| Literature DB >> 23437171 |
Seth B Magle1, Michael D Samuel, Timothy R Van Deelen, Stacie J Robinson, Nancy E Mathews.
Abstract
Wildlife disease transmission, at a local scale, can occur from interactions between infected and susceptible conspecifics or from a contaminated environment. Thus, the degree of spatial overlap and rate of contact among deer is likely to impact both direct and indirect transmission of infectious diseases such chronic wasting disease (CWD) or bovine tuberculosis. We identified a strong relationship between degree of spatial overlap (volume of intersection) and genetic relatedness for female white-tailed deer in Wisconsin's area of highest CWD prevalence. We used volume of intersection as a surrogate for contact rates between deer and concluded that related deer are more likely to have contact, which may drive disease transmission dynamics. In addition, we found that age of deer influences overlap, with fawns exhibiting the highest degree of overlap with other deer. Our results further support the finding that female social groups have higher contact among related deer which can result in transmission of infectious diseases. We suggest that control of large social groups comprised of closely related deer may be an effective strategy in slowing the transmission of infectious pathogens, and CWD in particular.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2013 PMID: 23437171 PMCID: PMC3577845 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0056568
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Results of AIC model selection procedure to determine the best models predicting white-tailed deer spatial overlap in Wisconsin.
| Dataset | Variables | K | Delta AICc | Weight | ||
| 1 (Pairs with at least one adult) | Age classes | Relatedness (Rxy-cat) | 4 | 0.00 | 0.71 | |
| Age classes (sex effects- fawns) | Relatedness (Rxy-cat) | 4 | 1.95 | 0.27 | ||
| Age classes | Relatedness (Rxy) | 4 | 7.66 | 0.02 | ||
| Age classes (sex effects- fawns) | Relatedness (Rxy) | 4 | 9.59 | 0.01 | ||
| Age classes | 3 | 13.63 | <0.01 | |||
| Relatedness (Rxy- cat) | 3 | 15.22 | <0.01 | |||
| Age classes (sex effects- fawns) | 3 | 15.55 | <0.01 | |||
| Relatedness (Rxy) | 3 | 24.62 | <0.01 | |||
| 2 (Capture groups 1 and 2) | Age classes | Relatedness (Rxy- cat) | 4 | 0.00 | 0.88 | |
| Age classes | Relatedness (Rxy) | 4 | 4.69 | 0.08 | ||
| Age classes (sex effects- fawns) | Relatedness (Rxy- cat) | 4 | 7.38 | 0.02 | ||
| Age classes | 3 | 8.05 | 0.02 | |||
| Age classes (sex effects- fawns) | Relatedness (Rxy) | 4 | 12.23 | <0.01 | ||
| Relatedness (Rxy- cat) | 3 | 13.93 | <0.01 | |||
| Age classes (sex effects- fawns) | 3 | 15.53 | <0.01 | |||
| Relatedness (Rxy) | 3 | 19.74 | <0.01 | |||
Datasetadult contains only deer-pairs including at least one adult deer, and datasetcapgroup contains only capture groups 1 and 2 (see text). All models contain capture group and deer-pair as random effects. Age classes are either in categories of adult, yearling, and fawn (if lacking sex effects), or adult, yearling, male fawn, and female fawn. Relatedness is either represented as a continuous variable (Rxy) or categorical (Rxy-cat), in 3 categories consisting of Rxy of 0–0.25, 0.26–0.5, and 0.5–1.
Figure 1Scatterplots showing the relationship between degree of overlap and relatedness for white-tailed deer-pairs.
Figure 1a is generated from the dataset where each pair contains at least one adult (datasetadult), and figure 1b is generated from the dataset using only deer-pairs from capture groups 1 and 2 (datasetcapgroup). Figure 1a. Figure 1b.
Figure 2Charts detailing the average degree of overlap among deer in different categories of relatedness.
Unrelated indicates Rxy values between 0 and 0.25, partially related indicates Rxy values between 0.26 and 0.5, and related indicates Rxy values above 0.5. Figure 2a is generated from the dataset where each pair contains at least one adult (datasetadult), and figure 2b is generated from the dataset using only deer-pairs from capture groups 1 and 2 (datasetcapgroup). Figure 2a. Figure 2b.
Parameter estimates from top models used to predict white-tailed deer spatial overlap in Wisconsin.
| Dataset | Variable | Estimate | SE | Odds Ratio | Odds Ratio Lower 95% CI | Odds Ratio Upper 95% CI |
| Adult | Intercept | −2.76 | 0.55 | |||
| Second Order Kin | 1.69 | 0.78 | 5.42 | 1.17 | 25.00 | |
| First Order Kin | 3.48 | 0.94 | 32.46 | 5.14 | 204.87 | |
| Age- AF | 1.12 | 0.42 | 3.06 | 1.35 | 6.98 | |
| Age- AY | −0.72 | 0.38 | 0.49 | 0.23 | 1.03 | |
| Capgroup | Intercept | −3.19 | 1.01 | |||
| Second Order Kin | 1.64 | 1.03 | 5.16 | 0.68 | 38.81 | |
| First Order Kin | 3.86 | 1.23 | 47.47 | 4.26 | 528.90 | |
| Age- AF | 0.88 | 0.64 | 2.41 | 0.69 | 8.45 | |
| Age- AY | −1.05 | 0.55 | 0.35 | 0.12 | 1.03 | |
| Age- YY | −1.05 | 0.74 | 0.35 | 0.08 | 1.49 | |
| Age- YF | 0.20 | 0.68 | 1.22 | 0.32 | 4.63 | |
| Age- FF | 2.43 | 1.00 | 11.36 | 1.60 | 80.64 |
Datasetadult contains only deer-pairs including at least one adult deer, and datasetcapgroup contains only capture groups 1 and 2 (see text). Estimates for first order (Rxy>0.5) and second order kin (0.5> Rxy>0.25), and resultant odds ratios, are with respect to unrelated deer (Rxy <0.25). Estimates for age group pairs, and resultant odds ratios, are with respect to pairs consisting of two adults. In age group pairs A = adult, Y = yearling, F = fawn.