Andrew F Shorr1, Xiaowu Sun2, Richard S Johannes3, Ayla Yaitanes2, Ying P Tabak2. 1. Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Washington Hospital Center, Washington, DC. Electronic address: andrew.shorr@gmail.com. 2. Department of Clinical Research, MedMined Services, CareFusion, Marlborough, MA. 3. Department of Clinical Research, MedMined Services, CareFusion, Marlborough, MA; Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Clinicians lack a validated tool for risk stratification in acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD). We sought to validate the BAP-65 (elevated BUN, altered mental status, pulse > 109 beats/min, age > 65 years) score for this purpose. METHODS: We analyzed 34,699 admissions to 177 US hospitals (2007) with either a principal diagnosis of AECOPD or acute respiratory failure with a secondary diagnosis of AECOPD. Hospital mortality and need for mechanical ventilation (MV) served as co-primary end points. Length of stay (LOS) and costs represented secondary end points. We assessed the accuracy of BAP-65 via the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). RESULTS: Nearly 4% of subjects died while hospitalized and approximately 9% required MV. Mortality increased with increasing BAP-65 class, ranging from < 1% in subjects in class I (score of 0) to > 25% in those meeting all BAP-65 criteria (Cochran-Armitage trend test z = -38.48, P < .001). The need for MV also increased with escalating score (2% in the lowest risk cohort vs 55% in the highest risk group, Cochran-Armitage trend test z = -58.89, P < .001). The AUROC for BAP-65 for hospital mortality and/or need for MV measured 0.79 (95% CI, 0.78-0.80). The median LOS was 4 days, and mean hospital costs equaled $5,357. These also varied linearly with increasing BAP-65 score. CONCLUSIONS: The BAP-65 system captures severity of illness and represents a simple tool to categorize patients with AECOPD as to their risk for adverse outcomes. BAP-65 also correlates with measures of resource use. BAP-65 may represent a useful adjunct in the initial assessment of AECOPDs.
BACKGROUND: Clinicians lack a validated tool for risk stratification in acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD). We sought to validate the BAP-65 (elevated BUN, altered mental status, pulse > 109 beats/min, age > 65 years) score for this purpose. METHODS: We analyzed 34,699 admissions to 177 US hospitals (2007) with either a principal diagnosis of AECOPD or acute respiratory failure with a secondary diagnosis of AECOPD. Hospital mortality and need for mechanical ventilation (MV) served as co-primary end points. Length of stay (LOS) and costs represented secondary end points. We assessed the accuracy of BAP-65 via the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). RESULTS: Nearly 4% of subjects died while hospitalized and approximately 9% required MV. Mortality increased with increasing BAP-65 class, ranging from < 1% in subjects in class I (score of 0) to > 25% in those meeting all BAP-65 criteria (Cochran-Armitage trend test z = -38.48, P < .001). The need for MV also increased with escalating score (2% in the lowest risk cohort vs 55% in the highest risk group, Cochran-Armitage trend test z = -58.89, P < .001). The AUROC for BAP-65 for hospital mortality and/or need for MV measured 0.79 (95% CI, 0.78-0.80). The median LOS was 4 days, and mean hospital costs equaled $5,357. These also varied linearly with increasing BAP-65 score. CONCLUSIONS: The BAP-65 system captures severity of illness and represents a simple tool to categorize patients with AECOPD as to their risk for adverse outcomes. BAP-65 also correlates with measures of resource use. BAP-65 may represent a useful adjunct in the initial assessment of AECOPDs.
Authors: Dheeraj Gupta; Ritesh Agarwal; Ashutosh Nath Aggarwal; V N Maturu; Sahajal Dhooria; K T Prasad; Inderpaul S Sehgal; Lakshmikant B Yenge; Aditya Jindal; Navneet Singh; A G Ghoshal; G C Khilnani; J K Samaria; S N Gaur; D Behera Journal: Lung India Date: 2013-07
Authors: Paul Leong; Anne Tran; Jhanavi Rangaswamy; Laurence E Ruane; Michael W Fernando; Martin I MacDonald; Kenneth K Lau; Philip G Bardin Journal: Respir Res Date: 2017-08-25
Authors: C Echevarria; J Steer; K Heslop-Marshall; S C Stenton; P M Hickey; R Hughes; M Wijesinghe; R N Harrison; N Steen; A J Simpson; G J Gibson; S C Bourke Journal: Thorax Date: 2016-02 Impact factor: 9.139