| Literature DB >> 22844347 |
G Chowell1, A Ayala, V Berisha, C Viboud, M Schumacher.
Abstract
We analyzed individual-level data on pandemic influenza A/H1N1pdm hospitalizations from the enhanced surveillance system of the Maricopa County Department of Public Health, AZ, USA from April 1st, 2009 to March 31st, 2010. We also assessed the the risk of death among A/H1N1 hospitalizations using multivariate logistic regression. Hospitalization rates were significantly higher among Native Americans (risk ratio (RR) = 6.2; 95% CI: 6.15, 6.21), non-Hispanic Black (RR = 3.84; 95% CI: 3.8, 3.9), and Hispanics (RR = 2.0; 95% CI: 2.0, 2.01) compared to non-Hispanic Whites. Throughout the spring, 59.2% of hospitalized patients received antiviral treatment; the proportion of patients treated increased significantly during the fall to 74.4% (Chi-square test, P < 0.0001). In our best-fit logistic model, the adjusted risk of death among A/H1N1 inpatients was significantly higher during the fall wave (August 16, 2009 to March 31, 2010, OR = 3.94; 95% CI: 1.72, 9.03) compared to the spring wave (April 1, 2009 to August 15, 2009). Moreover, chronic lung disease (OR = 3.5; 95% CI: 1.7, 7.4), cancer within the last 12 months (OR = 4.3; 95%CI: 1.3, 14.8), immuno-suppression (OR = 4.0; 95% CI: 1.84, 8.9), and admission delays (OR = 4.6; 95% CI: 2.2, 9.5) were significantly associated with an increased the risk of death among A/H1N1 inpatients.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2012 PMID: 22844347 PMCID: PMC3403350 DOI: 10.1155/2012/914196
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Comput Math Methods Med ISSN: 1748-670X Impact factor: 2.238
Characteristics of A/H1N1 influenza hospitalizations and deaths by pandemic wave, Maricopa County, April 1, 2009 to March 31, 2010.
| Variable | Total | Pandemic wave |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring | Fall | |||
| Age (years) | ||||
| <18 | 246/546 (45.1) | 62/144 (43.1) | 184/402 (45.8) | 0.045 (2) |
| 18–49 | 183/546 (33.5) | 41/144 (26.9) | 142/402 (35.3) | |
| ≥50 | 117/546 (21.4) | 41/144 (28.4) | 76/402 (18.9) | |
| Race/ethnicity | ||||
| Hispanics | 206/546 (37.7) | 60/144 (41.7) | 146/402 (36.3) | 0.54 (5) |
| Whites, non-Hispanic | 207/546 (37.9) | 52/144 (36.1) | 155/402 (38.6) | |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 62/546 (11.4) | 13/144 (9.0) | 49/402 (12.2) | |
| Native American | 34/546 (6.2) | 9/144 (6.2) | 25402 (6.2) | |
| Asian | 5/546 (0.9) | 0/144 (0.0) | 5/402 (1.2) | |
| Other/unknown | 32/546 (5.9) | 10/144 (6.9) | 22/402 (5.5) | |
| Gender | ||||
| Female | 303/546 (55.5) | 80/144 (55.6) | 223/402 (55.5) | 0.99 (1) |
| Male | 243/546 (44.5) | 64/144 (44.4) | 179/402 (44.5) | |
| Patients according to severity | ||||
| ICU | 153/519 (29.5) | 41/140 (29.3) | 112/379 (29.6) | 0.95 (1) |
| Mechanical ventilation | 106/522 (20.3) | 28/144 (19.4) | 78/378 (20.6) | 0.76 (1) |
| Deaths | 77/546 (14.1) | 11/144 (7.6) | 66/402 (16.4) | 0.009 (1) |
Wave 1 (spring) refers to April 1 through August 15, 2009; fall wave refers to August 16, 2009 through March 31, 2010. Data are percentages of cases unless otherwise specified.
aDetermined by the Chi-square test statistic. P values for age and race/ethnicity obtained from group wise comparisons, while P values for gender and severity comparisons correspond to each category.
Figure 1Weekly number of new A/H1N1 influenza inpatients and deaths by date of notification to Maricopa County from April 1, 2009 to March 31, 2010.
Rates of antiviral administration (mean and 95% confidence intervals) among A/H1N1 influenza inpatients by pandemic wave, Maricopa County, April 1, 2009 to March 31, 2010.
| Variable | Total | Pandemic wave |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring | Fall | |||
| Number of patients that received antivirals (% of total A/H1N1 cases) | 361/500 (72.2) | 84/142 (59.2) | 277/358 (74.4) | <0.0001 |
| Race/ethnicity | ||||
| Hispanics | 128/190 (67.4) | 29/60 (48.3) | 99/130 (76.2) | <0.0001 |
| Whites, non-Hispanic | 136/186 (73.1) | 31/51 (60.8) | 105/135 (77.8) | 0.02 |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 46/59 (78.0) | 12/13 (92.3) | 34/46 (73.9) | 0.16 |
| Native American | 24/30 (80.0) | 6/8 (75.0) | 18/22 (81.8) | 0.68 |
| Asian | 4/4 (100) | 0/0 (0.0) | 4/4 (100.0) | N/A |
| Gender | ||||
| Female | 206/280 (73.6) | 49/79 (62.0) | 157/201 (78.1) | 0.006 |
| Male | 155/220 (70.5) | 35/63 (55.6) | 120/157 (76.4) | 0.002 |
| Age (years) | ||||
| <18 | 161/231 (69.7) | 31/61 (50.8) | 130/170 (76.5) | <0.0001 |
| 18–49 | 122/162 (75.3) | 22/40 (55.0) | 100/122 (82.0) | 0.001 |
| ≥50 | 78/107 (72.9) | 31/41 (75.6) | 47/66 (71.2) | 0.62 |
| Patients according to severity | ||||
| ICU | 111/150 (74.0) | 23/41 (56.1) | 88/109 (80.7) | 0.002 |
| Mechanical ventilation | 73/105 (69.5) | 13/28 (46.4) | 60/77 (77.9) | 0.002 |
| Deaths | 43/63 (68.3) | 5/11 (45.5) | 38/52 (73.1) | 0.074 |
Wave 1 (spring) refers to April 1 through August 15, 2009; fall wave refers to August 16, 2009 through March 31, 2010. Data are percentages of cases unless otherwise specified.
aDetermined by the Chi-square test statistic. P values show the univariate comparisons of proportions between spring and fall waves.
Unadjusted case fatality ratios among A/H1N1 influenza inpatients by pandemic wave, Maricopa County, April 1, 2009 through March 31, 2010.
| Variable | Overall hospitalized case fatality ratio | Pandemic wave |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring | Fall | |||
| Total A/H1N1 deaths (% of total A/H1N1 cases) | 65/532 (12.2) | 11/144 (7.6) | 54/388 (13.9) | 0.049 |
| Race/ethnicity | ||||
| Hispanics | 18/202 (8.9) | 5/60 (8.3) | 13/142 (9.2) | 0.85 |
| Whites, non-Hispanic | 36/197 (18.3) | 4/52 (7.7) | 32/145 (22.1) | 0.021 |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 5/62 (8.1) | 2/13 (15.4) | 3/49 (6.1) | 0.31 |
| Native American | 4/34 (11.8) | 0/9 (0.0) | 4/25 (16.0) | 0.20 |
| Asian | 2/5 (40.0) | 0/0 (0.0) | 2/5 (40.0) | N/A |
| Gender | ||||
| Female | 36/297 (12.1) | 5/80 (6.2) | 31/217 (14.3) | 0.060 |
| Male | 29/235 (12.3) | 6/64 (9.4) | 23/171 (13.5) | 0.40 |
| Age (years) | ||||
| <18 | 11/243 (4.5) | 2/62 (3.2) | 9/181 (5.0) | 0.57 |
| 18–49 | 24/175 (13.7) | 3/41 (7.3) | 21/134 (15.7) | 0.17 |
| ≥50 | 30/114 (26.3) | 6/41 (14.6) | 24/73 (32.9) | 0.034 |
Wave 1 (spring) refers to April 1, 2009 through August 15, 2009; fall wave refers to August 16, 2009 through March 31, 2010. Data are percentages of cases unless otherwise specified.
aDetermined by the Chi-square test statistic. P values show the univariate comparisons of proportions between spring and fall waves.
Frequency of risk factors for A/H1N1 inpatients, Maricopa County, April 1, 2009 to March 31, 2010.
| Risk factors | A/H1N1 inpatients | A/H1N1 fatal | A/H1N1 hospitalization versus |
|---|---|---|---|
| A/H1N1 death odds ratio (95% CI)a | |||
| Asthma | 127/449 (28.3) | 16/64 (25.0) | 0.73 (0.32, 1.7) |
| Chronic lung disease | 101/447 (22.6) | 36/65 (55.4) | 3.3 (1.5, 7.5) |
| Cardiac disease | 80/419 (19.1) | 23/65 (35.4) | 1.33 (0.54, 3.3) |
| Metabolic disease | 71/450 (15.8) | 21/65 (32.3) | 3.35 (0.55, 20.5) |
| Diabetes | 61/451 (13.5) | 19/65 (29.2) | 0.3 (0.04, 2.11) |
| Kidney disease | 34/453 (7.5) | 11/64 (17.2) | 0.96 (0.31, 3.01) |
| Cancer last 12 months | 16/455 (3.5) | 13/65 (20.0) | 3.8 (1.01, 14.3) |
| Immune suppression | 93/458 (20.3) | 35/65 (53.8) | 4.6 (2.0, 10.6) |
| Neurological disease | 80/455 (17.6) | 20/65 (30.8) | 1.7 (0.72, 4.1) |
aRisk of death among A/H1N1 inpatients adjusted by age, gender, ethnicity/race, pandemic wave, and antiviral treatment.
Final logistic regression model of risk of death based on A/H1N1 hospitalizations and obtained via backward elimination procedure.
| Risk factors |
| OR (95% CI)a |
|---|---|---|
| Age groups | ||
| <18 y | 0.004 | 0.27 (0.11, 0.66) |
| 18–49 y | 0.83 | 1.1 (0.47, 2.6) |
| ≥50 y | Ref value | 1 |
| Ethnicity/race | ||
| Unknown | 0.99 | 0 |
| Hispanics | 0.24 | 1.65 (0.72, 3.8) |
| Native American | 0.75 | 1.24 (0.33, 4.7) |
| Non-Hispanic black | 0.54 | 0.67 (0.20, 2.4) |
| Asian | 0.008 | 23.3 (2.3, 238.3) |
| Non-Hispanic white | Ref value | 1 |
| Pandemic wave | ||
| Fall wave | 0.001 | 3.94 (1.72, 9.03) |
| Chronic lung disease | 0.001 | 3.5 (1.66, 7.4) |
| Cancer within last 12 months | 0.02 | 4.3 (1.3, 14.8) |
| Immune suppression | 0.001 | 4.0 (1.84, 8.9) |
| Admission delay | <0.001 | 4.6 (2.2, 9.5) |
aRisk of death among A/H1N1 inpatients. The corresponding Hosmer-Lemeshow test statistic for model fit (P = 0.48) and the Cox and Snell R 2 = 0.22.