OBJECTIVE: To estimate the demand for women's health care by 2020 using today's national utilization standards. METHODS: This descriptive study incorporated the most current national data resources to design a simulation model to create a health and economic profile for a representative sample of women from each state. Demand was determined utilizing equations about projected use of obstetrics-gynecology (ob-gyn) services. Applying patient profile and health care demand equations, we estimated the demand for providers in 2010 in each state for comparison with supply based on the 2010 American Medical Association Masterfile. U.S. Census Bureau population projections were used to project women's health care demands in 2020. RESULTS: The national demand for women's health care is forecast to grow by 6% by 2020. Most (81%) ob-gyn related services will be for women of reproductive age (18-44 years old). Growth in demand is forecast to be highest in states with the greatest population growth (Texas, Florida), where supply is currently less than adequate (western United States), and among Hispanic women. This increase in demand by 2020 will translate into a need for physicians or nonphysician clinicians, which is clinically equivalent to 2,090 full-time ob-gyns. CONCLUSION: Using today's national norms of ob-gyn related services, a modest growth in women's health care demands is estimated by 2020 that will require a larger provider workforce.
OBJECTIVE: To estimate the demand for women's health care by 2020 using today's national utilization standards. METHODS: This descriptive study incorporated the most current national data resources to design a simulation model to create a health and economic profile for a representative sample of women from each state. Demand was determined utilizing equations about projected use of obstetrics-gynecology (ob-gyn) services. Applying patient profile and health care demand equations, we estimated the demand for providers in 2010 in each state for comparison with supply based on the 2010 American Medical Association Masterfile. U.S. Census Bureau population projections were used to project women's health care demands in 2020. RESULTS: The national demand for women's health care is forecast to grow by 6% by 2020. Most (81%) ob-gyn related services will be for women of reproductive age (18-44 years old). Growth in demand is forecast to be highest in states with the greatest population growth (Texas, Florida), where supply is currently less than adequate (western United States), and among Hispanic women. This increase in demand by 2020 will translate into a need for physicians or nonphysician clinicians, which is clinically equivalent to 2,090 full-time ob-gyns. CONCLUSION: Using today's national norms of ob-gyn related services, a modest growth in women's health care demands is estimated by 2020 that will require a larger provider workforce.
Authors: William F Rayburn; Jeffrey C Klagholz; Cristina Murray-Krezan; Lana E Dowell; Albert L Strunk Journal: Obstet Gynecol Date: 2012-05 Impact factor: 7.661
Authors: Marisa Usera-Clavero; Diana Gil-González; Daniel La Parra-Casado; Carmen Vives-Cases; Pilar Carrasco-Garrido; Pablo Caballero Journal: Int J Public Health Date: 2020-01-14 Impact factor: 3.380
Authors: Adna Thaysa Marcial da Silva; Camila Lohmann Menezes; Edige Felipe de Sousa Santos; Paulo Francisco Ramos Margarido; José Maria Soares; Edmund Chada Baracat; Luiz Carlos de Abreu; Isabel Cristina Esposito Sorpreso Journal: BMC Womens Health Date: 2018-01-05 Impact factor: 2.809