| Literature DB >> 23560039 |
Mareli Claassens1, Cari van Schalkwyk, Leonie den Haan, Sian Floyd, Rory Dunbar, Paul van Helden, Peter Godfrey-Faussett, Helen Ayles, Martien Borgdorff, Donald Enarson, Nulda Beyers.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: In South Africa the estimated incidence of all forms of tuberculosis (TB) for 2008 was 960/100000. It was reported that all South Africans lived in districts with Directly Observed Therapy, Short-course. However, the 2011 WHO report indicated South Africa as the only country in the world where the TB incidence is still rising. AIMS: To report the results of a TB prevalence survey and to determine the speed of TB case detection in the study communities.Entities:
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2013 PMID: 23560039 PMCID: PMC3613399 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0058689
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Figure 1Flow chart of participants included in the survey.
Prevalence of culture-positive TB in the two communities, overall and by individual and household characteristics.
| COMMUNITY A | COMMUNITY B | ||||||||||||
| Cluster, age, sex standardized | Cluster, age, sex standardised | ||||||||||||
| N | TB | Prev/1000 | Prev/1000 | 95% CI | N | TB | Prev/1000 | Prev/1000 | 95% CI | ||||
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| 34 | 27 | 43 | 24 | 17 | 33 | |||||||
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| 2726 | 67 | 25 | 32 | 25 | 41 | 3536 | 79 | 22 | 24 | 17 | 32 | |
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| 362 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 11 | 42 | 503 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 18 | |
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| 233 | 9 | 39 | 46 | 26 | 80 | 299 | 10 | 33 | 34 | 20 | 55 | |
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| 163 | 11 | 67 | 72 | 37 | 138 | 277 | 10 | 36 | 34 | 18 | 60 | |
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| 122 | 4 | 33 | 35 | 15 | 80 | 217 | 9 | 41 | 42 | 20 | 88 | |
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| 99 | 7 | 71 | 77 | 49 | 120 | 184 | 5 | 27 | 28 | 14 | 53 | |
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| 603 | 12 | 20 | 23 | 14 | 36 | 599 | 13 | 22 | 22 | 13 | 36 | |
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| 448 | 9 | 20 | 24 | 14 | 42 | 396 | 10 | 25 | 26 | 13 | 51 | |
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| 334 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 8 | 44 | 432 | 12 | 28 | 29 | 16 | 53 | |
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| 185 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 6 | 57 | 360 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 26 | |
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| 177 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 48 | 269 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 34 | |
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| 2308 | 46 | 20 | 26 | 19 | 34 | 2992 | 56 | 19 | 20 | 14 | 28 | |
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| 404 | 21 | 52 | 69 | 38 | 123 | 538 | 23 | 43 | 45 | 25 | 78 | |
|
| 14 | 0 | 6 | 0 | |||||||||
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| 1243 | 39 | 31 | 40 | 30 | 53 | 1264 | 29 | 23 | 24 | 14 | 41 | |
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| 1349 | 26 | 19 | 25 | 17 | 36 | 2105 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 16 | 35 | |
|
| 134 | 2 | 167 | 4 | |||||||||
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| |||||||||||||
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| 786 | 25 | 32 | 46 | 32 | 65 | 365 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 11 | 32 | |
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| 455 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 18 | 55 | 282 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 6 | 37 | |
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| 378 | 11 | 29 | 33 | 18 | 61 | 262 | 5 | 19 | 23 | 9 | 54 | |
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| 482 | 9 | 19 | 20 | 11 | 37 | 700 | 17 | 24 | 25 | 16 | 40 | |
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| 609 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 13 | 39 | 601 | 11 | 18 | 18 | 11 | 30 | |
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| 1299 | 34 | 26 | 29 | 18 | 45 | |||||||
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| 16 | 0 | 27 | 1 | |||||||||
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| 353 | 13 | 37 | 51 | 29 | 90 | 136 | 5 | 37 | 45 | 18 | 111 | |
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| 392 | 12 | 31 | 43 | 17 | 105 | 163 | 9 | 55 | 48 | 27 | 85 | |
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| 467 | 15 | 32 | 43 | 29 | 63 | 386 | 18 | 47 | 50 | 32 | 77 | |
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| 1077 | 23 | 21 | 26 | 16 | 42 | 1679 | 35 | 21 | 22 | 16 | 31 | |
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| 434 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 25 | 1172 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 24 | |
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| 3 | 0 | |||||||||||
without imputation of missing data.
with imputation of missing data.
Univariable and multivariable analysis of predictors of culture-positive prevalent TB in the two communities.
| COMMUNITY A | COMMUNITY B | |||||||||||
| UNIVARIABLE | MULTIVARIABLE | UNIVARIABLE | MULTIVARIABLE | |||||||||
| OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | |||||
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| p< | 0.001 | p< | 0.001 | p = | 0.012 | p = | 0.039 | ||||
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| 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||||||
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| 2.21 | 1.02 | 4.79 | 1.84 | 0.82 | 4.13 | 4.07 | 1.86 | 8.93 | 3.59 | 1.52 | 8.46 |
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| 3.55 | 1.32 | 9.57 | 2.60 | 1.10 | 6.14 | 4.07 | 1.96 | 8.45 | 3.37 | 1.50 | 7.53 |
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| 1.65 | 0.56 | 4.86 | 1.27 | 0.40 | 4.06 | 5.15 | 1.93 | 13.70 | 4.76 | 1.66 | 13.65 |
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| 3.81 | 1.62 | 8.96 | 3.58 | 1.39 | 9.19 | 3.34 | 1.23 | 9.07 | 2.72 | 0.95 | 7.81 |
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| 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||||||
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| 1.06 | 0.51 | 2.21 | 0.96 | 0.47 | 1.96 | 1.18 | 0.60 | 2.31 | 1.09 | 0.56 | 2.15 |
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| 0.82 | 0.29 | 2.33 | 0.81 | 0.27 | 2.41 | 1.36 | 0.56 | 3.31 | 1.18 | 0.48 | 2.95 |
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| 0.82 | 0.27 | 2.49 | 0.98 | 0.27 | 3.60 | 0.40 | 0.12 | 1.30 | 0.38 | 0.11 | 1.30 |
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| 0.27 | 0.03 | 2.35 | 0.31 | 0.03 | 2.88 | 0.49 | 0.15 | 1.58 | 0.47 | 0.15 | 1.44 |
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| p = | 0.009 | p = | 0.020 | p = | 0.011 | p = | 0.116 | ||||
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| 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||||||
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| 2.83 | 1.29 | 6.19 | 2.58 | 1.16 | 5.74 | 2.34 | 1.22 | 4.50 | 1.84 | 0.86 | 3.91 |
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| p = | 0.041 | p = | 0.988 | ||||||||
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| 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
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| 0.61 | 0.38 | 0.98 | 0.99 | 0.49 | 2.01 | ||||||
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| p = | 0.012 | p = | 0.016 | p = | 0.258 | ||||||
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| 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||||||||
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| 0.67 | 0.36 | 1.25 | 0.69 | 0.38 | 1.24 | 0.81 | 0.25 | 2.57 | |||
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| 0.72 | 0.36 | 1.44 | 0.74 | 0.35 | 1.54 | 1.20 | 0.38 | 3.76 | |||
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| 0.43 | 0.23 | 0.78 | 0.45 | 0.24 | 0.85 | 1.34 | 0.80 | 2.25 | |||
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| 0.49 | 0.23 | 1.02 | 0.52 | 0.21 | 1.34 | 0.96 | 0.39 | 2.37 | |||
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| 1.52 | 0.75 | 3.09 | |||||||||
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| p = | 0.002 | p = | 0.013 | p< | 0.001 | p< | 0.001 | ||||
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| 0.74 | 0.61 | 0.89 | 0.78 | 0.64 | 0.95 | 0.67 | 0.60 | 0.76 | 0.70 | 0.61 | 0.80 |
Estimates of patient diagnostic rates for pulmonary tuberculosis.
| Population | (a) Notification rate of PTB/1000 Population | (b) Prevalence of PTB/1000 Population | (a)/(b) Patient Diagnostic Rate | 95% Confidence Interval |
|
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| Smear Positive | 7.73 | 8.60 | 0.90 | 0.47–1.33 |
| Smear Negative | 2.12 | 20.22 | 0.11 | 0.08–0.13 |
| Total | 12.31 | 32.79 | 0.38 | 0.29–0.47 |
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| Smear Positive | 4.57 | 7.75 | 0.59 | 0.38–0.90 |
| Smear Negative | 1.37 | 37.95 | 0.04 | 0.03–0.05 |
| Total | 7.00 | 23.58 | 0.30 | 0.20–0.39 |
Expressed as the number of cases detected per person-year among persons with PTB.