| Literature DB >> 22829953 |
Shai Pilosof1, Carl W Dick, Carmi Korine, Bruce D Patterson, Boris R Krasnov.
Abstract
Environmental conditions, including anthropogenic disturbance, can significantly alter host and parasite communities. Yet, our current knowledge is based mainly on endoparasites, while ectoparasites remain little studied. We studied the indirect effects of anthropogenic disturbance (human population density) and climate (temperature, precipitation and elevation) on abundance of highly host-specific bat flies in four Neotropical bat species across 43 localities in Venezuela. We formulated a set of 11 a priori hypotheses that included a combination of the two effectors and host species. Statistically, each of these hypotheses was represented by a zero-inflated negative binomial mixture model, allowing us to control for excess zeros in the data. The best model was selected using Akaike's information criteria. Fly abundance was affected by anthropogenic disturbance in Artibeus planirostris, Carollia perspicillata and Pteronotus parnellii, but not Desmodus rotundus. Climate affected fly abundance in all bat species, suggesting mediation of these effects via the host or by direct effects on flies. We conclude that human disturbance may play a role in shaping bat-bat fly interactions. Different processes could determine fly abundance in the different bat species.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2012 PMID: 22829953 PMCID: PMC3400619 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0041487
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Comparison of models used to test the effect of host species, climate and disturbance on fly abundance in four species of bats in the Smithsonian Venezuela Project data set.
| Model ranks | Model structure | K | R2 | AIC | Δ AIC |
|
| 1 | Host*PC1 + Host*PC2 + Host*HPE | 21 | 0.25 | 17180 | 0 | 99.96 |
| 2 | Host*PC1 + Host*PC2 | 17 | 0.247 | 17196 | 16 | 0.04 |
| 3 | Host*PC2 | 13 | 0.229 | 17328 | 148 | 0 |
| 4 | Host*PC1 | 13 | 0.225 | 17356 | 176 | 0 |
| 5 | Host*HPE | 13 | 0.222 | 17378 | 198 | 0 |
| 6b | Host | 9 | 0.211 | 17451 | 271 | 0 |
| 7 | PC1 + PC2 | 8 | 0.079 | 18337 | 1157 | 0 |
| 8 | PC1 | 7 | 0.077 | 18349 | 1169 | 0 |
| 9 | PC2 | 7 | 0.063 | 18435 | 1255 | 0 |
| 10 | HPE | 7 | 0.06 | 18453 | 1273 | 0 |
| 11c | 1 | 3 | 0 | 18806 | 1626 | 0 |
Models are ranked from the most supported (best model) to the least supported according to Akaike information criteria (AIC). Δ AIC – difference in AIC between the current and best model; w i – model probabilities. K – number of parameters in the model. Note that the number of parameters includes k, which is the dispersion parameter of the negative binomial distribution (see Protocol S1 for details). Host – host species; PC1 and PC2 – principal components of the seven environmental variables; HPE – Human population density estimate (see Methods for details).
Global model; b host-species model; c Null model.
Parameter values for the best model (model 1 in Table 1) describing the effects of disturbance and climate on fly abundance per bat host species.
| Parameter | SE | z | P value | |
| COUNT COMPONENT | ||||
| Aj (Intercept) | −0.271 | 0.082 | −3.29 |
|
| Cp (Intercept) | 0.217 | 0.061 | 3.55 |
|
| Dr (Intercept) | 2.084 | 0.070 | 29.81 |
|
| Pp (Intercept) | 1.793 | 0.104 | 17.33 |
|
| Aj HPE | 0.000 | 0.000 | −2.31 |
|
| Cp HPE | 0.004 | 0.002 | 2.38 |
|
| Dr HPE | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.82 | 0.4149 |
| Pp HPE | −0.007 | 0.003 | −2.32 |
|
| Aj PC1 | −0.049 | 0.028 | −1.75 | 0.08 |
| Cp PC1 | 0.168 | 0.019 | 8.87 |
|
| Dr PC1 | 0.131 | 0.033 | 4.02 |
|
| Pp PC1 | 0.280 | 0.046 | 6.11 |
|
| Aj PC2 | −0.141 | 0.035 | −4.03 |
|
| Cp PC2 | −0.266 | 0.028 | −9.43 |
|
| Dr PC2 | 0.218 | 0.052 | 4.21 |
|
| Pp PC2 | 0.005 | 0.057 | 0.09 | 0.93 |
| ZERO COMPONENT | ||||
| Ap (Intercept) | −1.637 | 0.385 | −4.26 |
|
| Cp (Intercept) | −0.582 | 0.141 | −4.12 |
|
| Dr (Intercept) | −1.279 | 0.161 | −7.92 |
|
| Pp (Intercept) | −1.735 | 0.323 | −5.37 |
|
Real values (i.e., not relative to reference level) of the parameters are presented. Ap – Artibeus planirostris; Cp – Carollia perspicillata; Dr – Desmodus rotundus; Pp – Pteronotus parnellii. PC1 and PC2 – principal components of the seven environmental variables; HPE – Human population density estimate (see Methods for details); SE – standard error of parameter estimation. Results in bold significantly differ from zero.
Figure 1Predicted fly abundance.
Fly abundance predicted across the range of human population estimate (HPE) in which (a) Artibeus planirostris (b) Carollia perspicillata and (c) Pteronotus parnellii occurred in the Smithsonian Venezuela Project data set. HPE was estimated as the mean number of inhabitants at a 5 km radius, as extracted from a GIS layer which specifies the number of inhabitants in ∼5 km spatial resolution (see Methods for details). Dashed lines represent the standard error of the mean and are not presented below zero.