| Literature DB >> 23839858 |
Anna M H Sailer1, Janneke P Grutters, Joachim E Wildberger, Paul A Hofman, Jan T Wilmink, Willem H van Zwam.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: Intra-arterial digital subtraction angiography (DSA), magnetic resonance angiography (MRA) and computed tomographic angiography (CTA) are imaging modalities used for diagnostic work-up of non-traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage. The aim of our study was to compare the cost-effectiveness of MRA, DSA and CTA in the first year after the bleed.Entities:
Year: 2013 PMID: 23839858 PMCID: PMC3731460 DOI: 10.1007/s13244-013-0264-6
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Insights Imaging ISSN: 1869-4101
Fig. 1Markov decision tree basic model showing exemplary branch for CTA. Branches for MRA and DSA not shown in detail. TP true-positive, FN false-negative, TN true-negative, FP false-positive test result. Example of absolute patient numbers from base case analysis in brackets. Input parameters derived from Table 1
Model input parameters
| Model parameter | Mean | SE/SD/rangea | Distribution | Source |
| Discount rates | ||||
| cDR (cost discount rate) | 4 % | fixed | [ | |
| oDR (outcome discount rate) | 1.5 % | fixed | [ | |
| Treatment independent parameters | ||||
| Probabilities, (p) | ||||
| pAneurysm in case of non-traumatic SAH | 0.85 | fixed | [ | |
| Costs, c (€) | ||||
| Diagnostics | ||||
| cDSA | 725 € | fixed | [ | |
| cMRA | 252 € | fixed | [ | |
| cCTA | 197 € | fixed | [ | |
| Treatment | ||||
| cCoiling | 38,238 € | 1,833 € | gamma | [ |
| cClipping | 31,739 € | 2,503 € | gamma | [ |
| Health state costs | ||||
| Number of days in nursing home per year (d) | 365 | |||
| Costs per day in nursing home (euros/d) | 241 € | |||
| cDisability | 87,975 € | [ | ||
| Event costs | ||||
| cDeath | 2,741 € | [ | ||
| Utilities (u) | ||||
| uWell | 0.78 | 0.019 | beta | [ |
| uWell after SAH | 0.72 | 0.65–0.80 | triangular | [ |
| uDisabled | 0.25 | 0.21–0.30 | triangular | [ |
| uDead | 0.00 | fixed | [ | |
| Clinical outcome probabilities | ||||
| Probability of being well after clipping | 0.69 | 0.014 | beta | [ |
| Probability of being disabled after clipping | 0.21 | 0.013 | beta | [ |
| pClipdead (probability of being dead after clipping) | 0.10 | 0.009 | beta | [ |
| pClipwell (probability of being well after survived clipping) | 0.77 | [ | ||
| Probability of being well after coiling | 0.76 | 0.013 | beta | [ |
| Probability of being disabled after coiling | 0.16 | 0.011 | beta | [ |
| pCoildead (probability of being dead after coiling) | 0.08 | 0.008 | beta | [ |
| pCoilwell (probability of being well after survived coiling) | 0.83 | [ | ||
| Probability of being well after DSA | 0.998 | 0.001 | beta | [ |
| Probability of being disabled after DSA | 0.002 | 0.001 | beta | [ |
| pDSAdead (probability of being dead after DSA) | 0.000 | fixed | [ | |
| pDSAwell (probability of being well after survived DSA) | 0.998 | |||
| Probability of being dead/disabled after surgery without aneurysm | ||||
| pSurgdead | 0.025 | 0.004 | beta | [ |
| pSurgdisab | 0.132 | 0.008 | beta | [ |
| pCoilTP (probability coiling is feasible in true-positive aneurysm) | 0.585 | 0.061 | beta | [ |
| pCoilFP (probability coiling is feasible in false-positive aneurysm) | 0 | fixed | [ | |
| Treatment dependent parameters | Value | SE/SD/rangea | Distribution | Source |
| Probabilities | ||||
| pMRAtpD (sensitivity of MRA in diagnosing aneurysm) | 0.954 | 0.018 | beta | [ |
| pMRAtnD (specificity of MRA in diagnosing aneurysm) | 0.833 | 0.061 | beta | [ |
| pCTAtpD (sensitivity of CTA in diagnosing aneurysm) | 0.915 | 0.024 | beta | [ |
| pCTAtnD (specificity of CTA in diagnosing aneurysm) | 0.944 | 0.038 | beta | [ |
| pMRAtpT (sensitivity of MRA in determining whether coiling is feasible) | 0.606 | 0.058 | beta | b |
| pMRAtnT (specificity of MRA in determining whether coiling is feasible) | 0.814 | 0.050 | beta | b |
| pCTAtpT (sensitivity of CTA in determining whether coiling is feasible) | 0.719 | 0.056 | beta | b |
| pCTAtnT (specificity of CTA in determining whether coiling is feasible) | 0.754 | 0.057 | beta | b |
| pDSAtpD (sensitivity of DSA in diagnosing aneurysm) | 1 | fixed | [ | |
| pDSAtnD (Specificity DSA in diagnosing aneurysm) | 1 | fixed | [ | |
| pDSAtpT (sensitivity of DSA in determining whether coiling is feasible) | 1 | fixed | [ | |
| pDSAtnT (specificity of DSA in determining whether coiling is feasible) | 1 | fixed | [ | |
aRange presented for triangular distributions
bData based on study [19]
Related 1-year costs and QALYs for MRA, CTA and DSA per patient in the basic model
| MRA | CTA | DSA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Costs (€) | QALYs | Costs (€) | QALYs | Costs (€) | QALYs | |
| MRA resp. CTA | 252 | 0.5947 | 197 | 0.5983 | 0.6039 | |
| DSA | 168a | 214a | 725 | |||
| Total diagnostic | 420 | 411 | 725 | |||
| Treatment | 26,734 | 26,120 | 25,553 | |||
| Death | 217 | 212 | 205 | |||
| Disability costs | 14,443 | 14,005 | 13,325 | |||
| Total | 41,814 | 0.5947 | 40,748 | 0.5983 | 39,808 | 0.6039 |
aAverage costs per patient for DSA performed in case CTA/MRA showing no aneurysm
Total one-year outcome and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for basic and scenario model
| Costs (€) | (95 % CI) | QALYs | (95 % CI) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basic model | ||||||
| DSA | 39,808 | (37,182 ; 42,663) | 0.6039 | (0.5761 ; 0.6327) | ||
| CTA | 40,748 | (37,937 ; 43,831) | 0.5983 | (0.5704 ; 0.6278) | ||
| MRA | 41,814 | (38,730 ; 45,146) | 0.5947 | (0.5674 ; 0.6237) | ||
| Scenario model | ||||||
| DSA | 39,808 | (36,982 ; 42,414) | 0.6039 | (0.5771 ; 0.6333) | ||
| CTA | 39,767 | (36,903 ; 42,402) | 0.6039 | (0.5771 ; 0.6333) | ||
| MRA | 39,851 | (37,003 ; 42,486) | 0.6039 | (0.5771 ; 0.6333) | ||
| Incremental costs (€) | (95 % CI) | Incremental QALYs | (95 % CI) | ICER (€ per QALY) | Comparator | |
| Basic model | ||||||
| DSA | ||||||
| CTA | 940 | (10 ; 2,122) | −0.006 | (−0.003 ; −0.009) | Dominated | DSA |
| MRA | 2,007 | (604 ; 3,767) | −0.009 | (−0.005 ; −0.015) | Dominated | DSA |
| Scenario model | ||||||
| DSA | ||||||
| CTA | −40 | (−103 ; 20) | 0.000 | (0.000 ; 0.000) | Dominant | DSA |
| MRA | 84 | (−15 ; 98) | 0.000 | (0.000 ; 0.000) | Dominated | CTA |
CI Confidence Interval (calculated based on the probabilistic sensitivity analysis)