Literature DB >> 22664808

Validation of the GRACE score for prognosis in Indian patients with acute coronary syndromes.

Amar R Prabhudesai1, M A Srilakshmi, M J Santosh, Gurappa G Shetty, Kiron Varghese, Chandrakant B Patil, Shamanna S Iyengar.   

Abstract

AIM: To validate the global registry of acute coronary events (GRACE) score in acute coronary syndromes (ACS) patients and study its angiographic correlation. METHODS AND
RESULTS: Two-hundred and thirty-five ACS patients were studied for the combined endpoint of all-cause in-hospital mortality and non-fatal infarction/reinfarction. We tested the predictive accuracy of the composite GRACE score using the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve. Lower systolic blood pressure (SBP) (odds ratio [OR] 7.93, P=0.005), ST-segment deviation (OR 7.79, P=0.02) and cardiac biomarker positivity (OR > 6.52, P=0.01) were significantly associated with events. Serum creatinine > 1.4 mg/dL showed a trend towards statistical significance (OR 4.14, P=0.05), whereas age > 50 years (OR 3.62, P=not significant [NS]) and Killips class 4 (OR 2.71, P=NS) showed good association. The best value for predicting events was a GRACE score of > 217 and these patients were more likely to have double/triple vessel disease (P = 0.0009). The C statistic for the GRACE score was 0.75.
CONCLUSION: Higher GRACE score predicts in-hospital events and more severe angiographic coronary artery disease (CAD).
Copyright © 2012 Cardiological Society of India. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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Year:  2012        PMID: 22664808      PMCID: PMC3861059          DOI: 10.1016/S0019-4832(12)60084-4

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Indian Heart J        ISSN: 0019-4832


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