| Literature DB >> 23674550 |
Daphne I Ling1, Mark P Nicol, Madhukar Pai, Sandra Pienaar, Nandini Dendukuri, Heather J Zar.
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Interferon γ release assays (IGRAs) are increasingly used for tuberculosis (TB) infection, but their incremental value beyond patient demographics, clinical signs and conventional tests for active disease has not been evaluated in children.Entities:
Keywords: Clinical Epidemiology; Tuberculosis
Mesh:
Year: 2013 PMID: 23674550 PMCID: PMC3862980 DOI: 10.1136/thoraxjnl-2012-203086
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Thorax ISSN: 0040-6376 Impact factor: 9.139
Figure 1Flowchart of children included in the study. CXR, chest radiography; TB, tuberculosis; TST, tuberculin skin test.
Demographic and clinical characteristics of 528 children at enrolment
| Characteristic | Frequency (%) in all children (n=528) | Frequency (%) in culture-confirmed children (n=91) | Frequency (%) in treated children (n=296) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median age in months (IQR) | 22 (12 to 53) | 28 (16 to 62) | 25 (13 to 61) |
| Male | 292 (55) | 54 (59) | 164 (55) |
| BCG vaccinated (based on presence of scar and vaccination records) | 447 (85) | 60 (66) | 240 (81) |
| Night sweats | 275 (52) | 54 (59) | 159 (54) |
| Malaise | 245 (46) | 56 (62) | 153 (52) |
| Fever >2 weeks | 85 (16) | 24 (26) | 59 (20) |
| Cough >2 weeks | 169 (32) | 45 (49) | 118 (40) |
| History of household TB contact | 321 (61) | 61 (67) | 185 (63) |
| HIV positive | 124 (24) | 15 (17) | 71 (24) |
| WHO clinical stage 1 | 11 (9) | 0 | 2 (3) |
| WHO clinical stage 2 | 35 (28) | 5 (33) | 15 (21) |
| WHO clinical stage 3 | 50 (40) | 6 (40) | 31 (44) |
| WHO clinical stage 4 | 28 (23) | 4 (27) | 23 (32) |
| Median CD4 cell count in HIV-positive children (IQR)* | 489 (226 to 832) | 333 (112 to 485) | 471 (152 to 832) |
| Median weight for age Z score (IQR) | −1.56 (−2.84 to −0.56) | −1.62 (−3.07 to −0.78) | −1.61 (−3.01 to −0.68) |
| Median height for age Z score (IQR)† | −1.23 (−2.33 to −0.30) | −1.11 (−2.33 to −0.60) | −1.17 (−2.34 to −0.33) |
| Median weight for height Z score (IQR)‡ | −0.66 (−2.06 to 0.42) | −1.39 (−3.05 to −0.48) | −0.77 (−2.40 to 0.23) |
| CXR consistent with pulmonary TB | 372 (71) | 81 (89) | 217 (73) |
| TST positive (recommended cut-offs)§ | 213 (40) | 68 (74) | 193 (65) |
| T-SPOT. | 175 (33) | 75 (82) | 157 (53) |
| Median number of SFCs on T-SPOT. | 3 (1 to 13) | 25 (7 to 67) | 7 (2 to33) |
| Smear positive | 37 (7) | 37 (41) | 37 (13) |
*CD4 cell count not available for nine HIV-positive children.
†Data available for 430 children.
‡Data available for 385 children.
§5 mm for HIV-infected children; 10 mm for others.
CXR, chest radiography; SFC, spot-forming cell; TB, tuberculosis; TST, tuberculin skin test.
Cross-validated ORs (95% CIs) for culture-confirmed TB for the baseline model with clinical predictors, CXR and TST and the expanded model with binary T-SPOT.TB results (n=491)
| Predictor | Baseline model without T-SPOT. | Expanded model with T-SPOT. |
|---|---|---|
| Night sweats | 1.42 (0.72 to 2.80) | 1.32 (0.66 to 2.69) |
| Malaise | 1.82 (0.94 to 3.53) | 2.08 (1.03 to 4.18) |
| Fever >2 weeks | 1.90 (0.83 to 4.35) | 1.86 (0.78 to 4.48) |
| Cough >2 weeks | 1.52 (0.73 to 3.16) | 1.42 (0.67 to 3.03) |
| History of TB contact | 0.84 (0.43 to 1.65) | 0.61 (0.29 to 1.25) |
| HIV positive | 0.43 (0.14 to 1.34) | 0.64 (0.19 to 2.14) |
| CXR consistent with TB | 5.53 (2.03 to 15.03) | 4.62 (1.65 to 12.94) |
| TST positive | 19.30 (7.32 to 50.91) | 7.54 (2.56 to 22.20) |
| T-SPOT. | – | 5.93 (2.39 to 14.73) |
CXR, chest radiography; TB, tuberculosis; TST, tuberculin skin test.
AUC, NRI and IDI results with culture-confirmed TB and empirical treatment for active TB as the outcome in smear-negative children (n=491). Comparisons are made between the baseline model with clinical predictors, CXR and TST and the expanded model with addition of T-SPOT.TB
| AUC expanded (95% CI) | AUC baseline (95% CI) | AUC difference (95% CI) | NRI events (95% CI) | NRI non-events (95%CI) | NRI sum (95% CI) | IDI events (95% CI) | IDI non-events (95% CI) | IDI sum (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Culture-confirmed TB | |||||||||
| Clinical+CXR+TST+T-SPOT. | 0.88 (0.85 to 0.92) | 0.85 (0.80 to 0.90) | 0.03 (0.002 to 0.07) | 0.03 (−0.10 to 0.28) | 0.04 (−0.01 to 0.07) | 0.07 (−0.08 to 0.31) | 0.02 (0.001 to 0.10) | 0.01 (0.001 to 0.01) | 0.03 (0.001 to 0.11) |
| Clinical+CXR+TST+T-SPOT. | 0.87 (0.84 to 0.92) | 0.85 (0.80 to 0.90) | 0.02 (0.002 to 0.06) | 0.07 (−0.09 to 0.22) | 0.01 (−0.01 to 0.07) | 0.08 (−0.07 to 0.25) | 0.04 (0.002 to 0.10) | 0.004 (0.001 to 0.01) | 0.04 (0.002 to 0.12) |
| Empirical treatment for active TB | |||||||||
| Clinical+CXR+TST+T-SPOT. | 0.86 (0.83 to 0.90) | 0.84 (0.81 to 0.88) | 0.02 (0.003 to 0.03) | 0.01 (−0.02 to 0.04) | 0.12 (−0.01 to 0.19) | 0.13 (−0.001 to 0.20) | 0.01 (0.002 to 0.03) | 0.01 (0.003 to 0.03) | 0.02 (0.01 to 0.06) |
| Clinical+CXR+TST+T-SPOT. | 0.86 (0.83 to 0.90) | 0.84 (0.81 to 0.88) | 0.02 (0.003 to 0.04) | 0.01 (−0.03 to 0.05) | 0.08 (−0.01 to 0.22) | 0.09 (−0.01 to 0.24) | 0.01 (0.003 to 0.03) | 0.02 (0.003 to 0.03) | 0.03 (0.01 to 0.06) |
AUC, area under the curve; CXR, chest radiography; IDI, integrated discrimination improvement; NRI, net reclassification improvement; TST, tuberculin skin test.
Reclassification tables to calculate the NRI for binary T-SPOT.TB results in smear-negative children with and without culture-confirmed TB, using the risk categories <10%, 10–30% and >30%*
| Clinical+CXR+TST+T-SPOT. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clinical+CXR+TST (baseline model) | <10% | 10–30% | >30% | Total |
| Confirmed TB (N=54) | ||||
| <10% | 4 | 9 | ||
| 10–30% | 4 | 9 | 19 | |
| >30% | 1 | 4 | 21 | 26 |
| Total | 9 | 18 | 27 | 54 |
| Not confirmed TB (N=437) | ||||
| <10% | 318 | 12 | 0 | 330 |
| 10–30% | 29 | 12 | 67 | |
| >30% | 28 | 40 | ||
| Total | 346 | 51 | 40 | 437 |
Numbers in bold indicate correctly-reclassified patients that are used to calculate the NRI.
*The risk categories are based on the predicted probabilities from the logistic regression model. The T-SPOT.TB correctly reclassified 3% of culture-confirmed cases (11/54 above the diagonal minus 9/54 below the diagonal). The T-SPOT.TB correctly reclassified 4% of non-confirmed cases (38/437 below the diagonal minus 24/437 above the diagonal). Thus, the overall NRI is 7%.
CXR, chest radiography; NRI, net reclassification improvement; PTB, pulmonary tuberculosis; TST, tuberculin skin test.
Figure 2Distributions of the predicted probability of tuberculosis (TB) for children with (top) and without (bottom) culture-confirmed TB. Plots on the left represent the baseline model with clinical predictors, chest radiography (CXR) and tuberculin skin test (TST). Plots on the right represent this model extended by binary T-SPOT.TB results. The T-SPOT.TB increased marginally the average probability in confirmed cases from 29% to 31%, while for non-confirmed cases the average probability was reduced only from 9% to 8%.