartz et al | USA | 1995 | 1986–89 | Time-series | Medicare data | ≥65 years | 38 862 | HA |
HA=Hospital admissions. NYSDOH=New York State Department of Health. NR=not reported. CA OSHPD=California Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development.
Number of events, when not stated in the paper, were estimated from mean daily values and the study period.
Colais et al initially published results in 2009 looking at NO2, SO2, and PM10 in Italian. These data were later published in 2012 in English but only reporting estimates for PM10. We have therefore used the PM10 estimates from 2012 and NO2 and SO2 estimates from 2009.
Peel et al and Metzger et al reported results from the same study cohort but using case-crossover and time-series study designs, respectively.
Lippmann et al, Goldberg et al, and Hoek et al presented revised estimates of time-series analyses.
Stieb et al (2000) did not report numerical risk estimates and increment value for pollutants measured. This study was therefore excluded from the meta-analysis.
Morris et al and Schwartz et al both reported data from Detroit across the same study period albeit with different lag structures. Morris et al measured associations across shorter lag structures and these estimates were chosen for the meta-analysis of gaseous pollutants. Schwartz et al additionally reported data for PM10 whereas Morris et al did not and the study was included in the PM10 meta-analysis.
Figure 1Association between (A) gaseous and (B) particulate air pollutants and heart failure hospitalisation or heart failure mortality
ppm=parts per million. ppb=parts per billion.
Figure 2Additional analysis across all gaseous and particulate air pollutants
*Kwon et al provided separate estimates for all age groups and for people older than 75 years. This study therefore appears twice in the additional analysis when stratified by age. For the overall analysis, we have used the estimates provided for all age groups. †Kwon and Peel et al provided separate estimates stratified by study design and therefore appear twice in the additional analysis. For the overall analysis, we have used the estimates provided for the time-series study design. ppm=parts per million. ppb=parts per billion.
Heterogeneity, population-attributable risk, and assessment for publication bias stratified by gaseous and particulate air pollutants
| Carbon monoxide (ppm) | Nitrogen dioxide (ppb) | Sulphur dioxide (ppb) | Ozone(ppb) | PM2.5 (μg/m3) | PM10(μg/m3) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Increment | 1 ppm | 10 ppb | 10 ppb | 10 ppb | 10 μg/m3 | 10 μg/m3 | |
| Median pollutant concentration (IQR) | 1·1 (0·9–1·6) | 26·4 (22·5–30·1) | 6·3 (4·7–11·9) | 23·5 (17·6–32·0) | 15·0 (10·8–17·6) | 38·0 (27·0–45·5) | |
| Range (min–max) | 0·6–5·6 | 16·0–77·0 | 3·0–32·0 | 12·3–75·0 | 4·5–20·5 | 19·0–75·3 | |
| Number of studies | 18 | 18 | 14 | 18 | 10 | 22 | |
| Number of estimates | 27 | 28 | 23 | 25 | 11 | 26 | |
| Heterogeneity, | 91% | 91% | 78% | 87% | 53% | 75% | |
| Population-attributable risk, % (95% CI) | 3·41 (2·46–4·34) | 1·67 (1·23–2·11) | 2·31 (1·33–3·27) | N/A | 2·06 (1·38–2·72) | 1·60 (1·18–2·03) | |
| Publication bias | |||||||
| Egger regression test, p value | <0·001 | 0·028 | 0·009 | 0·304 | 0·003 | 0·007 | |
| Non-adjusted RR (95% CI) | 1·035 (1·025–1·045) | 1·017 (1·012–1·022) | 1·024 (1·014–1·034) | 1·005 (0·999–1·011) | 1·021 (1·014–1·028) | 1·016 (1·012–1·021) | |
| Adjusted RR (95% CI) | 1·018 (1·007–1·029) | 1·009 (1·004–1·014) | 1·014 (1·003–1·026) | 1·001 (0·995–1·007) | 1·016 (1·008–1·023) | 1·010 (1·005–1·016) | |
| Number of studies adjusted | 12 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 6 | |
ppm=parts per million. ppb=parts per billion. PM=particulate matter. PAR=population-attributable risk. IQR=interquartile range.
Median pollutant concentration (IQR) derived from the average daily pollutant concentrations reported per study.
Range of the average pollutant concentrations across the studies from minimum to maximum.
PAR reported per ten-unit increment in air pollutant concentration, except for CO where per one-unit increment. Calculated as PAR=X(RR−1)/[X(RR−1)+1], where X indicates prevalence exposure (assumed to be 100% here).
Risk estimates derived from pooled analysis of studies.
Risk estimates after adjustment for publication bias using the trim and fill method.
Figure 3Median daily PM2·5 concentrations and estimated impact of a reduction in PM2·5 to a target concentration on heart failure hospitalisation per US state
Heart failure hospitalisation rates were not available for 15 states (appendix); data not shown for Mississippi (median daily PM2·5 13·4 μg/m3; annual reduction in heart failure hospitalisations 15 per 100 000). US state abbreviations are defined in the appendix.