| Literature DB >> 23667331 |
Thomas P Eisele1, Dale A Rhoda, Felicity T Cutts, Joseph Keating, Ruilin Ren, Aluisio J D Barros, Fred Arnold.
Abstract
Nationally representative household surveys are increasingly relied upon to measure maternal, newborn, and child health (MNCH) intervention coverage at the population level in low- and middle-income countries. Surveys are the best tool we have for this purpose and are central to national and global decision making. However, all survey point estimates have a certain level of error (total survey error) comprising sampling and non-sampling error, both of which must be considered when interpreting survey results for decision making. In this review, we discuss the importance of considering these errors when interpreting MNCH intervention coverage estimates derived from household surveys, using relevant examples from national surveys to provide context. Sampling error is usually thought of as the precision of a point estimate and is represented by 95% confidence intervals, which are measurable. Confidence intervals can inform judgments about whether estimated parameters are likely to be different from the real value of a parameter. We recommend, therefore, that confidence intervals for key coverage indicators should always be provided in survey reports. By contrast, the direction and magnitude of non-sampling error is almost always unmeasurable, and therefore unknown. Information error and bias are the most common sources of non-sampling error in household survey estimates and we recommend that they should always be carefully considered when interpreting MNCH intervention coverage based on survey data. Overall, we recommend that future research on measuring MNCH intervention coverage should focus on refining and improving survey-based coverage estimates to develop a better understanding of how results should be interpreted and used.Entities:
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Year: 2013 PMID: 23667331 PMCID: PMC3646211 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001386
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS Med ISSN: 1549-1277 Impact factor: 11.069
Figure 1Two ways of looking at coverage of full immunization in Ethiopia—with and without confidence intervals.
Ethiopia DHS surveys 2000, 2005, 2011 [33].
Sampling characteristics of selected point estimates from the 2007 Zambia DHS Survey [7].
| Indicator | Percent Point Estimate | Percent Standard Error | 95% CI | Sample Size |
|
| 52.2 | 1.24 | 49.8–54.7 | 7,164 |
|
| 17.7 | 0.71 | 16.4–19.2 | 5,844 |
|
| 38.2 | 1.85 | 34.6–41.9 | 1,034 |
| Wealth quintile | ||||
| Lowest | 35.3 | 3.85 | 27.7–43.0 | 219 |
| Second | 42.6 | 3.60 | 35.5–49.7 | 228 |
| Middle | 36.6 | 3.44 | 29.8–43.4 | 253 |
| Fourth | 37.5 | 3.15 | 31.3–43.8 | 228 |
| Highest | 39.6 | 5.02 | 29.5–49.7 | 106 |
Point estimates in this table may vary slightly from the point estimates reported in the 2007 Zambia DHS survey because of slight differences in inclusion criteria during analysis, although all are within 1%.
There are different numbers of children in each wealth quintile because wealth quintiles are calculated at the household level for all persons in the household and not for subgroups.