AIM: To investigate the outcomes, as well as risk factors for 6-wk mortality, in patients with early rebleeding after endoscopic variceal band ligation (EVL) for esophageal variceal hemorrhage (EVH). METHODS: Among 817 EVL procedures performed for EVH between January 2007 and December 2008, 128 patients with early rebleeding, defined as rebleeding within 6 wk after EVL, were enrolled for analysis. RESULT: The rate of early rebleeding after EVL for acute EVH was 15.6% (128/817). The 5-d, 6-wk, 3-mo, and 6-mo mortality rates were 7.8%, 38.3%, 55.5%, and 58.6%, respectively, in these early rebleeding patients. The use of beta-blockers, occurrence of hypovolemic shock, and higher model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score at the time of rebleeding were independent predictors for 6-wk mortality. A cut-off value of 21.5 for the MELD score was found with an area under ROC curve of 0.862 (P < 0.001). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were 77.6%, 81%, 71.7%, and 85.3%, respectively. As for the 6-mo survival rate, patients with a MELD score ≥ 21.5 had a significantly lower survival rate than patients with a MELD score < 21.5 (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: This study demonstrated that the MELD score is an easy and powerful predictor for 6-wk mortality and outcomes of patients with early rebleeding after EVL for EVH.
AIM: To investigate the outcomes, as well as risk factors for 6-wk mortality, in patients with early rebleeding after endoscopic variceal band ligation (EVL) for esophageal variceal hemorrhage (EVH). METHODS: Among 817 EVL procedures performed for EVH between January 2007 and December 2008, 128 patients with early rebleeding, defined as rebleeding within 6 wk after EVL, were enrolled for analysis. RESULT: The rate of early rebleeding after EVL for acute EVH was 15.6% (128/817). The 5-d, 6-wk, 3-mo, and 6-mo mortality rates were 7.8%, 38.3%, 55.5%, and 58.6%, respectively, in these early rebleeding patients. The use of beta-blockers, occurrence of hypovolemic shock, and higher model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score at the time of rebleeding were independent predictors for 6-wk mortality. A cut-off value of 21.5 for the MELD score was found with an area under ROC curve of 0.862 (P < 0.001). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were 77.6%, 81%, 71.7%, and 85.3%, respectively. As for the 6-mo survival rate, patients with a MELD score ≥ 21.5 had a significantly lower survival rate than patients with a MELD score < 21.5 (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: This study demonstrated that the MELD score is an easy and powerful predictor for 6-wk mortality and outcomes of patients with early rebleeding after EVL for EVH.
Entities:
Keywords:
Cirrhosis; Esophageal variceal hemorrhage; Model for end-stage liver disease score; Mortality; Rebleeding
Authors: Lucio Amitrano; Maria Anna Guardascione; Raffaele Bennato; Francesco Manguso; Antonio Balzano Journal: J Hepatol Date: 2005-04-07 Impact factor: 25.083
Authors: Javier Fernández; Luis Ruiz del Arbol; Cristina Gómez; Rosa Durandez; Regina Serradilla; Carlos Guarner; Ramón Planas; Vicente Arroyo; Miguel Navasa Journal: Gastroenterology Date: 2006-10 Impact factor: 22.682
Authors: Shivaram P Singh; Manav Wadhawan; Subrat K Acharya; Sawan Bopanna; Kaushal Madan; Manoj K Sahoo; Naresh Bhat; Sri P Misra; Ajay Duseja; Amar Mukund; Anil C Anand; Ashish Goel; Bonthala S Satyaprakash; Joy Varghese; Manas K Panigrahi; Manu Tandan; Mihir K Mohapatra; Pankaj Puri; Pravin M Rathi; Rajkumar P Wadhwa; Sunil Taneja; Varghese Thomas; Vikram Bhatia Journal: Indian J Gastroenterol Date: 2021-12-10