| Literature DB >> 23788200 |
Kristen Ricchetti-Masterson1, Jennifer Horney.
Abstract
Encouraging residents in high-risk areas to evacuate before a hurricane makes landfall is one of the few ways to reduce hurricane-related morbidity and mortality. However, demographic factors associated with evacuation in at-risk groups have not been consistent across studies. To determine if social factors (social control, social cohesion, and social capital) modified the relationship between demographic groups and failure to evacuate from Hurricane Irene, the authors conducted a cross-sectional stratified two-stage cluster sample among residents of Beaufort County, NC. Of 226 attempted rapid response interviews, 205 were completed (response rate = 90.7%). Data were analyzed using generalized linear modeling, which produced crude risk differences to estimate the association between failure to evacuate from Hurricane Irene and a number of demographic and social factors; effect measure modification (EMM) was assessed on the additive scale through stratified analyses of key social factors. There were no significant associations between demographic or social factors and evacuation in the bivariate analysis. However, EMM was present for households with high social capital or social cohesion among special needs residents, those over age 65, males, and non-whites. In Beaufort County, NC, future hazard mitigation plans should include evacuation messages tailored for households with high social capital or social cohesion.Entities:
Year: 2013 PMID: 23788200 PMCID: PMC3682762 DOI: 10.1371/currents.dis.620b6c2ec4408c217788bb1c091ef919
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS Curr ISSN: 2157-3999
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| n | % | n | % | n | % | |||||
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| Born after 1952 | 93 | 45.37 | 24 | 25.81 | 69 | 74.19 | 0.04 (-0.09, 0.17) | |||
| Born before 1953 | 111 | 54.15 | 33 | 29.73 | 78 | 70.27 | REF | |||
| Missing | 1 | 0.49 | ||||||||
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| White | 148 | 72.2 | 44 | 29.73 | 104 | 70.27 | REF | |||
| Non-white | 56 | 27.32 | 12 | 21.43 | 44 | 78.57 | 0.08 (-0.06, 0.23) | |||
| Missing | 1 | 0.49 | ||||||||
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| Female | 131 | 63.9 | 34 | 25.95 | 97 | 74.05 | REF | |||
| Male | 73 | 35.61 | 22 | 30.14 | 51 | 69.86 | -0.04 (-0.18, 0.10) | |||
| Missing | 1 | 0.49 | ||||||||
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| Rent home | 48 | 23.41 | 12 | 25.00 | 36 | 75.00 | REF | |||
| Own home | 155 | 75.61 | 45 | 29.03 | 110 | 70.97 | -0.04 (-0.18, 0.12) | |||
| Other | 2 | 0.98 | ||||||||
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| Multi-unit or mobile | 69 | 33.66 | 15 | 21.74 | 54 | 78.26 | REF | |||
| Single-family | 135 | 65.85 | 41 | 30.37 | 94 | 69.63 | -0.09 (-0.22, 0.05) | |||
| Missing | 1 | 0.49 | ||||||||
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| No | 124 | 60.49 | 33 | 26.61 | 91 | 73.39 | REF | |||
| Yes | 81 | 39.51 | 24 | 29.63 | 57 | 70.37 | -0.03 (-0.17, 0.11) | |||
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| No | 162 | 79.02 | 50 | 30.86 | 112 | 69.14 | REF | |||
| Yes | 43 | 20.98 | 7 | 16.28 | 36 | 83.72 | 0.15 (0.00, 0.29) | |||
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| No | 169 | 82.44 | 42 | 24.85 | 127 | 75.15 | REF | |||
| Yes | 32 | 15.61 | 14 | 43.75 | 18 | 56.25 | -0.19 (-0.39, 0.01) | |||
| Missing | 4 | 1.95 | ||||||||
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| n | % | n | % | n | % | |||
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| 205 | 100.00 | 57 | 27.80 | 148 | 72.20 | ||
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| Mandatory evacuation order | 148 | 72.20 | 49 | 33.11 | 99 | 66.89 | ||
| Voluntary evacuation order | 57 | 27.80 | 8 | 14.04 | 49 | 85.96 | ||
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| Recalled any evacuation order | 72 | 35.12 | 21 | 29.17 | 51 | 70.83 | ||
| Did not recall any evacuation order | 133 | 64.88 | 36 | 27.07 | 97 | 72.93 | ||
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| Recalled mandatory evacuation order | 27 | 45.00 | 9 | 33.33 | 18 | 66.67 | ||
| Recalled voluntary evacuation order | 33 | 55.00 | 7 | 21.21 | 26 | 78.79 | ||
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| Low | 92 | 47.92 | 22 | 23.91 | 70 | 76.09 | ||
| Medium | 51 | 26.56 | 14 | 27.45 | 37 | 72.55 | ||
| High | 49 | 25.52 | 19 | 38.78 | 30 | 61.22 | ||
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| n | % | n | % | n | % | |||||
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| <6 | 42 | 20.49 | 12 | 28.57 | 30 | 71.43 | REF | |||
| 6 | 163 | 79.51 | 45 | 27.61 | 118 | 72.39 | 0.01 (-0.16, 0.18) | |||
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| <6 | 82 | 40.00 | 24 | 29.27 | 58 | 70.73 | REF | |||
| 6 | 123 | 60.00 | 33 | 26.83 | 90 | 73.17 | 0.02 (-0.11, 0.16) | |||
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| None | 165 | 80.49 | 48 | 29.09 | 117 | 70.91 | REF | |||
| 1 or more | 40 | 19.51 | 9 | 22.50 | 31 | 77.50 | 0.07 (-0.10, 0.23) | |||
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| None | 70 | 34.15 | 19 | 27.14 | 51 | 72.86 | REF | |||
| 1 or more | 135 | 65.85 | 38 | 28.15 | 97 | 71.85 | -0.01 (-0.15, 0.13) | |||
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| <15 hellos per day &< 5 visits | 70 | 34.15 | 14 | 20.00 | 56 | 80.00 | REF | |||
| ≥15 hellos per day or≥ 5 visits | 135 | 65.85 | 43 | 31.85 | 92 | 68.15 | -0.12 (-0.25, 0.01) | |||
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| No | 98 | 47.80 | 26 | 26.53 | 72 | 73.47 | REF | |||
| Yes | 106 | 51.71 | 31 | 29.25 | 75 | 70.75 | -0.03 (-0.16, -0.11) | |||
| Missing | 1 | 0.49 | ||||||||
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| RD (95% CI) | RD (95% CI) | |
| Social control score | -0.07 (-0.25, 0.12) | 0.32 (-0.15, 0.78) | |
| Social cohesion score | 0.07 (-0.09, 0.24) | -0.12 (-0.38, 0.14) | |
| Social cohesion - Markers of territoriality | 0.07 (-0.12, 0.26) | 0.05 (-0.29, 0.38) | |
| Social capital - Organizations | -0.04 (-0.20, 0.13) | 0.12 (-0.16, 0.40) | |
| Social capital - Social interaction | -0.13 (-0.28, 0.03) | -0.21 (-0.41, 0.00) | |
| Social capital - Volunteerism | -0.05 (-0.20, 0.11) | 0.01 (-0.27, 0.28) | |
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| RD (95% CI) | RD (95% CI) | |
| Social control score | 0.07 (-0.15, 0.29) | -0.10 (-0.38, 0.19) | |
| Social cohesion score | 0.05 (-0.12, 0.22) | -0.01 (-0.25, 0.24) | |
| Social cohesion - Markers of territoriality | -0.05 (-0.28, 0.19) | 0.23 (0.00, 0.46) | |
| Social capital - Organizations | 0.05 (-0.13, 0.22) | -0.11 (-0.36, 0.14) | |
| Social capital - Social interaction | -0.15 (-0.32, 0.02) | -0.09 (-0.31, 0.13) | |
| Social capital - Volunteerism | 0.01 (-0.17, 0.18) | -0.09 (-0.31, 0.14) | |
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| RD (95% CI) | RD (95% CI) | |
| Social control score | 0.05 (-0.14, 0.23) | -0.19 (-0.67, 0.28) | |
| Social cohesion score | -0.01 (-0.16, 0.14) | 0.14 (-0.26, 0.55) | |
| Social cohesion - Markers of territoriality | -0.01 (-0.19, 0.17) | 0.50 (0.17, 0.83) | |
| Social capital - Organizations | 0.05 (-0.10, 0.20) | -0.13 (-0.65, 0.40) | |
| Social capital - Social interaction | -0.24 (-0.37, -0.11) | 0.44 (0.05, 0.84) | |
| Social capital - Volunteerism | -0.08 (-0.22, 0.06) | 0.11 (-0.31, 0.54) | |
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| RD (95% CI) | RD (95% CI) | |
| Social control score | 0.01 (-0.21, 0.23) | 0.05 (-0.24, 0.34) | |
| Social cohesion score | 0.01 (-0.16, 0.18) | 0.13 (-0.12, 0.37) | |
| Social cohesion - Markers of territoriality | 0.03 (-0.16, 0.22) | 0.24 (0.04, 0.45) | |
| Social capital - Organizations | 0.00 (-0.17, 0.16) | -0.01 (-0.27, 0.26) | |
| Social capital - Social interaction | -0.12 (-0.29, 0.04) | -0.07 (-0.32, 0.18) | |
| Social capital - Volunteerism | 0.01 (-0.15, 0.18) | -0.04 (-0.34, 0.25) | |
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| RD (95% CI) | RD (95% CI) | |
| Social control score | -0.01 (-0.30, 0.28) | 0.03 (-0.19, 0.24) | |
| Social cohesion score | 0.05 (-0.12, 0.30) | 0.02 (-0.15, 0.19) | |
| Social cohesion - Markers of territoriality | 0.00 (-0.36, 0.37) | 0.08 (-0.11, 0.27) | |
| Social capital - Organizations | 0.17 (-0.07, 0.41) | -0.14 (-0.31, 0.03) | |
| Social capital - Social interaction | -0.15 (-0.39, 0.08) | -0.09 (-0.26, 0.08) | |
| Social capital - Volunteerism | -0.12 (-0.36, 0.13) | 0.04 (-0.12, 0.21) |