| Literature DB >> 21885383 |
Karine Laaidi1, Abdelkrim Zeghnoun, Bénédicte Dousset, Philippe Bretin, Stéphanie Vandentorren, Emmanuel Giraudet, Pascal Beaudeau.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Heat waves have a drastic impact on urban populations, which could increase with climate change.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2011 PMID: 21885383 PMCID: PMC3279432 DOI: 10.1289/ehp.1103532
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Environ Health Perspect ISSN: 0091-6765 Impact factor: 9.031
Figure 1Spatial distribution of the geocoded addresses of cases and control in Paris and Val-de-Marne department (black dots) over the NOAA-AVHRR thermal image (channel 4) of 7 August 2003 at 0450 hours UTC. Reproduced from Dousset et al. (2011), with permission from John Wiley & Sons.
Mean air temperature (°C) from meteorological stations in Paris and Val-de-Marne.
| Paris (Montsouris) | Val-de-Marne (Saint Maur) | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June | July | August | June | July | August | |||||||
| Mean minimum temperature | ||||||||||||
| 1974–2003 | 13.55 | 15.56 | 15.62 | 14.08 | 14.76 | 14.62 | ||||||
| 2003 | 17.1 | 16.9 | 18.8 | 16.6 | 16.0 | 17.7 | ||||||
| Mean maximum temperature | ||||||||||||
| 1974–2003 | 22.56 | 24.56 | 25.22 | 25.41 | 26.03 | 26.58 | ||||||
| 2003 | 26.6 | 26.3 | 29.9 | 28.1 | 28.3 | 32.3 | ||||||
Figure 2Median LST infrared images (channel 4) from 4–13 August 2003 averaged over 9 NOAA-AVHRR thermal images between 0100 and 0300 hours (1–3) UTC (A) and averaged over 10 NOAA-AVHRR thermal images between 1200 and 1500 hours (12–15) UTC (B). Reproduced from Dousset et al. (2011), with permission from John Wiley & Sons.
LST distribution for 1–13 August 2003 in Paris and Val-de-Marne, derived from NOAA-AVHRR data.
| No. of observations | Recorded LST (°C) | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minimum | 25th percentile | 50th percentile | 75th percentile | 90th percentile | 95th percentile | Maximum | Mean ± SD | |||||||||||
| Total sample (cases plus controls) | 28,838 | 12.2 | 21.3 | 25.9 | 33.9 | 36.8 | 38.1 | 45.4 | 27.3 ± 7.1 | |||||||||
| Controls | 14,423 | 12.2 | 21.3 | 25.9 | 34.0 | 36.8 | 38.0 | 44.6 | 27.3 ± 7.1 | |||||||||
| Cases | 14,415 | 12.2 | 21.3 | 25.9 | 34.0 | 36.8 | 38.2 | 45.4 | 27.3 ± 7.1 | |||||||||
| Difference in recorded surface temperatures between cases and controls (°C) | 14,220 | –6.09 | –0.43 | 0 | 0.48 | 1.17 | 1.7 | 8.4 | 0.03 ± 1.03 | |||||||||
Figure 3Diurnal cycle of LSTs at the addresses of the 482 cases and controls from 61 NOAA-AVHRR thermal images for 1–13 August 2003.
Results from the conditional logistic regression model for significant surface temperature indicators derived from NOAA-AVHRR data and the Landsat surface temperature indicator.
| Satellite/thermal indicator | Difference in temperature (°C) between cases and controls | OR (95% CI) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landsat | ||||
| Temperature on 9 August at 1017 hours UTC* | 2.13 | 2.98 (1.37, 6.50) | ||
| NOAA | ||||
| 1–13 August | ||||
| Average maximum temperature | 0.97 | 1.29 (0.61, 2.72) | ||
| Average minimum temperature* | 0.41 | 2.17 (1.14, 4.16) | ||
| Average mean temperature** | 0.37 | 1.71 (0.94, 3.11) | ||
| From 2 days before death to the day of death | ||||
| Average maximum temperature | 1.25 | 0.91 (0.56, 1.47) | ||
| Average minimum temperature | 0.68 | 1.40 (0.67, 2.91) | ||
| Average mean temperature | 0.67 | 1.06 (0.60, 1.89) | ||
| From 6 days before death to the day of death | ||||
| Average maximum temperature | 0.92 | 0.93 (0.51, 1.69) | ||
| Average minimum temperature* | 0.51 | 2.24 (1.03, 4.87) | ||
| Average mean temperature | 0.46 | 1.34 (0.71, 2.51) | ||
| The day before death | ||||
| Maximum temperature | 1.51 | 1.05 (0.77, 1.42) | ||
| Minimum temperature | 0.85 | 1.17 (0.70, 1.96) | ||
| Mean temperature | 0.86 | 1.37 (0.86, 2.20) | ||
| The day of death | ||||
| Maximum temperature | 1.62 | 0.87 (0.63, 1.22) | ||
| Minimum temperature | 0.64 | 0.88 (0.52, 1.46) | ||
| Mean temperature | 0.77 | 0.75 (0.52, 1.09) | ||
| Mean temperature amplitude | ||||
| 1–13 August | 0.91 | 0.83 (0.42, 1.62) | ||
| From 2 days before death to the day of death | 1.25 | 0.84 (0.52, 1.36) | ||
| From 6 days before death to the day of death | 0.96 | 0.70 (0.38, 1.29) | ||
| The day before death | 1.72 | 1.02 (0.71, 1.45) | ||
| The day of death | 1.80 | 0.88 (0.61, 1.27) | ||