Literature DB >> 22079517

On the conjunction fallacy and the meaning of and, yet again: a reply to Hertwig, Benz, and Krauss (2008).

Katya Tentori1, Vincenzo Crupi.   

Abstract

In this paper we question the theoretical tenability of Hertwig, Benz, and Krauss's (2008) (HBK) argument that responses commonly taken as manifestations of the conjunction fallacy should be instead considered as reflecting "reasonable pragmatic and semantic inferences" because the meaning of and does not always coincide with that of the logical operator ∧. We also question the relevance of the experimental evidence that HBK provide in support of their argument as well as their account of the pertinent literature. Finally, we report two novel experiments in which we employed HBK's procedure to control for the interpretation of and. The results obtained overtly contradict HBK's data and claims. We conclude with a discussion on the alleged feebleness of the conjunction fallacy, and suggest directions that future research on this topic might pursue.
Copyright © 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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Year:  2011        PMID: 22079517     DOI: 10.1016/j.cognition.2011.09.002

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Cognition        ISSN: 0010-0277


  7 in total

1.  From is to ought, and back: how normative concerns foster progress in reasoning research.

Authors:  Vincenzo Crupi; Vittorio Girotto
Journal:  Front Psychol       Date:  2014-03-13

2.  Is experiential-intuitive cognitive style more inclined to err on conjunction fallacy than analytical-rational cognitive style?

Authors:  Yong Lu
Journal:  Front Psychol       Date:  2015-02-06

3.  The equiprobability bias from a mathematical and psychological perspective.

Authors:  Nicolas Gauvrit; Kinga Morsanyi
Journal:  Adv Cogn Psychol       Date:  2014-12-31

4.  The Conjunction and Disjunction Fallacies: Explanations of the Linda Problem by the Equate-to-Differentiate Model.

Authors:  Yong Lu
Journal:  Integr Psychol Behav Sci       Date:  2016-09

5.  Is There a Conjunction Fallacy in Legal Probabilistic Decision Making?

Authors:  Bartosz W Wojciechowski; Emmanuel M Pothos
Journal:  Front Psychol       Date:  2018-04-05

6.  Why the Conjunction Effect Is Rarely a Fallacy: How Learning Influences Uncertainty and the Conjunction Rule.

Authors:  Phil Maguire; Philippe Moser; Rebecca Maguire; Mark T Keane
Journal:  Front Psychol       Date:  2018-07-04

7.  Commentary: Extensional Versus Intuitive Reasoning: The Conjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgment.

Authors:  Peter Lewinski
Journal:  Front Psychol       Date:  2015-11-25
  7 in total

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