Usefulness of QRS axis change to predict mortality in patients with left bundle branch block.

QRS duration correlates with poor prognosis in patients with left bundle branch block (LBBB), but the importance of left-axis deviation (LAD) is not well established. To determine if LAD confers a mortality risk in patients with LBBB, a single-center, retrospective, population-based cohort study was conducted. Included were all patients at 1 hospital with LBBB on electrocardiography from 1995 to 2005 over a 17-year follow-up period (n = 2,794, median follow-up duration 20 months, interquartile range 6 to 64). Half of all patients with LBBB had LAD. The all-cause mortality rate in the entire cohort was 15%. LAD was not associated with mortality, either as a single outcome (odds ratio [OR] 1.1, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.88 to 1.3, p = 0.50) or in time-to-event analysis (p = 0.40). Significant risk factors for mortality included high creatinine (OR 1.2, 95% CI 1.1 to 1.3), low hemoglobin (OR 1.2, 95% CI 1.1 to 1.3), history of atrial fibrillation (OR 1.6, 95% CI 1.3 to 2.1), electrocardiographic evidence of previous infarct (OR 1.5, 95% CI 1.2 to 1.9), and history of ventricular tachycardia (OR 1.4, 95% CI 1.0 to 1.9). On bivariate analysis, LAD was associated with atrial fibrillation, ventricular tachycardia, age, and congestive heart failure. Patients with LBBB who converted from normal axis to LAD had significantly higher mortality in time-to-event analysis (p = 0.02). In conclusion, in patients with LBBB, LAD does not confer significant mortality risk. However, those with normal axis who developed LAD during the study period had significantly higher mortality. Perhaps when LBBB and LAD develop concurrently, there is no increased risk over baseline LBBB development, but it may herald a worse prognosis if LAD develops against the background of previous LBBB, from an unknown mechanism.