| Literature DB >> 23457333 |
Linsay Gray1, Gerry McCartney, Ian R White, Srinivasa Vittal Katikireddi, Lisa Rutherford, Emma Gorman, Alastair H Leyland.
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Reliable estimates of health-related behaviours, such as levels of alcohol consumption in the population, are required to formulate and evaluate policies. National surveys provide such data; validity depends on generalisability, but this is threatened by declining response levels. Attempts to address bias arising from non-response are typically limited to survey weights based on sociodemographic characteristics, which do not capture differential health and related behaviours within categories. This project aims to explore and address non-response bias in health surveys with a focus on alcohol consumption. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: The Scottish Health Surveys (SHeS) aim to provide estimates representative of the Scottish population living in private households. Survey data of consenting participants (92% of the achieved sample) have been record-linked to routine hospital admission (Scottish Morbidity Records (SMR)) and mortality (from National Records of Scotland (NRS)) data for surveys conducted in 1995, 1998, 2003, 2008, 2009 and 2010 (total adult sample size around 40 000), with maximum follow-up of 16 years. Also available are census information and SMR/NRS data for the general population. Comparisons of alcohol-related mortality and hospital admission rates in the linked SHeS-SMR/NRS with those in the general population will be made. Survey data will be augmented by quantification of differences to refine alcohol consumption estimates through the application of multiple imputation or inverse probability weighting. The resulting corrected estimates of population alcohol consumption will enable superior policy evaluation. An advanced weighting procedure will be developed for wider use. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethics approval for SHeS has been given by the National Health Service (NHS) Multi-Centre Research Ethics Committee and use of linked data has been approved by the Privacy Advisory Committee to the Board of NHS National Services Scotland and Registrar General. Funding has been granted by the MRC. The outputs will include four or five public health and statistical methodological international journal and conference papers. PRIMARY SUBJECT HEADING: Public health. SECONDARY SUBJECT HEADING: Addiction: health policy; mental health.Entities:
Year: 2013 PMID: 23457333 PMCID: PMC3612815 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2013-002647
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMJ Open ISSN: 2044-6055 Impact factor: 2.692
Response levels and alcohol consumption estimates in men in the Scottish Health Surveys, retail-based consumption estimates and population male alcohol-related mortality in Scotland 1995–2011
| Survey data | National retail data | National mortality data | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey year | Household response level (%) | Adult response level (%) | Achieved adult sample | Consent to linkage (%) | Mean alcohol units per week in men | Total volume of pure alcohol sold (1000 l)* | Number of male alcohol-related deaths† |
| 1995 | 81 | 84 | 7932 | 93 | 20.1‡ | 41712 | 531 |
| 1998 | 77 | 76 | 9047 | 92 | 19.8‡ | 43770§ | 755 |
| 2003 | 67 | 54 | 8148 | 91 | 19.8¶ | 47175 | 1056 |
| 2008 | 61 | 54 | 6465 | 86 | 18.0¶ | 50346 | 971 |
| 2009 | 64 | 56 | 7531 | 85 | 17.5¶ | 50842 | 837 |
| 2010 | 63 | 55 | 7245 | 86 | 16.0¶ | 50524 | 909 |
| 2011 | 66 | 56 | 7544 | 86 | 15.0¶ | 48746 | 815 |
*Nielsen/CGA Strategy sales in Scotland dataset (off-trade sales in 2011 adjusted to account for the loss of discount retailers).21
†General Register Office for Scotland figures for 2011.51
‡The 1995 and 1998 surveys were prior to the significant change in the way in which alcohol consumption estimates were derived and are for men aged 16–64 only; thus, they are not comparable with those for 2003 onwards.
§Data not available for 1998—estimate interpolated from available figures for 1995 and 2000;
¶The estimates for the surveys from 2003 onwards are for men aged 16 and over.
Figure 1Summary of proposed methodological strategy for addressing survey non-representativeness and refining alcohol consumption estimates. aSHeS, Scottish Health Survey; bSMR, Scottish Morbidity Record; cNRS, National Records of Scotland; dMAR, missing at random; eMNAR, missing not a random.
Figure 2Estimating the probability of alcohol-related hospitalisation/mortality in Scottish Health Survey non-respondents from alcohol-related hospitalisation/mortality data on respondents and on the general population of Scotland. aa-r h, alcohol-related harm—hospitalisation or mortality from alcohol-related causes; bP(x), probability of x.