Meta-analysis of the association of the rs2234693 and rs9340799 polymorphisms of estrogen receptor alpha gene with coronary heart disease risk in Chinese Han population.

OBJECTIVE: The association between a common variant of the ESR1 gene rs2234693 and rs9340799 polymorphisms with coronary heart disease (CHD) have been reported, but the available data on this relationship are inconsistent. A meta-analysis was performed to quantitative analysis the association of ESR1 gene polymorphisms and CHD risk using previous case-control studies in Chinese Han population.
METHODS: Several electronic databases were searched for relevant articles up to August 2012. After data collection, a meta-analysis was performed to assess heterogeneity, combine results and evaluate variations. Different effect models were used according to the difference in heterogeneity. Sensitivity analysis was assessed by omitting one study at a time. Publication bias was examined using Begg's funnel plot and Egger's linear regression test.
RESULTS: Ten studies covering 3400 subjects on rs2234693 and rs9340799 polymorphisms in the ESR1 gene with CHD risk was included in this meta-analysis. For rs2234693 polymorphism, ten studies were combined to the meta-analysis. A significantly increased CHD risk was found in a dominant model (OR=1.35, 955 CI=1.01-1.81, P=0.05), recessive model (OR=1.40, 95% CI=1.15-1.69, P=0.0007), and additive model (OR=1.67, 95% CI=1.19-2.34, P=0.003). Subgroup for male but not for female showed that the CC genotype could increase the risk of CHD compared with TT and TC genotype in Chinese Han population. Concerning rs9340799 polymorphism, eight studies were combined to the meta-analysis. And no evidence of significant association with CHD risk was found in all genetic models.
CONCLUSION: Our meta-analysis of 10 studies involving Chinese Han population suggests that the CC genotype of the ESR1 rs2234693 polymorphism is significantly associated with an increased risk of CHD in males only. There was no evidence however, of a significant association between the ESR1 rs9340799 polymorphism and CHD risk.

Introduction

Coronary heart disease (CHD) is a main public health problem around the world 1. It is well known that CHD is associated closely with inherited factors, environmental factors and their interactions, and the genetic factors play important roles in the pathogenesis of CHD 2. Previous study shown that the younger age and independently of differences in lifestyle, women are at lower risk for CHD than men 3, however, cardiovascular morbidity and mortality sharply increase after the onset of menopause 4. Epidemiological and laboratory studies have demonstrated that estrogen has a protective effect on the cardiovascular system 5, 6. Estrogen exert their effects through banding and activating estrogen receptors (ERs) that influence multiple organ systems in both men and women, including a number of human cancers (breast, ovarian, colorectal, prostate, and endometrial), endometriosis, fibroids, and cardiovascular disease 7.

There are two main forms of ER exist, ER-α and ER-β, which are encoded by separate genes, ESR1 and ESR2, respectively. Each receptor has distinct tissue expression patterns, post-translational modifications, and cellular localization in normal and disease states. The ERs are classical hormone nuclear receptors and members of the nuclear receptor super family having the functional structural domains A-F 8-10. ESR1 is a main mediator effect of estrogen, and plays an important role in vascular wall physiology and function 11, 12. Existence or activation of the ESR1 is required for the observed cardioprotective effects of estrogen from ischemia-reperfusion myocardial injury 13, 14. Researches also indicated that single nucleotide polymorphisms of ESR1 might influence the expression of ESR1 and affect the function of estrogen on CHD 15, 16. The two most frequently studies polymorphisms in ESR1, often identified by their restriction endonucleases of PvuII and XbaI, are located in the first intron of the ESR1 gene, 397 and 351 base pairs upstream of exon 2, respectively. The PvuII restriction site polymorphism involves a rs2234693 (397T>C), while the XbaI restriction site polymorphism involves a rs9340799 (351A>G).

Recently, various studies on the association between ESR1 rs2334693 and rs9340799 polymorphisms and CHD risk among different populations including Chinese Han population 17-20. However, with relatively small sample sizes, and in Chinese Han population these former studies provided limited information and could not draw a convincing conclusion. Therefore, in this study, a meta-analysis was performed on previous reports to assess the association between the ESR1 gene rs2234693 and rs9340799 polymorphisms and the risk of CHD among Chinese Han population.

Research design and methods

Search strategy

The electronic databases of PubMed, EMBASE, Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) and Chinese Wan Fang were searched for eligible articles. The search strategy to identify all potential studies involved using combinations of 'estrogen receptor gene', or 'ER', and 'polymorphism', or 'gene variant' and 'coronary heart disease' or 'ischemic heart disease' or 'myocardial infarction' and China/Chinese. The publication language was limited to English or Chinese. The literature search was updated on 31 August 2012; we used no lower date limit. When study recruitment overlapped by more than 30% in two or more articles by the same author(s), the one with the largest population of participants or the most recent one was used in this meta-analysis. References of retrieved articles were also screened. The study of systematic review was conducted according to the Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) guidelines 21.

Eligibility criteria

Eligible studies included case-control that investigating the association ESR1 rs2234693 and rs9340799 polymorphisms with CHD risk among the Chinese Han population. The included studies have to meet the following criteria: (1) the study provides cases of CHD and control group; (2) the study provides information on the genotype frequency and the use of validated molecular methods for genotyping; (3) the genotype distribution of the control groups subject to genetic equilibrium in the Hardy-Weinberg (HW) and (4) the studies were providing sufficient data for estimating an odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI). The diagnosis of the case group was according to the WHO criteria for CHD (stenosis ≥50% of the diameter in at least one major coronary artery based on computer-assisted assessments) 22 and was confirmed by coronary artery angiography. All control subjects were judged to without of CHD based on patient history, clinical examination and electrocardiography.

Data extraction

Data was carefully extracted from all acceptable publications independently by two of reviewers (Wei and Zheng) according to the eligible criteria listed above. Disagreements were resolved by consensus and by consulting a third author. The following data were collected by each study: first author, year of publication, region of origin, ethnicity, study design, definition and total number of cases and controls, sex distribution and mean age, genotyping methods, genotype, allele distributions (where data were not given, they were calculated from the corresponding genotype frequencies of the case and control groups) and the P-value of Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (HWE) test in the control population.

Statistical analysis

Data analysis was performed according to the method reference from 23. The P-value of HWE in the control group of each study should be evaluated, because the results of transmission-disequilibrium analysis could be biased if there is a deviation from HWE. The P-value of HWE was tested by using a chi-square test, and the study deviation from HWE was excluded from our meta- analysis.

The association ESR1 rs2234693 and rs9340799 polymorphisms with CHD risk was estimated by calculating a pooled odds ratio (OR) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) under a dominant model, a recessive model, an additive model, co-dominant model and allele contrast, respectively. The pooled OR with 95% CI in each case-control study was used to assess the strength of association. The significance of the pooled OR was determined by a Z test (P ≤ 0.05 was considered statistically significant). The between-study heterogeneity across all eligible comparisons was assessed using the Q statistic, and the I2 statistic was used to estimate heterogeneity quantitatively 24. Heterogeneity was considered significant at a P-value of ≤ 0.10 25, 26, and which also was used to select random effect model or fixed effect model to quantitative analysis. A random effect model was performed when heterogeneity was present.

Sensitivity analysis was performed to assess the stability of the results by removing one study at a time to evaluate the stability of the results of meta-analysis. Publication bias was assessed qualitatively by constructing funnel plots and quantitatively using Begg and Egger's linear regression test 27, 28.

Data were analyzed using Review Manager 5.0 software (available from The Cochrane Collaboration at http://www.cochrane.org) and stata software, version 11.2 (STATA Corp., College Station, TX, USA). Two-sided of the P-values less than 0.05 was considered statistically significant, except for tests of heterogeneity where a level of 0.10 was used.

Results

Studies Characteristics

A total of 10 eligible studies were identified based on our criteria 19, 29-37. The detailed flow chart of the inclusion/exclusion process is presented in Fig. . PCR-RFLP or TaqMan was used for examining the mutations of ESR1 rs2234693 and rs9340799 polymorphisms. All of these studies included were agreements with HWE in controls. The characteristics of the included studies for ESR1 rs2234693 and rs9340799 polymorphisms are listed in Table and Table .

Association of the ESR1 rs2234693 polymorphism and CHD

We determined the association the ESR1 rs2234693 polymorphism with CHD risk in ten eligible studies, and total of 1856 cases and 1544 controls were pooled to assess gene effects. There was evidence of between-study heterogeneity under a dominant model (CC + TC allele vs. TT allele: I 2 = 72%, P for heterogeneity = 0.0003), additive model (CC allele vs. TT allele: I 2 = 52%, P for heterogeneity = 0.03), co-dominant model (TC allele vs. TT +CC allele: I 2 = 44%, P for heterogeneity =0.06), allelic contrast model (C allele vs. T allele: I 2 = 77%, P for heterogeneity = 0.0001), respectively. Therefore, a random effect model was used for these genetic models. There was no evidence of between-study heterogeneity under a recessive model (CC allele vs. TC + TT allele: I 2 = 11%, P for heterogeneity = 0.34), so a fixed effect model was used for this genetic model.

We found that the rs2234693 CC allele was associated with an increased the risk of CHD under a dominant model (CC + TC allele vs. TT allele, P= 0.05). The pooled OR was 1.35 (95% CI: 1.01-1.81) by the random effect model, with between-study heterogeneity (I2 = 72%, P= 0.0003) (Fig. . Similar results could be analysis under a recessive model (CC allele vs. TC + TT allele, OR=1.40, 95% CI: 1.15-1.69, P= 0.0007) and an additive model (CC allele vs. TT allele, OR=1.67, 95% CI: 1.19-2.34, P= 0.003). Nevertheless, under a co-dominant model (TC allele vs. TT + CC allele) and an allele contrast model was no statistically significant association between the rs2234693 polymorphism and CHD on this analysis. Results of overall these studies for meta-analysis are summarized in Table

In the stratified analysis for female, the data on genotypes of the rs2234693 polymorphism among female population cases and controls were available in 5 studies (including 400 cases and 300 controls) 19, 29, 31, 32, 34. We didn't found that the rs2234693 were significant associated with CHD risk under all genetic models. Results of the stratified analysis studies on female are summarized in Table . For male, the data on genotypes of the rs2334693 polymorphism among male population cases and controls were available in 4 studies (including 406 cases and 345 controls) 19, 29, 31, 35. We found that the rs2234693 CC allele was associated with an increased the risk of CHD under a recessive model (CC allele vs. TT allele, P= 0.01), and under other genetic models are no significant associated between CHD risk. Results of the stratified analysis studies for male are summarized in Table

Association of the ESR1 rs9340799 polymorphism and CHD

We determined the association ESR1 rs9340799 polymorphism with CHD risk in eight eligible studies, and total of 1696 cases and 1429 controls were pooled to assess gene effects. There was no evidence of between-study heterogeneity under a dominant model (GG + AG allele vs. AA allele: I 2 = 0%, P for heterogeneity = 0.79), recessive model (GG allele vs. AG + AA allele: I 2 = 0%, P for heterogeneity= 0.82), additive model (GG allele vs. AA allele: I 2 = 0%, P for heterogeneity = 0.64), co-dominant model (AG allele vs. AA + GG allele: I 2 = 0%, P for heterogeneity = 0.99), allelic contrast model (G allele vs. A allele: I 2 = 0%, P for heterogeneity = 0.62), respectively. Therefore, a fixed-effects model was used for these genetic models. And the results of meta-analysis for overall these studies are summarized in Table We did not detect any significant association of rs9340799 polymorphism with CHD risk under a dominant model (GG + AG allele vs. AA allele, P = 0.98) (Fig. , without statistically significant heterogeneity among studies (I 2 = 0%, P = 0.79). Results of meta-analysis were similar in other genetic models.

In the stratified analysis for female, the data on genotypes of the rs9340799 polymorphism among female population cases and controls were available in 4 studies (including 388 cases and 285 controls) 19, 31, 32, 34. We found that no significant association between the rs9340799 polymorphism and CHD risk under all genetic models. Results of the stratified analysis studies on female are summarized in Table . For male, the data on genotypes of the rs9340799 polymorphism among male population cases and controls were available in 3 studies (including 335 cases and 298 controls) 19, 31, 35. We also found that no significant association between the rs9340799 polymorphism and CHD risk under all genetic models. Results of the stratified analysis studies on male are summarized in Table .

Sensitivity analysis

Sensitivity analysis was performed by excluding one study at a time and calculating the pooled ORs for the remaining studies. This procedure was used to ensure that no individual study was entirely responsible for the combined analysis results. The pooled ORs are listed in Table . Sensitivity analysis indicated that the results of the meta-analysis on association of ESR1 rs2234693 and rs9340799 polymorphisms with CHD risk were reliable and stable.

Potential publication bias

Publication bias was qualitatively examined using the funnel plots and quantitatively estimated by Begg's test and Egger's test based on dominant genetic model data. The funnel plots were symmetrical by visual inspection. Including in this meta-analysis, there are two PhD theses 29, 32, so publication bias test did not including them. The funnel plots have been shown that the rs2234693 (Fig. and the rs9340799 (Fig. are no evidence of publication bias. The results of Egger's test also indicated that the rs2234693 (P = 0.198, 95% CI: -1.3145, 5.1117) and the rs9340799 (P = 0.133, 95% CI: -27.8016, 4.9592) are no evidence of publication bias.

Discussion

Human ESR1 gene is located on chromosome 6q25.1, wild-type ESR1 gene length of 140 kb, and consists of eight exons separated by seven introns. Study indicated that the ESR1 is a major mediator of the atheroprotective effect of estrogen on animal and human 38. When ERs bind to estrogen, a conformational change ensues that enables the homodimerization of the complex, allowing for binding to estrogen response elements and subsequently altering the expression of relevant target genes, And the result that thereby regulating the growth, reproduction, differentiation and function of many target organs, including the breast tissue, cardiovascular system, nervous system, bone tissue, liver, and so on. As cardiovascular disease, various studies have focused on the ESR1 rs2234693 and rs9340799 polymorphisms with risk of CHD. However, the results were inconclusive. According to Chinese Han population, previous studies 29-31, 35-37 indicated that the ESR1 rs2234693 polymorphism was significantly associated with CHD risk. However, another studies 19, 32-34 found that the ESR1 rs2234693 polymorphism was not significantly associated with CHD risk. Those conflicting results indicated that a meta-analysis should be performed to determine whether the ESR1 gene rs2234693 polymorphism was associated with CHD risk in Chinese Han population.

In the present meta-analysis, our results demonstrated that the ESR1 rs2234693 polymorphism is associated with increased the risk of CHD under a Dominant, Recessive and Additive genetic model. There are not statistically significant association of the rs2234693 polymorphism with CHD risk was detected under a co-dominant and an allele contrast model. And no significant of the allele contrast model explained that only those people have the homozygous mutant would increase the risk CHD. Subgroup for male results showed that ESR1 gene rs2234693 CC genotype could increase the risk of CHD compared with TT genotype and TC genotype in Chinese Han population. However, we found no strong statistical evidence of associations between rs2234693 polymorphism and CHD risk on subgroup for female. In the circulation, the level of estrogen in males is lower than premenopausal females. Estrogen exerts their effects through banding and activating estrogen receptors (ERs), and ESR1 is a main mediator effect of estrogen. The mutation of ESR1 gene might influence the expression of ESR1 and affect the function of estrogen on CHD 15, 16. It is illustrated why that the mutation of ESR1 gene is increased risk of CHD in males. Egger's test for ESR1 gene rs2234693 polymorphism indicated that was not publication bias (P = 0.189), sensitivity analysis also indicated that no single study influenced the pooled OR qualitatively for the ESR1 gene rs2234693 polymorphism with CHD risk for a dominant model. Taken together, these data further confirm the reliability and stability of the meta-analysis results.

Previous studies in Framingham Offspring 39 and Finnish 40 indicated that the CC versus TT genotype was association with CHD risk in men. However, in the Rotterdam study shown that the TT versus CC genotype was association with CHD risk in women but not in men 41. A large sample of European descent in cases-controls 42, Danish individuals followed for 23-25 years 43, and British Women studies 20 indicated that the ESR1 gene rs2234693 polymorphism is not significant associated with CHD risk. And a recent meta-analysis in overall populations indicated that the ESR1 rs2234693 polymorphism is lack of association between and CHD in men and women 44. Furthermore, the ESR1 polymorphism could have a very different effect in the male and female, effects that even could differ between different contexts in different countries. Nevertheless, our results indicated that the ESR1 rs2234693 CC genotype is association between with increasing CHD risk in men of Chinese Han population, but not in women.

Regarding the ESR1 gene rs9340799 mutation, overall (male and female) or subgroup on male and female, the results of meta-analysis demonstrated that ESR1 gene rs9340799 polymorphism was no significant association with CHD risk under different genetic models in Chinese Han population. These results of meta-analysis were consistent with the previous studies in Chinese Han population and other populations.

Several limitations should be noted in this meta-analysis. Firstly, the effect of gene-gene and gene-environment interaction was not evaluation, and the coronary heart disease has a complex aetiology generated by the combined effect of genetic and environmental risk factors. Secondly, we did not perform analysis for haplotype. Although one of article 31 including in this meta-analysis indicated that the linkage disequilibrium between SNPs in ESR1 rs2234693 and rs9340799 is no significant association with increasing the risk of CHD. However, other research indicated that haplotype was associated with past and current use of hormone replacement and with those women with one or two copies of the T-A haplotype being more likely to have used hormone replacement than those who did not carry the haplotype 20. Therefore, the different linkage disequilibrium (LD) pattern of these potential functional SNPs with rs2234693 in different ethnic populations may explain the different associations between rs2234693 and CHD risk. Therefore, genetic backgrounds might explain, to some extent, the somewhat conflicting associations in different populations. Thirdly, only 10 studies were included in our meta-analysis. And a small number of studies and sample size limited the ability to draw more solid conclusions.

In conclusion, in present meta-analysis results demonstrated that the ESR1 rs2234693 CC genotype is significantly associated with increased risk of CHD in male, but no evidence associated with CHD risk in female in Chinese Han population. No evidence of significant association with CHD risk was found for the ESR1 rs9340799 mutation. However, more well-designed large studies are required for the association of the ESR1 gene polymorphisms with CHD risk.

Table 1

Characteristics of the studies rs2234693 polymorphism included in the meta-analysis.

First author and publication year	Region	Gender (M/F)		Mean age (year)		Sample size		Genotype frequency in cases			Alleles, n in cases		Genotype frequency in controls			Alleles, n in control		PHWE
		Cases	Controls	Cases	Controls	Cases	Controls	TT	TC	CC	T	C	TT	TC	CC	T	C
Zheng, 2001 29	Guangdong	70/14	48/13	61.82±10.61	59.92±9.43	84	61	14	48	22	76	92	25	27	9	77	45	0.7
Guo, 2002 30	Guangdong	58/14	41/12	65.1±5.6	64.3+4.2	72	53	10	42	20	62	82	23	23	7	69	37	0.74
Huang, 2002 31	Hubei	81/54	50/68	No mentioned	No mentioned	135	118	80	41	14	201	69	51	54	13	156	80	0.82
Zheng, 2002 32	Hebei	0/51	0/54	64.21±9.75	62.05±7.8	51	54	9	35	7	53	49	18	30	6	66	42	0.21
Cheng, 2006 33	Tianjin	105/95	98/92	56.5±0.4	52.4±0.6	200	190	65	92	43	222	178	67	85	38	219	161	0.25
Li, 2006 34	Tianjin	0/165	0/80	61.7±8.2	59.9±7.7	165	80	33	88	44	154	176	21	36	23	78	82	0.37
Xu, 2008 19	Jiang-su	94/116	89/85	56.0±7.3	55.0±8.6	210	174	92	88	30	272	148	82	78	14	242	106	0.44
Tang, 2008 35	Hubei	161/0	158/0	61.4±8.1	60.9±6.4	161	158	48	76	37	172	150	46	79	33	171	145	0.93
Jin, 2010 36	Guangdong	169/67	75/42	64.0±11.0	62.0±11.0	236	117	84	105	47	199	273	49	57	11	79	155	0.33
Shen, 2012 37	Chongqing	289/250	286/253	57.3±7.2	56.4±9.1	539	539	245	226	68	716	362	274	217	48	765	313	0.59
Total						1853	1544	680	841	332	2127	1579	656	686	202	1922	1166

M: male; F: female; HWE: Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium.

Table 2

Characteristics of the studies rs9340799 polymorphism included in the meta-analysis.

First author and publication year	Region	Gender (M/F)		Mean age (year)		Sample size		Genotype frequency in cases			Alleles in cases		Genotype frequency in controls			Alleles in control		PHWE
		Cases	Controls	Cases	Controls	Cases	Controls	AA	AG	GG	A	G	AA	AG	GG	A	G
Huang, 2002 31	Hubei	81/54	50/68	No mentioned	No mentioned	135	118	96	32	7	224	46	83	30	5	196	40	0.3
Zheng, 2002 32	Hebei	0/51	0/52	64.2±9.7	62.05±7.8	51	52	3	44	4	50	52	8	42	2	58	46	0.12
Cheng, 2006 33	Tianjin	105/95	98/92	56.5±0.4	52.4±0.6	200	190	147	49	4	343	57	139	49	2	327	53	0.31
Li, 2006 34	Tianjin	0/165	0/80	61.7±8.2	59.9±7.7	165	80	96	57	12	249	81	40	31	9	111	49	0.43
Xu, 2008 19	Jiang-su	94/116	89/85	56.0±7.3	55.0±8.6	210	174	40	57	113	109	283	33	43	98	109	219	0.11
Tang, 2008 35	Hubei	161/0	158/0	61.4±8.1	60.9±6.4	161	158	66	74	20	206	114	65	73	21	203	115	0.15
Jin, 2010 36	Guangdong	169/67	75/42	64.0±11.0	62.0±11.0	236	117	168	58	10	394	78	83	30	4	196	38	0.53
Shen, 2012 37	Chongqing	289/250	286/253	57.3±7.2	56.4±9.1	539	539	123	258	158	504	572	131	265	143	527	551	0.71
Total						1697	1428	739	629	328	2079	1283	582	563	284	1727	1111

M: male; F: female; HWE: Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium.

Table 3

Main results of pooled odds ratios (ORs) with confidence intervals (CI) in the meta-analysis for rs2234693.

Allele contrasts in different genetic models	Pool OR (95% CI)	P-value for Z test	I2 for heterogeneity (%)	P-value for heterogeneity
rs2234693 (Overall)
Dominant (CC+TC allele vs. TT allele)	Random effects 1.35 (1.01, 1.81)	0.05	72	0.0003
Recessive (CC allele vs. TC + TT allele)	Fixed effects 1.40 (1.15, 1.69)	0.0007	11	0.34
Additive (CC allele vs. TT allele)	Random effects 1.67 (1.19, 2.34)	0.003	52	0.03
Co-dominant (TC allele vs. TT + CC allele)	Random effects 1.04 (0.85, 1.27)	0.71	44	0.06
allele contrast (C allele vs. T allele)	Random effects 1.09 (0.88, 1.36)	0.43	76	0.0001
rs2234693 (Female)
Dominant (CC+TC allele vs. TT allele)	Random effects 0.70 (0.41, 1.20)	0.20	59	0.04
Recessive (CC allele vs. TC + TT allele)	Fixed effects 0.82 (0.53, 1.25)	0.35	9	0.36
Additive (CC allele vs. TT allele)	Random effects 1.05 (1.19, 2.34)	0.92	65	0.02
Co-dominant (TC allele vs. TT + CC allele)	Random effects 1.15 (0.69, 1.90)	0.60	57	0.05
allele contrast (C allele vs. T allele)	Random effects 170 (0.98, 2.94)	0.47	66	0.02
rs2234693 (Male)
Dominant (CC+TC allele vs. TT allele)	Random effects 1.22 (0.71, 2.11)	0.47	66	0.03
Recessive (CC allele vs. TC + TT allele)	Fixed effects 1.62 (1.10, 2.39)	0.01	34	0.21
Additive (CC allele vs. TT allele)	Random effects 1.94 (0.93, 4.03)	0.08	57	0.07
Co-dominant (TC allele vs. TT + CC allele)	Fixed effects 0.86 (0.65, 1.16)	0.32	10	0.34
allele contrast (C allele vs. T allele)	Random effects 1.29 (0.88, 1.90)	0.20	67	0.03

Table 4

Main results of pooled odds ratios (ORs) with confidence intervals (CI) in the meta-analysis for rs9340799.

Allele contrasts in different genetic models	Pool OR (95% CI)	P-value for Z test	I2 for heterogeneity (%)	P-value for heterogeneity
rs9340799 (Overall)
Dominant (GG+AG allele vs. AA allele)	Fixed effects 1.00 (0.85, 1.17)	0.98	0	0.79
Recessive (GG allele vs. AG + AA allele)	Fixed effects 1.06 (0.87, 1.29)	0.58	0	0.82
Additive (GG allele vs. AA allele)	Fixed effects 1.08 (0.86, 1.38)	0.50	0	0.64
Co-dominant (AG allele vs. AA+GG allele)	Fixed effects 0.96 (0.83, 1.12)	0.64	0	0.99
allele contrast (G allele vs. A allele)	Fixed effects 1.06(0.95, 1.18)	0.32	0	0.62
rs9340799 (Female)
Dominant (GG+AG allele vs. AA allele)	Fixed effects 0.97 (0.68, 1.37)	0.85	20	0.29
Recessive (GG allele vs. AG + AA allele)	Fixed effects 0.98 (0.63, 1.52)	0.93	0	0.60
Additive (GG allele vs. AA allele)	Fixed effects 1.00 (0.60, 1.67)	0.99	24	0.27
Co-dominant (AG allele vs. AA+GG allele)	Fixed effects 0.98 (0.69, 1.39)	0.91	0	0.81
allele contrast (G allele vs. A allele)	Fixed effects 0.98 (0.77, 1.25)	0.86	1	0.39
rs9340799 (Male)
Dominant (GG+AG allele vs. AA allele)	Fixed effects 1.01 (0.71, 1.43)	0.95	0	0.84
Recessive (GG allele vs. AG + AA allele)	Fixed effects 0.86 (0.56, 1.31)	0.49	0	0.83
Additive (GG allele vs. AA allele)	Fixed effects 0.89 (0.53, 1.48)	0.65	0	0.87
Co-dominant (AG allele vs. AA+GG allele)	Fixed effects 1.05 (0.75, 1.46)	0.79	0	0.83
allele contrast (G allele vs. A allele)	Fixed effects 0.93 (0.73, 1.18)	0.54	0	0.77

Table 5

Sensitivity analysis of the ESR1 rs2234693 and rs9340799 polymorphisms and CHD under an additive model.

Excluded study characteristic	included studies	Excluded studies	Pooled ORs (95%)	P-value	I2 (%)	P-value for heterogeneity
rs2234693
	19, 29-37	none	Random effects 1.67 (1.19, 2.34)	0.003	52	0.03
	19, 29-36	37	Random effects 1.72 (1.14, 2.60)	0.009	58	0.02
	19, 29-35, 37	36	Random effects 1.60 (1.12, 2.30)	0.01	54	0.03
	19, 29-34, 36, 37	35	Random effects 1.79(1.24, 2.58)	0.002	54	0.03
	29-37	19	Random effects 1.66 (1.14, 2.42)	0.008	57	0.02
	19, 29-33, 35-37	34	Random effects 1.75 (1.21, 2.54)	0.003	57	0.02
	19, 29-32, 34-37	33	Random effects 1.78 (1.22, 2.60)	0.003	55	0.02
	19, 29-31, 33-37	32	Random effects 1.65 (1.16, 2.36)	0.006	52	0.02
	19, 29, 30, 32-37	31	Random effects 1.80 (1.30, 2.51)	0.0004	52	0.06
	19, 29, 31-37	30	Random effects 1.51 (1.13, 2.02)	0.006	52	0.08
	19, 30-37	29	Random effects 1.54 (1.12, 2.13)	0.009	52	0.06
rs9340799
	19, 31-37	none	Fixed effects 1.08 (0.86, 1.38)	0.5	0	0.64
	19, 31-36	37	Fixed effects 1.00 (0.71, 1.40)	0.99	0	0.59
	19, 31-35, 37	36	Fixed effects 1.08 (0.85, 1.37)	0.54	0	0.53
	19, 31-34, 36, 37	35	Fixed effects 1.11 (0.86, 1.42)	0.78	0	0.55
	31-37	19	Fixed effects 1.12 (0.86, 1.46)	0.4	0	0.56
	19, 31-33, 35-37	34	Fixed effects 1.13 (0.89, 1.45)	0.32	0	0.80
	19, 31, 32, 34-37	33	Fixed effects 1.07 (0.84, 1.36)	0.57	0	0.58
	19, 31, 33-37	32	Fixed effects 1.06 (0.84, 1.35)	0.62	0	0.81
	19, 32-37	31	Fixed effects 1.08 (0.85, 1.38)	0.54	0	0.53

OR: odds ratio; CI: confidence interval.