| Literature DB >> 22270910 |
Courtney Flint1, Hua Qin, Joanna P Ganning.
Abstract
Disturbances by insects have considerable effect on the heterogeneity of forested landscapes in North America. Responding to calls for bringing human dimensions of landscape disturbance and heterogeneity into ecological assessments and management strategies, this paper explores linkages between biophysical, socioeconomic, and perceptual aspects of a mountain pine beetle (MPB) (Dendroctonus ponderosae) outbreak in north central Colorado. Findings are presented from surveys conducted with residents of nine Colorado communities and variations in local perceptions of MPB risks and forest management attitudes are compared to indices of tree mortality and amenity characteristics. Findings suggest respondents from lower amenity communities with more recent emphasis on resource extraction and higher tree mortality had significantly higher risk perceptions of some MPB impacts, lower trust in federal forest management, and higher faith in forest industry and specific industry options than those from higher amenity communities with less tree mortality. While not implying these contextual influences fully explain such perceptual dimensions, this paper explores possible implications of heterogeneity across human landscapes for improving the saliency and efficiency of regional forest management and planning.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2012 PMID: 22270910 PMCID: PMC3360142 DOI: 10.1007/s00267-011-9802-5
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Environ Manage ISSN: 0364-152X Impact factor: 3.266
Fig. 1Map of north central Colorado and study communities. Reprinted with kind permission from Springer Science+Business Media: Qin and Flint (2010, Fig. 2)
Employment in two sectors for study communities in 2000 and current or previous employment in agriculture or forestry by survey respondents
| Study community | Employment in Ag, forestry, fishing, hunting & mining in 2000 (%)a | 2000 Employment in arts, entertainment, recreation, accommodation and food services (%)a | Current or previous employment in agriculture or forestry among survey respondents in 2007 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Granby | 3.7 | 16.6 | 36.4 |
| Kremmling | 9.7 | 8.9 | 55.2 |
| Walden | 10.7 | 3.3 | 69.5 |
| Silverthorne | 2.3 | 22.3 | 18.4 |
| Vail | 0.2 | 37.4 | 22.0 |
| Frisco | 0.0 | 31.7 | 21.8 |
| Dillon | 0.8 | 25.7 | 22.0 |
| Breckenridge | 0.3 | 44.5 | 17.1 |
| Steamboat Springs | 3.2 | 20.7 | 26.1 |
aUS Bureau of the Census (2000)
Fig. 2Percentage of forests damaged by insects (15-mile radius) and amenity index scores for study communities
Factor analysis for risk perception variables (using principal components extraction and varimax rotation)
| Variables | Factor loadings |
|---|---|
| Forest fire | .638 |
| Falling trees | .673 |
| Decline in wildlife habitat | .723 |
| Impact on livestock grazing | .562 |
| Increased erosion and runoff | .728 |
| Invasive plant species | .645 |
| Loss of forests as an economic resource | .728 |
| Loss of scenic/aesthetic quality | .729 |
| Loss of tourism and recreation opportunities | .731 |
| Loss of community identity tied to the forest | .761 |
| Impact on property values | .722 |
| Eigenvalue | 5.336 |
| Percent of variance explained | 48.5% |
| Cronbach’s alpha for composite index variable | .891 |
Factor analysis for forest management attitudes (using principal components extraction and varimax rotation)
| Variables | Factor loadings | |
|---|---|---|
| Faith in forest industry | Trust in forest management | |
| Forests should be managed to meet as many human needs as possible | .603 | |
| Forests should have the right to exist for their own sake, regardless of human concerns and uses | −.690 | |
| Forests should be left to grow, develop, and succumb to natural forces without being managed by humans | −.654 | |
| Forests that are not used for the benefit of humans are a waste of our natural resources | .673 | |
| The present rate of logging is too great to sustain our forest in the future | −.715 | |
| The economic benefits from logging usually outweigh any negative consequences | .718 | |
| Forestry practices generally produce few long-term negative effects on the environment | .636 | |
| Forests are being managed successfully for a wide range of uses and values, not just timber | .752 | |
| Forest management does a good job of including environmental concerns | .773 | |
| Citizens in Colorado communities have enough say in forest management | .659 | |
| Forests are being managed successfully for the benefit of future generations | .814 | |
| I have confidence in the US Forest Service to manage forests in Colorado | .874 | |
| The US Forest Service shares my values about how Colorado forests should be managed | .840 | |
| Eigenvalue | 4.077 | 2.997 |
| Percent of variance explained | 31.4% | 23.1% |
| Cronbach’s alpha for composite index variable | .794 | .881 |
Factor analysis for satisfaction with forest management (using principal components extraction and varimax rotation)
| Variables | Factor loadings | |
|---|---|---|
| Local land management | Government land managers | |
| Private individuals and landowners | .721 | |
| Local fire departments | .550 | |
| Private logging companies | .686 | |
| Developers | .717 | |
| Homeowner associations | .699 | |
| City government | .598 | |
| County Government | .676 | |
| Colorado State Forest Service | .883 | |
| Bureau of Land Management | .890 | |
| US Forest Service | .861 | |
| Eigenvalue | 3.760 | 2.107 |
| Percent of variance explained | 37.6% | 21.1% |
| Cronbach’s alpha for composite index variable | .732 | .865 |
Perceived tree mortality versus measured tree mortality
| Study community | Perceived | Measured | Predicted perceived tree mortalityc | Residualsd |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tree mortality (mean)a | Tree mortality (%)b | |||
| Granby | 3.78 | 41.0 | 3.15 | 0.63 |
| Kremmling | 3.52 | 45.2 | 3.21 | 0.31 |
| Walden | 3.41 | 83.4 | 3.73 | −0.32 |
| Silverthorne | 3.06 | 25.4 | 2.94 | 0.12 |
| Vail | 3.06 | 21.2 | 2.88 | 0.18 |
| Frisco | 3.03 | 23.8 | 2.92 | 0.11 |
| Dillon | 2.89 | 25.2 | 2.94 | −0.05 |
| Breckenridge | 2.49 | 20.8 | 2.88 | −0.39 |
| Steamboat Springs | 2.30 | 22.6 | 2.90 | −0.60 |
aBased on 5-pt scale (1 no pines are dead to 5 all pines are dead)
bWithin a 15-mile radius of each study community
cPredicted values from regression of perceived tree mortality on measured tree mortality; based on 5-pt scale (1 no pines are dead to 5 all pines are dead)
dResiduals of regression of perceived tree mortality on measured tree mortality; calculated as the differences between observed and predicted perceived tree mortalities
Risk perceptions from study communities
| Risk perceptions | Lower tree mortality–higher amenity communities | Higher tree mortality–lower amenity communities | ANOVA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frisco | Breckenridge | Dillon | Silverthorne | Vail | Steamboat Springs | Granby | Kremmling | Walden | ||
| Mean values | Mean values | |||||||||
| Forest firea, b | 4.3GW | 4.3W | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.2GKW | 4.6FS2 | 4.5S2 | 4.6BFS2 | 4.58*** |
| Falling treesa,b | 3.6W | 3.5W | 3.7 | 3.5W | 3.6 | 3.5W | 3.7 | 3.8 | 4.0BFS1S2 | 4.16*** |
| Decline in wildlife habitat | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.9S1 | 3.5DW | 3.8 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 3.9S1 | 2.52* |
| Impact on livestock grazinga,b | 2.3KW | 2.4KW | 2.4KW | 2.4KW | 2.3GKW | 2.7W | 2.8VW | 3.0BDFS1VW | 3.5c | 18.16*** |
| Increased erosion and runoff | 3.8 | 3.6DW | 4.0B | 3.7 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 4.0B | 2.64** |
| Invasive plant species | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 1.92 |
| Loss of forests as an economic resourcea(b) | 3.3KW | 3.3KW | 3.6W | 3.4W | 3.3KW | 3.3KW | 3.7W | 3.8BFS1VW | 4.3c | 14.83*** |
| Loss of scenic/aesthetic quality | 4.3 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 1.74 |
| Loss of tourism/recreation | 3.6 | 3.6S2 | 3.7S2 | 3.5W | 3.7S2 | 3.1BDVW | 3.5W | 3.3W | 3.9GKS1S2 | 5.94*** |
| Loss of community identity | 3.5 | 3.6 | 3.7S2 | 3.6S2 | 3.7KS2 | 3.1DS1VW | 3.4W | 3.2VW | 3.9GKS2 | 5.83*** |
| Impact on property valuesa | 3.5W | 3.6S2 | 3.9S2 | 3.6S2 | 3.6 | 3.1BDGKS1W | 3.8S2 | 3.7S2 | 4.0FS2 | 6.69*** |
Means based on 5-pt scale (1 not concerned to 5 extremely concerned). Any superscript codes identified indicates a significant difference between the two communities using post hoc Tukey’s test. Codes for communities: B Breckenridge, D Dillon, F Frisco, S1 Silverthorne, S2 Steamboat Springs, V Vail, G Granby, K Kremmling, W Walden
aSpearman correlation with the biophysical vulnerability indicator is significant at the .05 level ((a)marginally significant at the .1 level)
bSpearman correlation with the amenity index is significant at the .05 level ((b)marginally significant at the .1 level)
cSignificantly different from all other communities
dF-scores obtained using a one-factor ANOVA
* P < .05
** P < .01
*** P < .001
A multilevel regression model of risk perception for the aggregate survey data
| Variables | Estimates of fixed effects |
|---|---|
| Community biophysical indicator | .913* |
| Community amenity index | .237* |
| Age | .002 |
| Gender | .283*** |
| Years lived in community | .000 |
| Household income | .015 |
| Educational attainment | −.030 |
| Perceived tree mortality | .111*** |
| Satisfaction with local land managers | −.016 |
| Satisfaction with government land managers | −.061(*) |
| Faith in forest industry | .097** |
| Trust in forest management | −.106** |
| Personal experience with emergencies | .031 |
(*) P < .10
* P < .05
** P < .01
*** P < .001
Community attitudes regarding forest management and industry
| Attitudes | Lower tree mortality–higher amenity communities | Higher tree mortality–lower amenity communities | ANOVA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frisco | Breckenridge | Dillon | Silverthorne | Vail | Steamboat Springs | Granby | Kremmling | Walden | ||
| Mean values | Mean values | |||||||||
| Faith in Forest Industrya,b | 2.5GKW | 2.5GKW | 2.5GKW | 2.6GKW | 2.5GKW | 2.5GKW | 2.9c W | 3.1c W | 3.6c GK | 49.66*** |
| Trust in Forest Managementa | 2.9DGKW | 2.7KW | 2.5FS2VW | 2.7KW | 2.8DGKW | 3.0DGKW | 2.5FS2VW | 2.3BFS1S2V | 2.0c G | 21.34*** |
| Forest industry options | ||||||||||
| Biomass/Biofuels Power Generation(a)(b) | 3.7GW | 3.6W | 3.6W | 3.5W | 3.5W | 3.5W | 3.8FW | 3.6W | 4.3c GK | 10.99*** |
| Large scale timber processinga(b) | 2.2GKW | 2.3GKW | 2.4GKW | 2.4GKW | 2.1GKW | 2.2GKW | 3.4c W | 3.3c W | 4.0c GK | 51.92*** |
| Small scale timber processinga(b) | 3.3GKW | 3.4GKW | 3.4GKW | 3.4GKW | 3.1GKW | 3.3GKW | 4.0c W | 4.2c | 4.4c G | 31.86*** |
| Niche marketinga | 3.7W | 3.7KW | 3.7W | 3.7KW | 3.4GKW | 3.5GKW | 4.0S2V | 4.1BS1S2V | 4.3c | 12.31*** |
Means based on 5-pt scale (1 strongly disagree to 5 strongly agree or 1 strongly oppose to 5 strongly support). Any superscript codes identified indicates a significant difference between the two communities using post hoc Tukey’s test. Codes for communities: B Breckenridge, D Dillon, F Frisco, S1 Silverthorne, S2 Steamboat Springs, V Vail, G Granby, K Kremmling, W Walden
aSpearman correlation with the biophysical vulnerability indicator is significant at the .05 level ((a)marginally significant at the .1 level)
bSpearman correlation with the amenity index is significant at the .05 level ((b)marginally significant at the .1 level)
cSignificantly different from all communities in the lower tree mortality–higher amenity community cluster: Breckenridge, Dillon, Frisco, Silverthorne, Steamboat Springs, and Vail
dF-scores obtained using a one-factor ANOVA
* P < .05
** P < .01
*** P < .001
Satisfaction with land managers from study communities
| Land managers | Lower tree mortality–higher amenity communities | Higher tree mortality–lower amenity communities | ANOVA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frisco | Breckenridge | Dillon | Silverthorne | Vail | Steamboat Springs | Granby | Kremmling | Walden | ||
| Mean values | Mean values | |||||||||
| Local entities | 3.0VW | 2.8W | 2.8W | 2.9VW | 2.6FGKS1W | 2.8W | 3.0VW | 2.9VW | 3.3c GK | 12.98*** |
| Private landowners(a) | 3.1BV | 2.7FW | 2.8W | 2.9W | 2.6FKS2W | 3.0VW | 2.9W | 3.0VW | 3.5d | 10.46*** |
| Local fire departments | 3.4 | 3.2W | 3.2W | 3.3W | 3.1W | 3.3W | 3.3W | 3.2W | 3.7d | 6.24*** |
| Private logging companiesa,b | 2.7GKW | 2.7GKW | 2.7GKW | 2.8GKW | 2.6GKW | 2.8GKW | 3.2c W | 3.5c | 3.8c G | 30.64*** |
| Developersa | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 3.03** |
| Homeowner associations | 3.2KS2V | 3.0 | 2.9 | 3.2GKS2V | 2.6FS1 | 2.7FS1 | 2.8S1 | 2.7FS1 | 2.9 | 5.37*** |
| Government entities | 3.0GKVW | 2.7KW | 2.7KW | 2.7KW | 2.6F | 2.9KW | 2.6F | 2.4BDFS1S2 | 2.4BDFS1S2 | 8.33*** |
| City governmentb | 3.2GKS2VW | 3.0GKVW | 2.9K | 3.0GKVW | 2.6BFS1 | 2.7F | 2.6BFS1 | 2.4BDFS1 | 2.6BFS1 | 10.30*** |
| County governmentb | 3.0GKV | 2.9KV | 2.8 | 2.9KV | 2.4BFS1 | 2.8 | 2.6F | 2.5BFS1 | 2.7 | 4.89*** |
| State Forest Service | 3.0K | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.7S2 | 2.7S2 | 3.1KS1VW | 2.8K | 2.4FGS2 | 2.6S2 | 4.73*** |
| Bureau of Land Managementa | 2.7W | 2.6W | 2.5S2 | 2.5S2 | 2.5 | 2.9DKS1W | 2.6W | 2.4S2 | 2.2BFGS2 | 6.44*** |
| US Forest Service | 2.8KW | 2.5S2W | 2.5S2W | 2.5S2W | 2.6W | 3.0BDGKS1W | 2.6S2W | 2.2FS2W | 1.8c GK | 16.14*** |
Means based on 5-pt scale (1 Very Dissatisfied to 5 Very Satisfied). Any superscript codes identified indicates a significant difference between the two communities using post hoc Tukey’s test. Codes for communities: B Breckenridge, D Dillon, F Frisco, S1 Silverthorne, S2 Steamboat Springs, V Vail, G Granby, K Kremmling, W Walden
aSpearman correlation with the biophysical vulnerability indicator is significant at the .05 level ((a)marginally significant at the .1 level)
bSpearman correlation with the amenity index is significant at the .05 level
cSignificantly different from all communities in the lower tree mortality - higher amenity community cluster: Breckenridge, Dillon, Frisco, Silverthorne, Steamboat Springs, and Vail
dSignificantly different from all other communities but Frisco
eF-scores obtained using a one-factor ANOVA
* P < .05
** P < .01
*** P < .001