| Literature DB >> 23356540 |
Richard B Phillips1, Hasan Jameel, Hou Min Chang.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Despite decades of work and billions of dollars of investments in laboratory and pilot plant projects, commercial production of cellulosic ethanol is only now beginning to emerge. Because of: (1)high technical risk coupled with; (2) high capital investment cost relative to ethanol product value, investors have not been able to justify moving forward with large scale projects on woody biomass.Entities:
Year: 2013 PMID: 23356540 PMCID: PMC3618072 DOI: 10.1186/1754-6834-6-13
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Biotechnol Biofuels ISSN: 1754-6834 Impact factor: 6.040
Figure 1Ethanol and gasoline volumetric selling price (1992 – June, 2012, YTD), Rack Prices, Omaha, NE[3].
Summary of cases studied at North Carolina State University for industrial application of pulp mill technology to Biorefining
| Pro forma investment analysis based on either: (1) Greenfield project that starts with land acquisition in 2010, and includes all investments as negative cash flows; or (2) Repurposed Mill based on owner transferring assets at no cost to ethanol facility (justified by equality of asset scrap value versus site closure and environmental remediation costs). Production begins June 1, 2012 in all cases. | |
| Case specific investments were developed for $2012, the startup year. Capital spending in each case was 30% in 2010, 50% in 2011, and 20% in 2012. | |
| Based on 7-year MACRS depreciation. | |
| 15 years | |
| 5 x EBITDA of the terminal year (2027) | |
| Benchmark was calculated on the basis of the estimated cost of reproducing the assets each future year. Calculated by assuming 3% annual increase in the installation cost. Repurposed options include RAV on the same basis including only the assets that are reused. | |
| 1% of RAV reinvested as capital each year in order to maintain existing capability. | |
| 2% of RAV included annually to account for maintenance labor and materials. | |
| 3% of annual sales | |
| 3% of annual sales | |
| Based on technology-specific salaried, operating and administrative staff. | |
| 35% overall tax rate on profit, with tax losses accumulated and carried forward to offset profits made in future years. | |
| 10% of all Direct Costs + pre-subsidy (if any) ethanol revenue. | |
| All Free Cash Flows (Cash Flows less new fixed capital and change in working capital) are discounted at 12% to the startup year. The ethanol revenue required to achieve Zero NPV (12% Internal Rate of Return) are used for Minimum Ethanol Revenue (MER). | |
| Case specific costs for 450,000 BDt deliveries were taken from the plantation economics sub-study (Gonzalez []. | |
| Pretreatment-specific yields were input from laboratory studies referenced earlier. | |
| Post treatment yields (including mechanical refining and oxygen delignification) were input from the laboratory studies referenced earlier. | |
| Enzyme Hydrolysis yield of monomeric sugars was input from laboratory studies. A dose of 5 FPU per gram of substrate was used in all cases. Cost of enzyme assumed to be $1.00 per Kg of Enzyme Product. | |
| 80% fermentation of 5-carbon sugars and 95% fermentation of 6-carbon sugars. | |
| Raw Material pricing and indices input from chemical marketing and forecasts | |
| Each component of cost was individually assigned an “annual productivity factor” based on Best Professional Judgment, and an annual escalation factor of the unit costs. These refinements have little impact on final outcome. Ethanol Revenue was calculated as above as Minimum Ethanol Revenue (MER), which was escalated at 3% per year, assuming the same rate generally considered for gasoline and crude oil. | |
Figure 2Basic kraft pulp and paper mill process flow diagram. Brown units are candidates for Repurposed mill application.
Figure 3Process flow diagram for typical newsprint mill. To be a candidate for Repurpose to Biorefinery, the mill must have TMP or BCTMP capability. Most newsprint mills process softwood for mechanical pulps, while only hardwoods are amenable for Biorefinery purposes.
Figure 4New process steps required to be added to kraft pulp or newsprint mills to achieve Biorefinery application.
Figure 5Kraft Pulp Mill – based Biorefinery. Brown units are typically found in kraft pulp mills which can be Repurposed to Biorefinery application, or must be built new in a Greenfield application.
Figure 6Newsprint Mill – based Biorefinery. Brown units are typically available in newsprint mills, or must be built in a Greenfield application.
Figure 7Enzyme hydrolysis improvement through the use of mechanical refining alone (7a) and refining + oxygen delignification (7b). Enzyme hydrolysis efficiency based on carbohydrate content in pretreated substrate (77%). From Koo [13]. GL = Green Liquor Pretreatment”. GL-4 = “Green Liquor Pretreatment with 4% Total Titratable Alkali”. GL-4-O = “Green Liquor Pretreatment with 4% Total Titratable Alkali + Oxygen Delignification”.
Figure 8Compilation of results from Yu and Wu [to be published]. Pulps at same lignin content behave marked different in enzyme hydrolysis, dependent on the chemistry of the pretreatment. Kraft – Oxygen pulps respond most efficiently.
Figure 9Retention of glucan and lignin as a function of softwood pulp yield. Even with 90% lignin removal, Glucan retention is >90%. Derived from Rydholm [21].
Figure 10Theoretical yields are calculated on the basis of 100% conversion of Glucan, Mannan (and other 6-Carbon sugars), and Xylans (and other 5-Carbon sugars) in enzymatic hydrolysis, and conversion of the sugars in ethanolgenic fermentation at 100% fermention efficiency. Practical yields are estimated based on application of 5 FPU enzyme (per gram of substrate), laboratory conversion efficiency, and 95% and 80% conversion of C-6 and C-5 sugars, respectively.
Figure 11Co-Location options. (A) Autohydrolysis of hardwood; (B) kraft pulping to <10% lignin content.
Financial summary of green liquor pretreatment of hardwood
| | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mixed Southern Hardwood | 454,545 | $72.18 | 454,545 | $72.18 |
| Annual Ethanol Production, Liters | 148,072,272 | | 147,905,135 | |
| Ethanol Yield, Liters per BDt | 326 | | 325 | |
| CAPEX Total/per Annual Liter | 329,494,169 | $2.22 | $79,955,469 | $0.54 |
| Total Biomass Cost per Liter | | $0.24 | | $0.24 |
| Total Enzyme Cost per Liter | | $0.12 | | $0.12 |
| Total Energy Credit/cost | | $0.04 | | $0.02 |
| Total Direct Cost per Liter | | $0.33 | | $0.35 |
| Total Indirect Cost per liter | | $0.50 | | $0.18 |
| Total Cash Cost per liter | | $0.52 | | $0.45 |
| Total Cost per liter | | $0.83 | | $0.54 |
| MER,$ per liter | | $0.83 | | $0.52 |
| IRR, 0025 | 12% | 12% | ||
No major differences in plant performance but investment cost in the Repurpose case permits Minimum Ethanol Revenue below the target of $0.60 per Liter.
Financial summary of green liquor pretreatment of loblolly pine
| | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loblolly Pine | 454,545 | $69.28 | 454,545 | $70.87 |
| Annual Ethanol Production, Liters | 123,894,322 | | 125,534,368 | |
| Ethanol Yield, Liters per BDt | 273 | | 276 | |
| CAPEX Total/per Annual Liter | 309,ʓ ,845 | $2.50 | $75,741,067 | $0.60 |
| Total Biomass Cost per Liter | | $0.27 | | $0.28 |
| Total Enzyme Cost per Liter | | $0.16 | | $0.36 |
| Total Energy Credit/Cost | | $0.02 | | -0.05 |
| Total Direct Cost per Liter | | $0.44 | | $0.60 |
| Total Indirect Cost per liter | | $0.44 | | $0.22 |
| Total Cash Cost per liter | | $0.60 | | $0.71 |
| Total Cost per liter | | $0.88 | | $0.81 |
| MER,$ per liter | | $0.94 | | $0.78 |
| IRR, 0025 | 12% | 12% | ||
Despite the investment cost difference, Repurposing an existing kraft mill to produce bioethanol from loblolly pine is not economical.
Use of autohydrolysis of mixed Southern hardwoods to produce sugar-laden hydrolysate and autohydrolysis residue
| | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mixed Southern Hardwood | 454,545 | $72.18 | 454,545 | $72.18 |
| Annual Ethanol Production, Liters | 141,771,687 | | 122,880,735 | |
| Ethanol Yield, Liters per BDt | 312 | | 270 | |
| CAPEX Total/per Annual Liter | 213,776,300 | $1.50 | $117,823,560 | $0.96 |
| Total Biomass Cost per Liter | | $0.25 | | $0.29 |
| Total Enzyme Cost per Liter | | $0.11 | | $0.12 |
| Total Energy Credit/Cost | | $0.00 | | -0.01 |
| Total Direct Cost per Liter | | $0.37 | | $0.43 |
| Total Indirect Cost per liter | | $0.36 | | $0.33 |
| Total Cash Cost per liter | | $0.51 | | $0.61 |
| Total Cost per liter | | $0.73 | | $0.76 |
| M. E. R,$ per liter | | $0.71 | | $0.73 |
| IRR, 0025 | 12% | 12% | ||
The residue is mechanically refined to improve accessibility to enzymes. The hydrolysate is treated with ion exchange resins to remove acetic acid, and then combined with the residue for enzymatic hydrolysis (see Figure 4).
Figure 12Mass balance and process scheme for converting 100,000 short tons per year of linerboard pulp at 15% lignin (100 kappa number) into 264 liters per BDt of pulp of bioethanol. Oxygen Delignification is not likely to be available in a linerboard operation, and the wash press illustrated would also be a new investment.