Ethnic differences in the association between blood pressure components and chronic kidney disease in middle aged and older Asian adults.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is an emerging public health problem worldwide. Previous studies have shown an association between blood pressure (BP) and CKD. However, it is not clear if there are ethnic differences in this association. We examined the association between BP and CKD in a multi-ethnic Asian population in Singapore.
METHODS: We analysed data from three large population-based studies conducted between 2004-2011, (n=3,167 Chinese, 3,082 Malays and 3,228 Indians) aged 40-80 years. CKD was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m² from serum creatinine. Hypertension was defined as a self-reported current use of antihypertensive medication or systolic BP ≥140 mm Hg or diastolic BP ≥90 mm Hg. We also analysed the association of CKD with individual BP components.
RESULTS: The prevalence of both hypertension and CKD was higher among Malays (68.6, 21%) compared to Chinese (57.9, 5.9%) and Indians (56.0, 7.4%), but treatment for hypertension was lower among Malays (53.4%) compared to Chinese (89.8%) and Indians (83.1%). Hypertension was associated with CKD in all three ethnic groups (OR [95% CI] = 2.71 [1.59-4.63], 2.08 [1.62-2.68], 2.43 [1.66-3.57] in Chinese, Malays and Indians). Among the BP components, both systolic and diastolic BP were associated with CKD in Malays whereas, systolic BP was not significantly associated with CKD, and diastolic BP showed an inverse association which was explained by anti-hypertensive medication use in Chinese and Indians.
CONCLUSIONS: Hypertension was associated with CKD in Chinese, Malays and Indians. However, the BP components were associated with CKD only in Malays.

Background

Hypertension is an established risk factor for chronic kidney disease (CKD) associated with increased risk for progression to renal failure and adverse cardiovascular outcomes [1-3]. Evidence from clinical trials suggest a beneficial effect of optimal BP control on CKD progression [4,5]. Hypertension has been shown to be an important risk factor for CKD in addition to diabetes in Western populations [6,7]. Recent studies conducted in the US have shown that hypertension of all ranges including prehypertension [7,8] and all components including systolic BP [8-13], diastolic BP [11] and pulse pressure [13] are associated with CKD. Ethnic minorities including blacks and Asian Americans [14] were shown to be at increased risk of developing CKD compared to whites in the US. The prevalence of both hypertension and CKD are increasing in Asian populations [15]. It has also been suggested that the risk factor associations of CKD are different in Asians compared to whites. For example, in the KEEP-2 study in the US involving Asian Americans, Pacific islanders and whites, while hypertension was a significant risk factor for CKD in whites, Japanese, Native Hawaiians, Filipinos, no significant association was observed between hypertension and CKD in Chinese [16]. Given the ethnic differences in the prevalence of both hypertension and CKD [17] in Asian populations, it is important to clarify the association between BP and CKD in Asian ethnic groups. However, studies examining the association between BP and CKD in Asian populations have shown mixed results. While some studies involving Malays [18] and Japanese men [19] have reported an association between BP and CKD, some studies involving Chinese [20], Japanese [21] and Korean adults [22] have documented no significant association between BP and CKD. This inconsistency could partly be due to differences in methodology or population characteristics. To address this gap in literature, we aimed to examine the relationship between hypertension, individual BP components and CKD among Chinese, Malays and Indians in Singapore. The availability of three large datasets representing three largest Asian ethnic groups of similar age group, geographic region and study methods provides a unique opportunity to study the ethnic differences in the association between BP and CKD in Asia.

Methods

Study population

We evaluated data obtained from three large cross-sectional studies, Singapore Chinese Eye Study (SCES), Singapore Malay Eye Study (SiMES) and the Singapore Indian Eye Study (SINDI). SiMES, the first of the three studies was conducted between 2004–2006, followed by SINDI between 2007–2009 and the SCES between 2009–2011. All three studies followed the same study protocol and were conducted in the same study clinic (Singapore Eye Research Institute). All study participants were recruited from the southwestern part of Singapore. According to the 2000 Singapore census, the residents of southwestern part were a fair representation of the Singapore population in terms of age distribution and socioeconomic status. Details of the study population and methods of SiMES have been published elsewhere [23]. In brief, in SiMES, 5600 individuals were selected by an age-stratified random sampling method from the computer generated random list of 16,069 Malay names based on unique identity card number of the residents provided by the Ministry of Home Affairs. Of the 4,168 eligible individuals, 3280 participated in the study (78.7% response rate). Of the 3,148 participants with serum creatinine measurements, after excluding those with missing information on variables included in the multivariable model (n=66), 3,082 were included in the final analysis. In SINDI [24], 6,350 adults were selected by an age-stratified random sampling method from the computer generated random list of 11,616 Indian names provided by the Ministry of Home Affairs. Of the 4,497 eligible participants, 3,400 participated in the study (75.6% response rate). Of the 3,259 participants with serum creatinine measurements, after excluding those with missing information on variables included in the multivariable model (n=31), 3,228 provided data for the final analysis. In SCES [24], 6,752 adults were selected by an age-stratified random sampling method from the computer generated random list of 12,000 Chinese names provided by the Ministry of Home Affairs. Of the 4,605 eligible participants, 3,353 participated in the study (72.8% response rate). Of the 3,192 participants with serum creatinine measurements, after excluding those with missing information on variables included in the multivariable model (n=25), 3,167 provided data for the final analysis. Written informed consent was obtained from all participants and all studies were approved by the Singapore Eye Research Institute Institutional Review Board.

Exposure measurement

Information on participants’ demographic characteristics, educational attainment, monthly income, cigarette smoking, alcohol consumption and medical history were obtained using a standardized questionnaire administered by trained personnel. BP measurement was taken with a digital automatic blood pressure monitor, (Dinamap model Pro Series DP110X-RW, 100V2; GE Medical Systems Information Technologies, Inc., USA) on 2 occasions 5 minutes apart, after the participants were seated for at least 5 minutes. If the blood pressures differed by more than 10 mm Hg systolic or 5 mm Hg diastolic, a third measurement was taken and BP of the individual was taken as the average of the two closest readings. Hypertension was defined as systolic BP ≥140 mm Hg or diastolic BP ≥90 mm Hg or self-reported previously diagnosed hypertension. BP was also categorized according to the JNC 7 categories [25] as 1) normal BP (<120 mm Hg systolic and <80 mm Hg diastolic); 2) prehypertension (120 to 139 mm Hg systolic or 80–89 mm Hg diastolic); 3) stage 1 hypertension (140 to 159 mm Hg systolic or 90 to 99 mm Hg diastolic); 4) stage 2 hypertension (≥160 mm Hg systolic or ≥100 mm Hg diastolic). All subjects on anti-hypertensive medication were classified as hypertensive irrespective of current BP. Thus those on antihypertensive medication but with ‘normal or prehypertensive range of BP’ were categorized under stage 1 hypertension and the rest were classified under stage 2 hypertension. Pulse pressure (PP) was defined as the difference between systolic BP and diastolic BP.

Measurement of outcome

CKD was defined as an eGFR of <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 based on the US National Kidney Foundation Kidney Disease Outcome Quality Initiative (NKF-KDOQI) CKD stage 3 and above. GFR was estimated from serum creatinine using the recently developed Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation [26] as follows: 141 × min(Scr/k, 1)α× max(Scr/k, 1)-1.209×0.993Age ×1.018 (for women), where Scr is serum creatinine, k is 0.7 for females and 0.9 for males, α is −0.329 for females and −0.411 for males, min indicates the minimum of Scr/k or 1, and max indicates the maximum of Scr/k or 1. Serum creatinine was measured using an enzymatic method calibrated to the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) Liquid Chromatography Isotope Dilution Mass Spectrometry (LC-IDMS) method recommended by the National Kidney Disease Education Program and traceable to NIST SRM967. Validation studies conducted in Singapore have shown CKD-EPI to be more accurate than MDRD in particular at higher eGFRs [27] and the prevalence of CKD by both MDRD and CKD-EPI to be similar in all three ethnic groups [28] suggesting the adoption of CKD-EPI equation without ethnic adjustment [27].

Definition of other variables

Age was defined as the age at the time of examination and was categorized into 4 groups: 40–49, 50–59, 60–69, and 70–80. Education was used as an indicator of socioeconomic status and was categorized into 1) primary and below (≤6 years) 2) high school and above (>6 years). Income level was defined as individual gross income per month in Singapore dollars (SGD) and divided in to three categories: <1000, 1000 to <2000, ≥2000. Body mass index (BMI) was calculated as weight in kilograms divided by the square of height in meters (kg/m2). Diabetes mellitus was defined as a casual plasma glucose ≥200 mg/dl (11.1 mmol/L) or self-reported physician-diagnosed diabetes or use of glucose-lowering medication. Cigarette smoking was categorized into current, former and never smoker and alcohol consumption into drinkers and non-drinkers.

Statistical analysis

We compared selected baseline characteristics of the study participants among the three ethnic groups using chi square test or analysis of variance, as appropriate for the variable. We examined the association of hypertension and JNC-7 categories of BP with CKD in three separate logistic regression models. In the first model we adjusted for age (years) and sex and in the multivariable model we additionally adjusted for categories of education, cigarette smoking, alcohol consumption, diabetes mellitus, and BMI (kg/m2). In the third model, we adjusted for antihypertensive medication use in addition to variables adjusted in the second model. We then examined the association of individual BP components (systolic, diastolic and PP) with CKD in the same regression models by categorizing BP in to quartiles of systolic BP, diastolic BP and PP. Since there were large differences in the distribution of systolic and diastolic BP among the three ethnic groups (p<0.0001), ethnicity specific quartiles were used for categorizing BP components. For this analysis, the lowest quartiles of systolic BP, diastolic BP and PP were used as the reference categories. Tests for trend were performed using the quartiles of BP as ordinal variables in corresponding regression models. We also analysed each component of BP as a continuous variable (per 10 units increase). Finally, we calculated the population attributable risk of CKD associated with hypertension in each ethnic group using Levin’s formula, Pe (RR-1)/(1+Pe (RR-1)) where Pe = Prevalence of exposure in the population [29,30]. We performed the analysis separately for each ethnic group. All statistical analyses were performed using SAS version 9.1.

Results

Selected baseline characteristics of the three ethnic groups are shown in Table  1. Of the three ethnic groups, Chinese were older, less likely to be primary/below educated, and had lower levels of glucose, HbA1C and BMI levels and higher levels of eGFR than Malays and Indians. Malays were more likely to be primary & below educated, to have income < SGD 1000, and current smokers, had higher prevalence of hypertension, and overweight/obesity, had higher levels of systolic BP, diastolic BP and BMI and lower levels of eGFR and less likely to use antihypertensive medication; Indians were more likely to be ever drinkers, had higher prevalence of diabetes, higher levels of blood glucose, triglycerides and lower levels of total cholesterol and HDL cholesterol.

Table 1

Characteristics of the study participants by study cohort*

	Chinese	Malay	Indian	P value†
	(n=3,167)	(n=3,082)	(n=3,228)
Age, mean (SD), years	59.4 (9.8)	58.7 (11.0)	57.5 (10.0)	<0.0001
Gender, female, %	50.1	52.0	49.2	0.07
Primary & below education, %	52.5	75.3	55.6	<0.0001
Income <SGD 1000, %	46.1	68.8	48.2	<0.0001
Current smoking, %	13.0	20.2	14.9	<0.0001
Alcohol consumption, %	11.1	1.5	12.9	<0.0001
Hypertension, %	57.9	68.6	56.0	<0.0001
Antihypertensive medication use among those with previously diagnosed hypertension, %	89.8	53.4	83.1	<0.0001
Overweight/obesity, %	32.1	57.8	56.6	<0.0001
Blood glucose, mmol/L	6.4 (2.8)	6.8 (3.7)	7.2 (3.6)	<0.0001
Glycated hemoglobin (HbA1C), %	6.1 (0.9)	6.5 (1.6)	6.4 (1.4)	<0.0001
Systolic BP, mean (SD), mm Hg	136.2 (19.2)	147.2 (23.8)	135.2 (19.5)	<0.0001
Diastolic BP, mean (SD), mm Hg	77.6 (9.8)	79.8 (11.2)	77.5 (10.1)	<0.0001
Total cholesterol, mean (SD), mmol/L	5.5 (1.1)	5.6 (1.2)	5.2 (1.1)	<0.0001
HDL-cholesterol, mean (SD), mmol/L	1.3 (0.4)	1.4 (0.3)	1.1 (0.3)	<0.0001
Triglycerides, mean (SD), mmol/L	1.8 (1.3)	1.6 (1.3)	2.0 (1.2)	<0.0001
Body mass index, mean (SD), kg/m2	23.7 (3.6)	26.4 (5.1)	26.2 (4.8)	<0.0001
Estimated GFR, mL/min/1.73 m2	88.9 (18.5)	74.4 (20.4)	87.2 (18.1)	<0.0001

Abbreviations: HDL, high-density lipoprotein; GFR, glomerular filtration rate; SD, standard deviation.

* Data presented are row percentages or mean values and corresponding standard error.

†P value represents difference in characteristics by study cohort based on analysis of variance or chi square test as appropriate.

The distributions of SBP and DBP by age categories in the three ethnic groups are shown in Figure  1A and 1B. Systolic BP increased with age in all three populations; diastolic BP increased up to 60 years, plateau around 60 years and began to decline after 70 years in Chinese whereas diastolic BP increased up to 60 years and began to decline after 60 years in Malays and Indians. Systolic BP was consistently higher across all age groups in Malays as compared to Chinese and Indians. A similar higher trend for diastolic BP was also noted in Malays as compared to Chinese and Indians. The prevalence of CKD was highest among Malays (21.0%) followed by Indians (7.4%) and Chinese (5.9%). Table  2 shows the association between BP categories and CKD in the Chinese population. Majority of those with hypertension belonged to stage 1 hypertension. The prevalence of CKD increased with increasing JNC 7 BP categories and a significant graded association was observed across the JNC-7 BP categories in the multivariable model (p-trend =0.005). Among the individual JNC-7 categories, although none of the categories showed a significant statistical association, the direction of association with CKD was positive for stage 1 and 2 hypertension, but was negative for prehypertension. Presence of hypertension showed a significant positive association with CKD. Among the individual components, systolic BP and PP were not significantly associated with CKD in both quartile and continuous analysis. In contrast, diastolic BP was inversely associated with CKD in both models. However, this inverse association lost significance when we additionally adjusted for antihypertensive medication use.

Figure 1

Distribution of systolic BP (1A) and diastolic BP (1B) by age groups across the three ethnic groups.

Table 2

Association between blood pressure (BP) categories and eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 min Chinese population

BP categories	No. at risk(cases)	Prevalence of eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (%)	Age, sex-adjusted OR (95% CI)	Multivariable model 1* OR (95% CI)	Multivariable model 2† OR (95% CI)
JNC-7 BP category‡
Normal	492 (7)	1.4	1.00 (referent)	1.00 (referent)	-
Prehypertension	771 (10)	1.3	0.55 (0.20-1.50)	0.49 (0.18-1.35)
Stage1 hypertension	1057 (88)	8.3	2.14 (0.95-4.82)	1.67 (0.73-3.81)
Stage 2 hypertension	847 (115)	13.6	2.29 (1.01-5.18)	1.69 (0.73-3.90)
P trend			0.002	0.005
Hypertensive status
Normotensive	1263 (17)	1.4	1.00 (referent)	1.00 (referent)	-
Hypertensive	1904 (203)	10.7	3.27 (1.94-5.53)	2.71 (1.59-4.63)
Systolic BP quartiles
Quartile 1 (82–122 mm Hg)	780 (32)	4.1	1.00 (referent)	1.00 (referent)	1.00 (referent)
Quartile 2 (123–135 mm Hg)	839 (46)	5.5	0.97 (0.59-1.61)	0.91 (0.54-1.52)	0.81 (0.48-1.37)
Quartile 3 (136–147 mm Hg)	754 (60)	8.0	0.89 (0.55-1.46)	0.82 (0.50-1.35)	0.75 (0.45-1.25)
Quartile 4 (148–225 mm Hg)	794 (82)	10.3	0.77 (0.48-1.25)	0.68 (0.42-1.11)	0.64 (0.39-1.07)
P trend			0.2	0.9	0.8
Each 10 units increase in systolic BP			0.96 (0.88-1.04)	0.94 (0.86-1.02)	0.94 (0.86-1.03)
Diastolic BP quartiles
Quartile 1 (50–70 mm Hg)	869 (83)	9.6	1.00 (referent)	1.00 (referent)	1.00 (referent)
Quartile 2 (71–76 mm Hg)	723 (45)	6.2	0.53 (0.35-0.81)	0.55 (0.36-0.84)	0.53 (0.34-0.83)
Quartile 3 (77–83 mm Hg)	774 (54)	7.0	0.72 (0.48-1.07)	0.70 (0.47-1.04)	0.69 (0.44-1.08)
Quartile 4 (84–117 mm Hg)	801 (38)	4.7	0.53 (0.34-0.82)	0.53 (0.34-0.83)	0.63 (0.36-1.09)
P trend			0.01	0.01	0.1
Each 10 units increase in diastolic BP			0.82 (0.69-0.98)	0.81 (0.68-0.97)	0.87 (0.69-1.09)
Pulse pressure quartiles
Quartile 1 (21–46 mm Hg)	786 (23)	2.9	1.00 (Referent)	1.00 (Referent)	1.00 (referent)
Quartile 2 (47–55 mm Hg)	775 (36)	4.7	0.96 (0.54-1.69)	0.90 (0.51-1.61)	0.85 (0.47-1.54)
Quartile 3 (56–67 mm Hg)	800 (59)	7.4	1.03 (0.60-1.77)	0.91 (0.53-1.58)	0.80 (0.45-1.39)
Quartile 4 (68–121 mm hg)	806 (102)	12.7	0.92 (0.53-1.58)	0.80 (0.46-1.39)	0.71 (0.40-1.24)
P trend			0.7	0.4	0.2
Each 10 units increase in pulse pressure			1.00 (0.90-1.10)	0.97 (0.88-1.08)	0.96 (0.87-1.07)

Abbreviations: eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; * Adjusted for age (years), gender, education (primary and below, high school and above), body mass index (kg/m2), smoking (current, former, never), alcohol intake (present, absent), diabetes status (present, absent).

† Adjusted for variables in model 1 + antihypertensive medication use.

‡ BP classified according to Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee (JNC 7) on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and

Treatment of High Blood Pressure criteria (normal, systolic BP <120 mm Hg and diastolic BP <80 mm Hg; prehypertension,

systolic BP 120–139 or diastolic BP 80–89 mm Hg; stage 1 hypertension, systolic BP 140–159 or diastolic BP 90–99 mm Hg;

stage 2 hypertension, systolic BP ≥160 or diastolic BP ≥100 mm Hg).

Hypertension was defined as a self-reported current use of antihypertensive medication or systolic BP ≥140 mm Hg or diastolic BP ≥90 mm Hg.

Table  3 shows the association between BP categories and CKD in the Malay population. Majority of those with hypertension belonged to stage 2 hypertension. A significant graded association was observed across categories of JNC with CKD (p-trend <0.0001). Compared to those with normal BP, stage 1 and 2 hypertension showed a significant positive association with CKD. Prehypertension showed a positive association with CKD though short of significance. Presence of hypertension showed a significant positive association with CKD. All components of BP including systolic BP, diastolic BP and PP were significantly associated with CKD in both quartile and continuous analysis. This positive association between BP components and CKD remained unaltered with additional adjustment for antihypertensive medication.

Table 3

Association between blood pressure (BP) categories and eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 min Malay population

BP categories	No. at risk (cases)	Prevalence of eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (%)	Age, sex-adjusted OR (95% CI)	Multivariable model 1* OR (95% CI)	Multivariable model 2† OR (95% CI)
JNC-7 BP category‡
Normal	300 (15)	5.0	1.00 (referent)	1.00 (referent)	-
Prehypertension	757 (84)	11.1	1.65 (0.92-2.97)	1.55 (0.85-2.81)
Stage1 hypertension	877 (181)	20.6	2.51 (1.43-4.43)	2.25 (1.27-4.01)
Stage 2 hypertension	1148 (406)	35.4	4.19 (2.40-7.32)	3.58 (2.03-6.32)
P trend			<0.0001	<0.0001
Hypertensive status
Normotensive	1057 (99)	9.4	1.00 (referent)	1.00 (referent)	-
Hypertensive	2025 (587)	29.0	2.26 (1.77-2.90)	2.08 (1.62-2.68)
Systolic BP quartiles
Quartile 1 (84–129 mm Hg)	761 (81)	10.6	1.00 (referent)	1.00 (referent)	1.00 (referent)
Quartile 2 (130–143 mm Hg)	744 (132)	17.7	1.40 (1.02-1.92)	1.29 (0.94-1.79)	1.25 (0.90-1.73)
Quartile 3 (144–162 mm Hg)	7987 (196)	24.6	1.71 (1.26-2.31)	1.53 (1.12-2.09)	1.46 (1.07-2.00)
Quartile 4 (163–275 mm Hg)	7794 (277)	35.6	2.19 (1.63-2.95)	1.97 (1.45-2.66)	1.94 (1.43-2.64)
P trend			<0.0001	<0.0001	<0.0001
Each 10 units increase in systolic BP			1.13 (1.09-1.18)	1.11 (1.07-1.16)	1.12 (1.07-1.17)
Diastolic BP quartiles
Quartile 1 (48–70 mm Hg)	727 (152)	20.9	1.00 (referent)	1.00 (referent)	1.00 (referent)
Quartile 2 (71–77 mm Hg)	752 (172)	22.9	1.04 (0.79-1.36)	1.05 (0.80-1.38)	1.06 (0.80-1.39)
Quartile 3 (78–86 mm Hg)	833 (173)	20.8	1.02 (0.78-1.33)	1.00 (0.76-1.32)	1.03 (0.78-1.36)
Quartile 4 (87–131 mm Hg)	770 (189)	24.6	1.27 (0.97-1.66)	1.31 (0.99-1.72)	1.39 (1.05-1.83)
P trend			0.1	0.08	0.03
Each 10 units increase in diastolic BP			1.09 (1.00-1.19)	1.10 (1.01-1.20)	1.13 (1.04-1.23)
Pulse pressure quartiles
Quartile 1 (26–52 mm Hg)	758 (64)	8.4	1.00 (referent)	1.00 (referent)	1.00 (referent)
Quartile 2 (53–65 mm Hg)	781 (130)	16.7	1.47 (1.05-2.07)	1.33 (0.94-1.88)	1.30 (0.91-1.84)
Quartile 3 (66–79 mm Hg)	765 (192)	25.1	1.82 (1.31-2.54)	1.51 (1.07-2.12)	1.45 (1.03-2.04)
Quartile 4 (80–136 mm hg)	778 (300)	38.6	2.58 (1.85-3.61)	2.10 (1.49-2.95)	2.04 (1.44-2.87)
P trend			<0.0001	<0.0001	<0.0001
Each 10 units increase in pulse pressure			1.21 (1.14-1.28)	1.17 (1.10-1.24)	1.16 (1.09-1.23)

Abbreviations: eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; * Adjusted for age (years), gender, education (primary and below, high school and above), body mass index (kg/m2), smoking (current, former, never), alcohol intake (present, absent), diabetes status (present, absent).

† Adjusted for variables in model 1 + antihypertensive medication use.

‡ BP classified according to Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee (JNC 7) on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and

Treatment of High Blood Pressure criteria (normal, systolic BP <120 mm Hg and diastolic BP <80 mm Hg; prehypertension,

systolic BP 120–139 or diastolic BP 80–89 mm Hg; stage 1 hypertension, systolic BP 140–159 or diastolic BP 90–99 mm Hg;

stage 2 hypertension, systolic BP ≥160 or diastolic BP ≥100 mm Hg).

Hypertension was defined as a self-reported current use of antihypertensive medication or systolic BP ≥140 mm Hg or diastolic BP ≥90 mm Hg.

Table  4 shows the association between BP categories and CKD in the Indian population. Majority of those with hypertension had stage 1 hypertension. A significant graded association was observed between JNC-7 categories and CKD (p-trend = 0.001) and stage 1 and 2 hypertension showed a significant positive association with CKD. Similar to Chinese, prehypertension showed a non-significant negative association with CKD. Presence of hypertension showed a significant positive association with CKD similar to the other two ethnic groups. Among the individual components, systolic BP was not significantly associated with CKD in both quartile and continuous analysis. In contrast, diastolic BP was inversely associated with CKD in both age, sex-adjusted and the first multivariable model. However, this inverse association lost significance with additional adjustment to antihypertensive medication use. Similarly, pulse pressure showed a positive association with CKD in quartile and continuous analysis in the age, sex-adjusted and the first multivariable model. But the association became insignificant with additional adjustment for antihypertensive medication. In Table  5, we have summarized the effect estimates of CKD associated with hypertension and BP components in the three ethnic groups. In PAR calculations, the proportion of CKD prevalence that can be attributable to hypertension was 49.8% among Chinese, 42.6% among Malays and 44.4% among Indians.

Table 4

Association between blood pressure (BP) categories and eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 min Indian population

BP categories	No. at risk (cases)	Prevalence of eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (%)	Age, sex-adjusted OR (95% CI)	Multivariable model 1* OR (95% CI)	Multivariable model 2† OR (95% CI)
JNC-7 BP category‡
Normal	532 (12)	2.3	1.00 (referent)	1.00 (referent)	-
Prehypertension	834 (24)	2.9	0.98 (0.48-2.00)	0.87 (0.42-1.78)
Stage1 hypertension	1052 (122)	11.6	2.98 (1.60-5.54)	2.40 (1.28-4.51)
Stage 2 hypertension	810 (106)	13.1	2.63 (1.40-4.95)	1.98 (1.04-3.78)
P trend		8.2	<0.0001	0.002
Hypertensive status
Normotensive	1366 (36)	2.6	1.00 (referent)	1.00 (referent)	-
Hypertensive	1862 (228)	12.2	2.86 (1.97-4.16)	2.43 (1.66-3.57)
Systolic BP quartiles
Quartile 1 (79–121 mm Hg)	825 (42)	5.1	1.00 (referent)	1.00 (referent)	1.00 (referent)
Quartile 2 (122–133 mm Hg)	782 (64)	8.2	1.19 (0.78-1.82)	1.11 (0.73-1.71)	1.06 (0.69-1.64)
Quartile 3 (134–147 mm Hg)	817 (54)	6.6	0.76 (0.49-1.18)	0.68 (0.44-1.07)	0.61 (0.39-0.96)
Quartile 4 (148–237 mm Hg)	804 (104)	13.0	1.24 (0.83-1.84)	1.06 (0.71-1.59)	0.96 (0.64-1.45)
P trend			0.5	0.9	0.5
Each 10 units increase in systolic BP			1.00 (0.94-1.08)	0.98 (0.91-1.05)	0.97 (0.90-1.04)
Diastolic BP quartiles
Quartile 1 (43–69 mm Hg)	810 (102)	12.6	1.00 (referent)	1.00 (referent)	1.00 (referent)
Quartile 2 (70–76 mm Hg)	803 (72)	9.0	0.69 (0.49-0.96)	0.74 (0.51-1.06)	0.81 (0.56-1.16)
Quartile 3 (77–83 mm Hg)	786 (52)	6.6	0.55 (0.38-0.79)	0.64 (0.42-0.97)	0.78 (0.52-1.17)
Quartile 4 (84–136 mm Hg)	829 (38)	4.6	0.42 (0.28-0.63)	0.54 (0.32-0.90)	0.71 (0.45-1.13)
P trend			<0.0001	0.01	0.1
Each 10 units increase in diastolic BP			0.67 (0.58-0.79)	0.71 (0.58-0.88)	0.83 (0.70-1.00)
Pulse pressure quartiles
Quartile 1 (23–45 mm Hg)	804 (23)	2.9	1.00 (Referent)	1.00 (Referent)	1.00 (referent)
Quartile 2 (46–55 mm Hg)	768 (45)	5.9	1.53 (0.89-2.57)	1.42 (0.83-2.42)	1.40 (0.82-2.41)
Quartile 3 (56–67 mm Hg)	846 (72)	8.5	1.62 (0.98-2.68)	1.35 (0.81-2.25)	1.22 (0.72-2.04)
Quartile 4 (68–121 mm hg)	810 (124)	15.3	2.15 (1.31-3.52)	1.66 (1.00-2.76)	1.46 (0.87-2.43)
P trend			0.002	0.07	0.2
Each 10 units increase in pulse pressure			1.15 (1.06-1.25)	1.09 (1.00-1.19)	1.06 (0.97-1.16)

Abbreviations: eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval.

* Adjusted for age (years), gender, education (primary and below, high school and above), body mass index (kg/m2), smoking (current, former, never), alcohol intake (present, absent), diabetes status (present, absent).

† Adjusted for variables in model 1 + antihypertensive medication use.

‡ BP classified according to Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee (JNC 7) on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and

Treatment of High Blood Pressure criteria (normal, systolic BP <120 mm Hg and diastolic BP <80 mm Hg; prehypertension,

systolic BP 120–139 or diastolic BP 80–89 mm Hg; stage 1 hypertension, systolic BP 140–159 or diastolic BP 90–99 mm Hg;

stage 2 hypertension, systolic BP ≥160 or diastolic BP ≥100 mm Hg).

Hypertension was defined as a self-reported current use of antihypertensive medication or systolic BP ≥140 mm Hg or diastolic BP ≥90 mm Hg.

Table 5

Summary of odds ratio of CKD for BP components by ethnicity

Ethnic groups	Multivariable model 1 OR (95% CI)*	Multivariable model 2 OR (95% CI) †
Hypertension (normotensive Vs. hypertensive)
Chinese	3.27 (1.94-5.53)	2.71 (1.59-4.63)
Malays	2.26 (1.77-2.90)	2.08 (1.62-2.68)
Indians	2.86 (1.97-4.16)	2.43 (1.66-3.57)
Systolic BP (Q4 Vs. Q1)
Chinese	0.68 (0.42-1.11)	0.64 (0.39-1.07)
Malays	1.97 (1.45-2.66)	1.94 (1.43-2.64)
Indians	1.06 (0.71-1.59)	0.96 (0.64-1.45)
Diastolic BP (Q4 Vs. Q1)
Chinese	0.53 (0.34-0.83)	0.63 (0.36-1.09)
Malays	1.31 (0.99-1.72)	1.39 (1.05-1.83)
Indians	0.54 (0.32-0.90)	0.71 (0.45-1.13)

Abbreviations: BP, blood pressure; CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio; Q, quartile.

* Adjusted for age, gender, education, body mass index, smoking, alcohol intake, diabetes.

† Adjusted for variables in model 1 + antihypertensive medication use.

Discussion

In this study, examining the association between BP and CKD using data from three independent studies of Chinese, Malay and Indian ethnic groups aged 40–80 years in Singapore, we found that although hypertension was associated with CKD in all three ethnic groups, the pattern of association between individual BP components and CKD varied across ethnic groups. We found that in Malays, all BP components including systolic BP, diastolic BP and PP were significantly associated with CKD. In Chinese and Indians, systolic BP and PP did not show a significant association whereas diastolic BP showed an inverse association with CKD which was explained by anti-hypertensive medication use in both ethnic groups.

We found that the prevalence of both hypertension and CKD were higher among Malays compared to Chinese and Indians consistent with a recent report from the Singapore National Health Survey (NHS) 2010 [31], and from a cross-sectional study in Malaysia [32]. In addition, the pattern of distribution of risk factors of CKD across the three ethnic groups observed in the current study closely followed that reported by the recent NHS [31]. For example, the prevalence of current smoking and obesity was higher among Malays and the prevalence of diabetes was higher and levels of HDL cholesterol were lower among Indians. These consistent findings with previous reports suggest that our results have sufficient internal validity.

In the current study, presence of hypertension was associated with CKD in all three ethnic groups with the PAR of hypertension being 49.8%, 42.6% and 44.4% in Chinese, Malays and Indians. Hypertension has consistently been shown to be an important risk factor for CKD in Western populations [7,8,13,33]. While majority of the studies involving Asian populations [19,34-36] have reported an association between hypertension and CKD, few studies involving Asian Chinese in the US [16], a large cohort of adults in Japan [21] and Korea [22] have documented no significant association of hypertension with CKD. Although hypertension has been shown to be an important risk factor for ESRD in the US general population, ethnic differences have been reported in the association between hypertension and ESRD with blacks having a 4–5 fold increased risk of hypertensive ESRD compared to whites [37,38]. However, in the current study, the magnitude of association between hypertension and CKD was similar (OR ranging from 2.08 to 2.71) across the three ethnic groups. In addition to hypertension categories, studies conducted in the Western populations reported a positive association between prehypertension and CKD [8,39-41]. Consistent with previous reports, in the current study, a weak positive association was found between prehypertension and CKD only in Malays.

In the current study, systolic BP was associated with CKD only in Malays. Of all the BP components, systolic BP has been shown to be the most useful predictor of CKD in both general [3,10,12,13] as well as high-risk populations [42]. Further, systolic BP predicts progression of CKD [9,43,44] and adverse outcomes [45,46] among those with pre-existing CKD. Systolic BP was shown to be a significant predictor of CKD among male Physicians in the Physicians Health Study (PHS) [13], in a large cohort of men in the MRFIT study [10] and in an elderly cohort with isolated systolic hypertension in the US [12]. Two reviews of observational epidemiological studies and clinical trials reported a graded association between systolic BP and CKD and a reduced risk of CKD with systolic BP reduction [3,46]. In the Kidney Disease Early Evaluation Program (KEEP) involving African Americans at-risk for CKD, systolic BP was associated with both early and late stages of CKD [42]. Systolic BP has also been shown to be associated with progression of CKD in a small cohort of male veterans [9], a large cohort of KEEP participants [11], and in a large cohort of adults in the REasons for the Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke study [43] with preexisting CKD. While studies involving Western populations have shown a consistent positive association between systolic BP and CKD, the pattern of association of systolic BP with CKD has not been consistent in Asian populations. Systolic BP was shown to be strong predictor of ESRD in a large cohort of Chinese adults who participated in the China National Hypertension Survey Epidemiology Follow-up Study (CHEFS) [44] and in a large cohort of middle-aged Japanese men who participated in the Kansai Healthcare Study in Japan [19]. However, similar to our findings in Chinese and Indians, three cross-sectional studies involving Chinese [20], and Japanese [21,47] adults reported no significant association between systolic BP and CKD.

We found that elevated levels of diastolic BP were associated with CKD in Malays only. Compared to systolic BP, diastolic BP has been shown to be less predictive of CKD and adverse outcomes in CKD in majority of the studies conducted in Western populations [9,13,43,48]. In the PHS, of all the BP components, diastolic BP was found to be less predictive of CKD [13]. In the Reduction in endpoints in NIDDM with the Angiotensin II Antagonist Losartan (RENAAL) Study, an increased risk for ESRD was observed for systolic BP only [48]. Similar results were observed in a prospective study of veterans with CKD by Agarwal et al. in the US [9]. In the REGARDS, for a 11 mm increased in diastolic BP, the risk of ESRD increased by 38% [43], however, when systolic and diastolic BP were considered together, the association of diastolic BP with ESRD lost significance [43]. In the KEEP study, diastolic BP greater than 90 mm Hg was associated with an increased risk for ESRD in subjects with CKD [11]. Similar to our findings in Malays, majority of the studies involving Asian populations have shown an association between diastolic BP and CKD [19,21,49] and ESRD [44,50]. Diastolic BP was found to be associated with CKD in a large cohort of Koreans [49], and two cohorts of Japanese [19,21]. Similar association between diastolic BP and ESRD was observed in a large cohort of Japanese [50] Chinese adults [44]. In the current study, elevated diastolic BP showed an inverse association with CKD, in other words, low diastolic BP was associated with CKD in Chinese and Indians. Although this protective association lost its statistical significance after additional adjustment for antihypertensive medication use in Chinese, and Indians, the direction of association still remained the same. The reason for the protective association of diastolic BP with CKD Chinese, and Indians is not clear. Recent studies have shown that among those with higher systolic BP, lower diastolic BP, otherwise wider pulse pressure indicating large arterial stiffening increases the risk of CVD [51,52]. Accordingly, when we explored the relationship between systolic and diastolic BP among the study participants, we found that 76% of Chinese, 86% of Malays and 71% of Indians had systolic BP ≥130 mm Hg; 21% of Chinese and Indians and 29% of Malays had diastolic BP ≥85 mm Hg; in all three ethnic groups, over 90% of those with higher diastolic BP had higher systolic BP. Hence it is conceivable that higher diastolic BP present among majority of participants with higher systolic BP is protective against CKD. Tozawa et al. has shown that use of antihypertensive medication correlated positively with wider PP in hemodialysis patients [36]. Peralta et al. have shown that treatment of hypertension with multiple anti-hypertensive drugs is associated with lowering of diastolic BP more than systolic BP among CKD subjects [53]. Low diastolic BP in dialysis patients has been shown to be associated with poorer outcomes [54]. In the Framingham Heart Study, lower diastolic BP at any level of systolic BP above 120 mm Hg increased the risk of coronary heart disease in middle aged and elderly adults [55]. In a small cohort of male veterans with CKD in the US, Agarwal et al. has shown an inverse association between diastolic BP and all-cause mortality [9].

In the current study, PP was associated with CKD in Malays only. The initial association of PP with CKD lost significance after adjusting for anti-hypertensive medication use in Indians. PP, a measure of arterial stiffness has been shown to be associated with CKD [13], and progression of CKD including ESRD in several studies [11,43,48,56]. Higher PP and low diastolic BP has been shown to be associated adverse cardiovascular outcomes in the Framingham Heart Study [55].

In the current study, Malays had higher levels of systolic and diastolic BP at all age groups and higher prevalence of CKD than Chinese and Indians. While hypertension was positively associated with CKD in all three ethnic groups, BP components including systolic BP, diastolic BP and PP were positively associated with CKD only in Malays. In Chinese and Indians, while systolic BP and PP did not show a significant association, diastolic BP showed an inverse association with CKD that could possibly be explained by the higher proportion of antihypertensive medication use in Chinese and Indians. It is possible that a higher prevalence of underlying risk factors for both hypertension and CKD may have influenced the positive association of BP with CKD in Malays. Although Malays and Indians both had similar adverse metabolic risk profile (lipids, diabetes and obesity) compared to Chinese, Indians had lower prevalence of CKD. This is consistent with a previous study in Singapore that reported Malay ethnicity to be associated with a higher prevalence of proteinuria [57] and also consistent with reports from India that showed a lower prevalence of diabetic retinopathy [58] and nephropathy [59] among Indians suggesting that Indians may be less susceptible to microvascular complications [58,59]. In addition, socioeconomic differentials across the three ethnic groups contributing to poor BP control despite treatment [60], and obesity [61] may have also influenced the association of BP with CKD.

Our study has some limitations. First, because of the cross-sectional analysis, the temporal association between BP and CKD could not be elucidated and reverse causality is possible. Second, we did not examine the effect of the type of antihypertensive medication in the association between BP and CKD as the information on the type of medication was incomplete. Third, our assessment of BP on a single occasion could have caused a non-differential misclassification of BP status. Fourth, we did not have information on microalbuminuria, another indicator of CKD, which is also associated with diabetes and hypertension. Therefore, we were not able to study the impact of BP on microalbuminuria. Finally, while response rates of those invited to participate in the three studies were excellent (73%-79%), not all subjects had the necessary data available for the current analysis. Given the differences in baseline characteristics such as education level between ethnic groups, it is possible for non-participation or missing data to introduce a selection bias. However, the consistency of our findings on risk factor profile of the three ethnic groups with previously published reports suggests that this bias is less likely to influence our findings. The large sample size and the availability of three independent studies representing three major Asian ethnic groups with similar methodology and objective assessment of exposure and outcome measurements are the strengths of our study.

Conclusion

In conclusion, in a large sample of Asian adults representing three major ethnic groups, we found that the pattern of association of BP components with CKD was different across the three ethnic groups. All three components of BP including systolic BP, diastolic BP and PP were associated with CKD in Malays. In Chinese and Indians, systolic BP was not associated with CKD while diastolic BP showed an inverse association that was explained by antihypertensive medication use. Our findings in Chinese and Indians may have implications for anti-hypertensive treatment in CKD patients if confirmed by future prospective studies.

Competing interests

The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

Authors’ contributions

All authors contributed to the intellectual development of this paper. CS, BWT, EST had the original idea for the study. CS analyzed the data, wrote the first draft paper. BWT, EST, THJ, TYW provided statistical expertise and critical corrections to the manuscript. TYW supervised data collection. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

Pre-publication history

The pre-publication history for this paper can be accessed here:

http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2369/14/86/prepub