Literature DB >> 23021857

The long and short of it: closing the description-experience "gap" by taking the long-run view.

Adrian R Camilleri1, Ben R Newell.   

Abstract

Previous research has shown that many choice biases are attenuated when short-run decisions are reframed to the long run. However, this literature has been limited to description-based choice tasks in which possible outcomes and their probabilities are explicitly specified. A recent literature has emerged showing that many core results found using the description paradigm do not generalize to experience-based choice tasks in which possible outcomes and their probabilities are learned from sequential sampling. In the current study, we investigated whether this description-experience choice gap occurs in the long run. We examined description- and experience-based preferences under two traditional short run framed choice tasks (single-play, repeated-play) and also a long-run frame (multi-play). We found a reduction in the size of the description-experience gap in the long-run frame, which was attributable to greater choice maximizing in the description format and reduced underweighting [corrected] of rare events in the experience format. We interpret these results as a "broad bracketing" effect: the long-run mindset attenuates short-run biases such as loss aversion and reliance on small samples.
Copyright © 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Mesh:

Year:  2012        PMID: 23021857     DOI: 10.1016/j.cognition.2012.09.001

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Cognition        ISSN: 0010-0277


  3 in total

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3.  Probability Distortion Depends on Choice Sequence in Rhesus Monkeys.

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  3 in total

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