| Literature DB >> 21483718 |
Stefan Flasche1, Albert Jan Van Hoek, Elizabeth Sheasby, Pauline Waight, Nick Andrews, Carmen Sheppard, Robert George, Elizabeth Miller.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: We investigated the effect of the 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) programme in England on serotype-specific carriage and invasive disease to help understand its role in serotype replacement and predict the impact of higher valency vaccines. METHODS ANDEntities:
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2011 PMID: 21483718 PMCID: PMC3071372 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001017
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS Med ISSN: 1549-1277 Impact factor: 11.069
Overview of numbers of participants recruited, their demographic features, and household structures in the 2001/2002 and 2008/2009 carriage studies.
| Participants, Demographics, and Household Structures | 2001/2002 | 2008/2009 |
|
| 488 | 382 |
|
| 3,868 | 382 |
|
| 180 (37) | 192 (50) |
|
| 71 (15) | 57 (15) |
|
| 237 (49) | 133 (35) |
|
| 53.0% | 56.4% |
|
| 121 | 146 |
| Median HH size (range) | 4 (2–7) | 4 (3–7) |
| Median | 2 (1–5) | 2 (1–5) |
| Median | 1 (1–3) | 2 (1–4) |
| Proportion of smoke-free HH | 66.9% | 81.0% |
HH, household.
Number of positive VT, NVT, and All (including nontypeable) carriage isolates in 2008/2009.
| Age | Cases | NVT | VT | All |
| <5 y | Cases 2008/2009
( | 87 | 7 | 98 |
| Proportion 2008/2009 | 45.3% (38.5–52.6) | 3.6% (1.0–6.2) | 51.0% (43.8–58.3) | |
| Proportion 2001/2002 | 15.3% (12.7–18.3) | 31.9% (28.1–36.1) | 48.4% (44.1–52.7) | |
| 5–20 y | Cases 2008/2009
( | 15 | 0 | 16 |
| Proportion 2008/2009 | 26.3% (15.8–38.6) | 0% (0–6.4) | 28.1% (17.5–40.4) | |
| Proportion 2001/2002 | 9.1% (6.3–12.8) | 9.9% (7.3–13.3) | 20.6% (16.1–26.1) | |
| >20 y | Cases 2008/2009
( | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| Proportion 2008/2009 | 7.5% (3–12) | 2.3% (0–5.3) | 9.8% (5.3–15) | |
| Proportion 2001/2002 | 3.3% (2.4–4.8) | 4.1% (3.0–5.5) | 7.6% (6.2–9.5) | |
| All | Cases 2008/2009
( | 112 | 10 | 127 |
| Proportion 2008/2009 | 29.3% (24.9–34) | 2.6% (1–4.5) | 31.9% (27.2–36.6) | |
| Proportion 2001/2002 | 8.5% (7.2–9.9) | 15.2% (13.2–17.4) | 24.4% (21.9–27.1) |
The proportion for 2001/2002 was calculated accounting for multiple testing of the participants.
Odds ratios for comparing 2001/2002 to 2008/2009 carriage using GEE.
| Participants | <5 y | >5 y | All | |||
| VT | 0.06 (0.03–0.16) | abg | 0.31 (0.04–2.49) | a | 0.07 (0.03–0.16) | aeg |
| NVT | 4.25 (2.81–6.43) | c | 5.16 (1.95–13.66) | ag | 4.40 (3.06–6.33) | ag |
| All | 1.03 (0.70–1.51) | ab | 2.46 (1.04–5.83) | a | 1.06 (0.76–1.49) | ab |
Key for significant fixed effects: a, age; b, antibiotic treatment; c, smoking; d, gender; e, adults in household; f, children in household; g, study period.
Significance codes:
*≤0.05;
**≤0.01;
***≤0.001.
Figure 1Top: Comparison in ranked-serotype distribution prior to vaccination in children in Massachusetts to our findings in children (left) and adults (right).
For comparison with the findings with Hanage and colleagues, we aggregate 6A and 6C to 6A/C and 15B and 15C to 15B/C. Bottom: Changes in ranked serotype distribution in overall carriage in our findings from 2001/2002 to 2008/2009.
Carriage prevalence and IPD incidence in participants less than 60 y caused by serotypes included in PCV7, in PCV10 and not in PCV7, in PCV13 and not in PCV10, and the remaining serotypes.
| Serotypes | 2008/2009 | 2001/2002 | ||||
| Carriage | Percent | Percent in IPD | Carriage | Percent | Percent in IPD | |
| PCV7 | 11 | (8.7) | 15.2 | 605 | (62.2) | 55.9 |
| +PCV10 | 6 | (4.7) | 32.6 | 2 | (0.2) | 10.2 |
| +PCV13 | 18 | (14.2) | 15.8 | 155 | (15.9) | 8.9 |
| Rest | 92 | (72.4) | 36.4 | 210 | (21.7) | 25.0 |
Figure 2Age-stratified serotype distribution in carriage in 2008/2009 (below, Table S2) and CCR estimated from 2008/2009 carriage and IPD data (above, Table S1).
The colour code for the CCR represents that the corresponding serotype is included in PCV7 (green), PCV10 (light blue), PCV13 (dark blue), or is a NVT (red). The dotted line corresponds to the mean CCR for these types. Serotypes 11C, 33A, 16A, 17A, and 28F, although detected in carriage were not found among disease isolates in 2008/2009.