OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study is to determine the diagnostic threshold of HbA1c for diabetes and the impact of using it on diabetes prevalence. METHODS: A population-based stratified study was conducted in 2010 among community-dwelling adults aged ≥35years in southern China. Participants without previously-diagnosed diabetes (PDD) took oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) and HbA1c assay. HbA1c diagnostic threshold was determined by receiver operating characteristic curve. RESULTS: A total of 6989 participants with mean age of 52years were recruited. The area under curve of HbA1c was 0.903 (95% CI: 0.883-0.922), with optimal cut-off value at 6.25% (sensitivity 75.6% and specificity 91.9%). There were 449 (6.42%) patients with PDD and 422 (6.04%), 815 (11.66%) and 918 (13.13%) new cases diagnosed by OGTT, HbA1c ≥6.25% or either, respectively. When either HbA1c or OGTT was used, newly-diagnosed diabetes prevalence increased by 117.4%. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes is prevalent in southern China. Near half of the patients go undetected with current diagnostic criteria. HbA1c ≥6.25% may be the diagnostic threshold value but needs further verification. The introduction of HbA1c threshold into diabetes diagnosis in China will cause a substantial increase in diabetes prevalence and great challenge on the public healthcare system.
OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study is to determine the diagnostic threshold of HbA1c for diabetes and the impact of using it on diabetes prevalence. METHODS: A population-based stratified study was conducted in 2010 among community-dwelling adults aged ≥35years in southern China. Participants without previously-diagnosed diabetes (PDD) took oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) and HbA1c assay. HbA1c diagnostic threshold was determined by receiver operating characteristic curve. RESULTS: A total of 6989 participants with mean age of 52years were recruited. The area under curve of HbA1c was 0.903 (95% CI: 0.883-0.922), with optimal cut-off value at 6.25% (sensitivity 75.6% and specificity 91.9%). There were 449 (6.42%) patients with PDD and 422 (6.04%), 815 (11.66%) and 918 (13.13%) new cases diagnosed by OGTT, HbA1c ≥6.25% or either, respectively. When either HbA1c or OGTT was used, newly-diagnosed diabetes prevalence increased by 117.4%. CONCLUSIONS:Diabetes is prevalent in southern China. Near half of the patients go undetected with current diagnostic criteria. HbA1c ≥6.25% may be the diagnostic threshold value but needs further verification. The introduction of HbA1c threshold into diabetes diagnosis in China will cause a substantial increase in diabetes prevalence and great challenge on the public healthcare system.