| Literature DB >> 23449747 |
Ami Bebbington1, Emma Glasson, Jenny Bourke, Nicholas de Klerk, Helen Leonard.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: To describe the hospitalisation patterns in children with intellectual disability (ID) and/or autism spectrum disorder (ASD) after the first year of life and compare with those unaffected.Entities:
Year: 2013 PMID: 23449747 PMCID: PMC3586131 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2012-002356
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMJ Open ISSN: 2044-6055 Impact factor: 2.692
Distribution of individuals in different case groups
| Case-comparison group status | Frequency | Per cent | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| No ASD no ID | 409454 | 98.28 | 98.28 |
| Mild/mod ID no ASD | 4667 | 1.12 | 99.4 |
| Severe ID no ASD | 293 | 0.07 | 99.47 |
| ASD & ID | 767 | 0.18 | 99.66 |
| ASD no ID | 475 | 0.11 | 99.77 |
| Biomedical ID | 955 | 0.23 | 100 |
| Total | 416611 | 100 |
ASD,autism spectrum disorder; ID,intellectual disability.
Figure 1Nelson-Aalen cumulative hazard for hospitalisation (number of hospitalisations expected by age shown on x-axis).
Cox proportional HRs for hospitalisation by case group
| Case group | HR | Robust SE | p Value* | 95% CI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No ASD no ID | 1.0 | – | ||||
| Mild/mod ID no ASD | 3.1 | 0.16 | <0.001 | 2.8 | 3.4 | |
| Severe ID no ASD | 10.3 | 0.93 | <0.001 | 8.7 | 12.3 | |
| ASD & ID | 2.8 | 0.31 | <0.001 | 2.3 | 3.5 | |
| ASD no ID | 2.1 | 0.13 | <0.001 | 1.8 | 2.4 | |
| Biomedical ID | 7.4 | 0.34 | <0.001 | 6.7 | 8.1 | |
*Wald test.
ASD,autism spectrum disorder; ID,intellectual disability.
Figure 2Kaplan-Meier curves showing the proportion of individuals in each case group who have not been hospitalised by age, for each birth cohort.
Rate estimate comparison (using margins, dydx) for birth year band trend over the different case-status groups
| Birth year band | Case-status | Rate estimate difference | 95% CI | p Value | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1983–1986 | Affected | Baseline for affected status rate estimate | ||||
| No ASD no ID | Baseline for no ASD no ID rate estimate | |||||
| 1986–1990 | Affected | 0.573 | 0.445 | 0.701 | <0.001 | |
| No ASD no ID | −0.046 | −0.053 | −0.039 | <0.001 | ||
| 1990–1994 | Affected | 0.056 | 0.010 | 0.102 | 0.017 | |
| No ASD no ID | −0.266 | −0.811 | 0.278 | 0.338 | ||
| 1994–1999 | Affected | 0.075 | 0.028 | 0.122 | 0.002 | |
| No ASD no ID | 0.263 | −0.388 | 0.913 | 0.429 | ||
| 1983–1986 | All other groups | Baseline for all other groups rate estimate | ||||
| Mild ID no ASD | Baseline for mild ID no ASD rate estimate | |||||
| 1986–1990 | All other groups | −0.014 | −0.023 | −0.005 | 0.001 | |
| Mild ID no ASD | −0.210 | −0.328 | −0.091 | 0.001 | ||
| 1990–1994 | All other groups | 0.042 | 0.032 | 0.052 | <0.001 | |
| Mild ID no ASD | −0.332 | −0.452 | −0.212 | <0.001 | ||
| 1994–1999 | All other groups | 0.081 | 0.070 | 0.091 | <0.001 | |
| Mild ID no ASD | 0.084 | −0.056 | 0.224 | 0.239 | ||
| 1983–1986 | All other groups | Baseline for all other groups rate estimate | ||||
| Severe ID no ASD | Baseline for severe ID no ASD rate estimate | |||||
| 1986–1990 | All other groups | −0.035 | −0.043 | −0.026 | <0.001 | |
| Severe ID no ASD | 3.570 | 2.905 | 4.236 | <0.001 | ||
| 1990–1994 | All other groups | −0.001 | −0.010 | 0.009 | 0.841 | |
| Severe ID no ASD | 7.901 | 7.042 | 8.760 | <0.001 | ||
| 1994–1999 | All other groups | 0.040 | 0.030 | 0.050 | <0.001 | |
| Severe ID no ASD | 9.399 | 8.312 | 10.487 | <0.001 | ||
| 1983–1986 | All other groups | Baseline for all other groups rate estimate | ||||
| ASD & ID | Baseline for ASD & ID rate estimate | |||||
| 1986–1990 | All other groups | −0.021 | −0.030 | −0.012 | <0.001 | |
| ASD & ID | 1.488 | 1.115 | 1.862 | <0.001 | ||
| 1990–1994 | All other groups | 0.046 | 0.034 | 0.057 | <0.001 | |
| ASD & ID | 0.855 | 0.467 | 1.242 | <0.001 | ||
| 1994–1999 | All other groups | 0.079 | 0.068 | 0.090 | <0.001 | |
| ASD & ID | 0.835 | 0.502 | 1.168 | <0.001 | ||
| 1983–1986 | All other groups | Baseline for all other groups rate estimate | ||||
| ASD no ID | Baseline for ASD & no ID rate estimate | |||||
| 1986–1990 | All other groups | −0.016 | −0.025 | −0.008 | <0.001 | |
| ASD no ID | 0.104 | −0.321 | 0.530 | 0.631 | ||
| 1990–1994 | All other groups | 0.048 | 0.036 | 0.059 | <0.001 | |
| ASD no ID | 0.493 | 0.057 | 0.929 | 0.027 | ||
| 1994–1999 | All other groups | 0.082 | 0.071 | 0.093 | <0.001 | |
| ASD no ID | −0.064 | −0.463 | 0.335 | 0.754 | ||
| 1983–1986 | All other groups | Baseline for all other groups rate estimate | ||||
| Biomedical ID | Baseline for biomedical ID rate estimate | |||||
| 1986–1990 | All other groups | −0.031 | −0.039 | −0.023 | <0.001 | |
| Biomedical ID | 1.439 | 1.100 | 1.777 | <0.001 | ||
| 1990–1994 | All other groups | −0.005 | −0.015 | 0.005 | 0.340 | |
| Biomedical ID | 5.307 | 4.828 | 5.786 | <0.001 | ||
| 1994–1999 | All other groups | 0.055 | 0.044 | 0.065 | <0.001 | |
| Biomedical ID | 2.731 | 2.322 | 3.140 | <0.001 | ||
ASD, autism spectrum disorder; ID, intellectual disability.
Figure 3HRs from multivariate interaction model by birth year and case group status.
HRs, 95% CIs and p values compared with individuals without ASD or ID born in 1993 as shown in figure 3
| Case status | Birth year | HR | 95% CI | p Value (compared with baseline) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No ASD or ID | 1983 | Baseline | |||
| 1984 | 0.997 | 0.985 | 1.009 | 0.587 | |
| 1985 | 0.994 | 0.982 | 1.007 | 0.352 | |
| 1986 | 0.974 | 0.962 | 0.987 | <0.001 | |
| 1987 | 0.930 | 0.918 | 0.943 | <0.001 | |
| 1988 | 0.960 | 0.947 | 0.973 | <0.001 | |
| 1989 | 0.934 | 0.921 | 0.947 | <0.001 | |
| 1990 | 0.929 | 0.915 | 0.942 | <0.001 | |
| 1991 | 0.946 | 0.932 | 0.960 | <0.001 | |
| 1992 | 0.960 | 0.946 | 0.974 | <0.001 | |
| 1993 | 0.968 | 0.954 | 0.982 | <0.001 | |
| 1994 | 0.972 | 0.958 | 0.987 | <0.001 | |
| 1995 | 0.975 | 0.960 | 0.990 | 0.001 | |
| 1996 | 0.999 | 0.984 | 1.015 | 0.943 | |
| 1997 | 1.036 | 1.019 | 1.052 | <0.001 | |
| 1998 | 1.041 | 1.024 | 1.058 | <0.001 | |
| 1999 | 1.031 | 1.014 | 1.049 | <0.001 | |
| Mild ID no ASD | 1983 | 4.626 | 4.418 | 4.844 | <0.001 |
| 1984 | 2.192 | 2.061 | 2.332 | <0.001 | |
| 1985 | 2.852 | 2.704 | 3.009 | <0.001 | |
| 1986 | 2.958 | 2.811 | 3.112 | <0.001 | |
| 1987 | 2.558 | 2.436 | 2.686 | <0.001 | |
| 1988 | 3.328 | 3.175 | 3.488 | <0.001 | |
| 1989 | 3.014 | 2.869 | 3.166 | <0.001 | |
| 1990 | 3.019 | 2.875 | 3.170 | <0.001 | |
| 1991 | 2.539 | 2.408 | 2.678 | <0.001 | |
| 1992 | 2.736 | 2.601 | 2.879 | <0.001 | |
| 1993 | 3.079 | 2.904 | 3.266 | <0.001 | |
| 1994 | 3.017 | 2.848 | 3.197 | <0.001 | |
| 1995 | 2.821 | 2.632 | 3.024 | <0.001 | |
| 1996 | 3.662 | 3.421 | 3.920 | <0.001 | |
| 1997 | 3.254 | 2.960 | 3.577 | <0.001 | |
| 1998 | 3.896 | 3.498 | 4.339 | <0.001 | |
| 1999 | 4.001 | 3.549 | 4.510 | <0.001 | |
| Severe ID no ASD | 1983 | 6.813 | 6.046 | 7.676 | <0.001 |
| 1984 | 5.783 | 5.052 | 6.620 | <0.001 | |
| 1985 | 4.619 | 4.014 | 5.314 | <0.001 | |
| 1986 | 8.095 | 7.252 | 9.038 | <0.001 | |
| 1987 | 10.362 | 9.257 | 11.599 | <0.001 | |
| 1988 | 11.129 | 10.030 | 12.348 | <0.001 | |
| 1989 | 8.089 | 7.245 | 9.033 | <0.001 | |
| 1990 | 11.263 | 10.049 | 12.625 | <0.001 | |
| 1991 | 20.315 | 18.789 | 21.965 | <0.001 | |
| 1992 | 8.552 | 7.491 | 9.763 | <0.001 | |
| 1993 | 11.824 | 10.050 | 13.909 | <0.001 | |
| 1994 | 12.425 | 10.556 | 14.626 | <0.001 | |
| 1995 | 17.095 | 14.755 | 19.806 | <0.001 | |
| 1996 | 9.998 | 8.007 | 12.485 | <0.001 | |
| 1997 | 20.663 | 17.483 | 24.422 | <0.001 | |
| 1998 | 20.499 | 18.260 | 23.013 | <0.001 | |
| 1999 | 7.245 | 5.612 | 9.353 | <0.001 | |
| ASD & ID | 1983 | 1.352 | 0.945 | 1.934 | 0.099 |
| 1984 | 1.743 | 1.313 | 2.313 | <0.001 | |
| 1985 | 2.206 | 1.745 | 2.789 | <0.001 | |
| 1986 | 2.081 | 1.664 | 2.602 | <0.001 | |
| 1987 | 5.996 | 5.353 | 6.715 | <0.001 | |
| 1988 | 2.246 | 1.838 | 2.744 | <0.001 | |
| 1989 | 3.081 | 2.665 | 3.563 | <0.001 | |
| 1990 | 2.642 | 2.227 | 3.134 | <0.001 | |
| 1991 | 4.074 | 3.579 | 4.638 | <0.001 | |
| 1992 | 2.039 | 1.696 | 2.450 | <0.001 | |
| 1993 | 1.762 | 1.428 | 2.175 | <0.001 | |
| 1994 | 3.448 | 3.021 | 3.936 | <0.001 | |
| 1995 | 1.821 | 1.516 | 2.186 | <0.001 | |
| 1996 | 4.367 | 3.872 | 4.925 | <0.001 | |
| 1997 | 2.225 | 1.927 | 2.568 | <0.001 | |
| 1998 | 2.102 | 1.800 | 2.454 | <0.001 | |
| 1999 | 2.264 | 1.936 | 2.647 | <0.001 | |
| ASD no ID | 1983 | 2.048 | 1.508 | 2.782 | <0.001 |
| 1984 | 2.321 | 1.773 | 3.038 | <0.001 | |
| 1985 | 1.095 | 0.671 | 1.787 | 0.718 | |
| 1986 | 3.387 | 2.661 | 4.312 | <0.001 | |
| 1987 | 1.720 | 1.338 | 2.211 | <0.001 | |
| 1988 | 1.104 | 0.712 | 1.712 | 0.657 | |
| 1989 | 1.936 | 1.527 | 2.456 | <0.001 | |
| 1990 | 2.088 | 1.690 | 2.580 | <0.001 | |
| 1991 | 2.139 | 1.777 | 2.575 | <0.001 | |
| 1992 | 2.207 | 1.843 | 2.645 | <0.001 | |
| 1993 | 2.928 | 2.471 | 3.469 | <0.001 | |
| 1994 | 1.819 | 1.477 | 2.239 | <0.001 | |
| 1995 | 1.874 | 1.524 | 2.305 | <0.001 | |
| 1996 | 1.691 | 1.384 | 2.066 | <0.001 | |
| 1997 | 1.638 | 1.293 | 2.074 | <0.001 | |
| 1998 | 2.080 | 1.562 | 2.768 | <0.001 | |
| 1999 | 2.728 | 2.001 | 3.720 | <0.001 | |
| Biomedical ID | 1983 | 4.812 | 4.443 | 5.211 | <0.001 |
| 1984 | 5.748 | 5.328 | 6.200 | <0.001 | |
| 1985 | 5.012 | 4.615 | 5.444 | <0.001 | |
| 1986 | 5.480 | 5.041 | 5.958 | <0.001 | |
| 1987 | 6.311 | 5.832 | 6.829 | <0.001 | |
| 1988 | 5.369 | 4.900 | 5.883 | <0.001 | |
| 1989 | 7.738 | 7.095 | 8.438 | <0.001 | |
| 1990 | 8.700 | 8.089 | 9.358 | <0.001 | |
| 1991 | 13.724 | 12.984 | 14.505 | <0.001 | |
| 1992 | 7.796 | 7.161 | 8.488 | <0.001 | |
| 1993 | 8.786 | 8.127 | 9.497 | <0.001 | |
| 1994 | 7.086 | 6.355 | 7.902 | <0.001 | |
| 1995 | 8.710 | 8.017 | 9.463 | <0.001 | |
| 1996 | 7.535 | 6.798 | 8.353 | <0.001 | |
| 1997 | 7.182 | 6.403 | 8.057 | <0.001 | |
| 1998 | 6.102 | 5.370 | 6.935 | <0.001 | |
| 1999 | 10.575 | 9.584 | 11.667 | <0.001 | |
ASD, autism spectrum disorder; ID, intellectual disability.
Figure 4HR for hospitalisation risk associated with birth year, preterm birth and case group status from stratified model.