| Literature DB >> 23652768 |
Ahmed Abdelrazec1, Suzanne Lenhart, Huaiping Zhu.
Abstract
There are more than 300 avian species that can transmit West Nile virus (WNv). In general, the corvid and non-corvid families of birds have different responses to the virus, with corvids suffering a higher disease-induced mortality rate. By taking both corvids and non-corvids as the primary reservoir hosts and mosquitoes as vectors; we formulate and study a system of ordinary differential equations to model a single season of the transmission dynamics of WNv in the mosquito-bird cycle. We calculate the basic reproduction number and analyze the existence and stability of the equilibria. The existence of a backward bifurcation gives a further sub-threshold condition beyond the basic reproduction number for the spread of the virus. We also discuss the role of corvids and non-corvids in spreading the virus. We conclude that knowledge of the relative abundance of corvid bird species and other mammals assist us in accurate estimation of the epidemic of WNv.Entities:
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Year: 2013 PMID: 23652768 DOI: 10.1007/s00285-013-0677-3
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Math Biol ISSN: 0303-6812 Impact factor: 2.259