Scaling of perceptual errors can predict the shape of neural tuning curves.

Weber's law, first characterized in the 19th century, states that errors estimating the magnitude of perceptual stimuli scale linearly with stimulus intensity. This linear relationship is found in most sensory modalities, generalizes to temporal interval estimation, and even applies to some abstract variables. Despite its generality and long experimental history, the neural basis of Weber's law remains unknown. This work presents a simple theory explaining the conditions under which Weber's law can result from neural variability and predicts that the tuning curves of neural populations which adhere to Weber's law will have a log-power form with parameters that depend on spike-count statistics. The prevalence of Weber's law suggests that it might be optimal in some sense. We examine this possibility, using variational calculus, and show that Weber's law is optimal only when observed real-world variables exhibit power-law statistics with a specific exponent. Our theory explains how physiology gives rise to the behaviorally characterized Weber's law and may represent a general governing principle relating perception to neural activity.