| Literature DB >> 21552314 |
Yan Feng1, Marc R Gastonguay, Bruce G Pollock, Ellen Frank, Gail H Kepple, Robert R Bies.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Nonadherence is very common among subjects undergoing pharmacotherapy for schizophrenia and depression. This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the ratio of the nonlinear mixed effects pharmacokinetic model predicted concentration to observed drug concentration (ratio of population predicted to observed concentration (Cpred/Cobs) and ratio of individual predicted to observed concentration (Cipred/Cobs) as a measure of erratic drug exposure, driven primarily by variable execution of the dosage regimen and unknown true dosage history.Entities:
Keywords: Medication Event Monitoring System; adherence; dosing history; modeling and simulation
Year: 2011 PMID: 21552314 PMCID: PMC3083985 DOI: 10.2147/NDT.S15921
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Neuropsychiatr Dis Treat ISSN: 1176-6328 Impact factor: 2.570
Categorization of 7-day and 2-day adherence rate
| 1 | >100% | >100% |
| 2 | 85%–100% | 50%–100% |
| 3 | 30%–85% | 0%–50% |
| 4 | 0%–30% | 0% |
| 5 | 0% | NA |
Notes: Adherence rates were categorized given total number of dosing events and frequency of drug administration. Seven-day and 2-day history categories differ due to different numbers of dosage events possible in each time window allowing additional resolution in the 7-day history group.
Abbreviation: NA, not available.
Figure 1Flow chart of simulation and estimation approach under known dosage history and unknown dosage history scenarios.
Abbreviation: MEMS, medication event monitoring system.
Pharmacokinetic parameters for a long half-life drug
| CL (L/h) | 24.5 |
| V2 (L) | 417 |
| Q (L/h) | 35.7 |
| V3 (L) | 541 |
| Ka (/h) | 0.16 |
| ωCL% | 50 |
| ωv2% | 35 |
| ωQ% | 30 |
| ωv3% | 30 |
| σ1% | 30 |
Abbreviations: CL, clearance; V2, volume of distribution of central compartment; V3, volume of distribution of peripheral compartment; Q, intercompartment clearance; ω, coefficient of variation of interindividual variability; σ, coefficient of variation of residual error.
Detailed description of simulation scenarios for a long half-life drug
| Sample size for each simulation replicate | 65 |
| Dose (mg) | Long half-life drug (10) |
| Clinical visit record per subject (n) | 18 (2–43 records) |
| Time of dose administration | Actual: MEMS cap opening time |
| Nominal: 9 pm (normal distribution, SD = 1 hour) | |
| Pharmacokinetic sampling time | Actual: 8 am to 6 pm (uniform distribution) |
| Nominal: Actual sampling time + reported time error (normal distribution, SD = 15 minutes) | |
| Adherence rate (%) | Continuous adherence rate: 7-day and 2-day actual rate |
| Categorical adherence: Adherence rate groups (very high, high, intermediate, low and extremely low) based on weekly and 2-day pattern | |
| Simulation replicates | 100 |
| Simulation conditions | MEMS data (number of doses taken) |
| Actual dosage time and actual pharmacokinetic sampling time | |
| Estimation conditions for known dosage history | Dosing: MEMS dosing (number of doses taken) |
| Actual dosage time and actual sampling time | |
| Estimation conditions for unknown dosing history | 100% adherence rate (all doses taken) |
| Nominal dosage time and reported sampling time |
Abbreviations: SD, standard deviation; MEMS, Medication Event Monitoring System.
Figure 2Box plot of the ratio distribution at each adherence rate condition for a long half-life drug. The box plots represent median (dots), 25th and 75 percentiles of the distribution. Notches show approximate 95% confidence limits for the median. A) Box-plot of the log Cpred:Cobs ratio under known dosage history. B) Box plot of the log Cipred:Cobs ratio under known dosage history. C) Box plot of the log Cpred:Cobs ratio under unknown dosage history. D) Box plot of the log Cipred:Cobs ratio under unknown dosage history.
Abbreviations: Cipred, individual predicted concentration; Cobs, observed concentration.
Figure 3Association between Cipred:Cobs ratio and weekly adherence rate. Dots represented the median values of Cipred:Cobs ratio at each observed adherence rate condition. The line represented the model predicted weekly adherence rate at given Cipred:Cobs ratios. The vertical line represents a Cipred:Cobs ratio = 1 at a 100% weekly adherence rate.
Abbreviations: Cipred, individual predicted concentration; Cobs, observed concentration.
Correct classified 7-day adherence rate using Cipred: Cobs ratio as predictor
| Group 1 | 8014 | 73.82 |
| Group 2 | 45319 | 39.19 |
| Group 3 | 15972 | 36.65 |
| Group 4 | 2733 | 25.72 |
| Group 5 | 1128 | 64.01 |
Notes: Group 1, very high adherence rate condition (>100%); Group 2, high adherence rate condition (85%–100%); Group 3, intermediate adherence rate condition (30%–85%); Group 4, low adherence rate condition (0%–30%); and Group 5, extremely low adherence rate condition (0%).
Abbreviations: Cipred, individual predicted concentration; Cobs, observed concentration.
Correct classified 2-day adherence rates using Cipred: Cobs ratio as predictor
| Group 1 | 8437 | 80.75 |
| Group 2 | 43653 | 44.69 |
| Group 3 | 17396 | 41.25 |
| Group 4 | 3680 | 87.58 |
Notes: Group 1, extremely high adherence rate condition (>100%); Group 2, high adherence rate condition (100%); Group 3, intermediate adherence rate condition (50%); Group 4, extremely low adherence rate condition (0%).
Abbreviations: Cipred, individual predicted concentration; Cobs, observed concentration.