| Literature DB >> 21239522 |
Anne C Spaulding1, Ryan M Seals, Victoria A McCallum, Sebastian D Perez, Amanda K Brzozowski, N Kyle Steenland.
Abstract
The life expectancy of persons cycling through the prison system is unknown. The authors sought to determine the 15.5-year survival of 23,510 persons imprisoned in the state of Georgia on June 30, 1991. After linking prison and mortality records, they calculated standardized mortality ratios (SMRs). The cohort experienced 2,650 deaths during follow-up, which were 799 more than expected (SMR = 1.43, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.38, 1.49). Mortality during incarceration was low (SMR = 0.85, 95% CI: 0.77, 0.94), while postrelease mortality was high (SMR = 1.54, 95% CI: 1.48, 1.61). SMRs varied by race, with black men exhibiting lower relative mortality than white men. Black men were the only demographic subgroup to experience significantly lower mortality while incarcerated (SMR = 0.66, 95% CI: 0.58, 0.76), while white men experienced elevated mortality while incarcerated (SMR = 1.28, 95% CI: 1.10, 1.48). Four causes of death (homicide, transportation, accidental poisoning, and suicide) accounted for 74% of the decreased mortality during incarceration, while 6 causes (human immunodeficiency virus infection, cancer, cirrhosis, homicide, transportation, and accidental poisoning) accounted for 62% of the excess mortality following release. Adjustment for compassionate releases eliminated the protective effect of incarceration on mortality. These results suggest that the low mortality inside prisons can be explained by the rarity of deaths unlikely to occur in the context of incarceration and compassionate releases of moribund patients.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2011 PMID: 21239522 PMCID: PMC3044840 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwq422
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Am J Epidemiol ISSN: 0002-9262 Impact factor: 4.897
Figure 1.Several possible incarceration histories in a study of incarceration and health status, with the sole inclusion criterion being incarceration at the start of the study, Georgia, 1991–2006.
Selected Demographic Characteristics of a Prisoner Cohort, Georgia, 1991–2006
| Characteristic | No. | % |
| Sex-race group | ||
| Black men | 14,714 | 63 |
| Nonblack men | 7,494 | 32 |
| Black women | 829 | 4 |
| Nonblack women | 473 | 2 |
| No prior incarcerations at study start | 12,090 | 51 |
| HIV status during observation period | ||
| Ever HIV-positive | 973 | 4 |
| Always HIV-negative | 21,839 | 93 |
| Indeterminate result or missing data | 698 | 3 |
| HIV seroconversion during study period | 92 | |
| No. of releases during study period | ||
| 0 | 2,316 | 10 |
| 1 | 15,407 | 66 |
| 2 | 3,129 | 13 |
| 3 | 1,599 | 7 |
| ≥4 | 1,059 | 5 |
| Mean age (SD) on June 30, 1991, years | 24 (9) |
Abbreviations: HIV, human immunodeficiency virus; SD, standard deviation.
Figure 2.Observed and expected mortality in a prisoner cohort, Georgia, 1991–2006.
Numbers of Expected and Observed Deaths and Standardized Mortality Ratios in a Prisoner Cohort and Its Demographic Subgroups, Georgia, 1991–2006a
| In Prison | Out of Prison | Overall | ||||||||||
| Obs | Exp | SMR | 95% CI | Obs | Exp | SMR | 95% CI | Obs | Exp | SMR | 95% CI | |
| Total | 406 | 475 | 0.85 | 0.77, 0.94 | 2,244 | 1,453 | 1.54 | 1.48, 1.61 | 2,650 | 1,851 | 1.43 | 1.38, 1.49 |
| Sex | ||||||||||||
| Male | 397 | 466 | 0.85 | 0.77, 0.94 | 2,121 | 1,405 | 1.51 | 1.45, 1.58 | 1,795 | 2,518 | 1.40 | 1.35, 1.46 |
| Female | 9 | 9 | 1.03 | 0.47, 1.95 | 123 | 48 | 2.56 | 2.13, 3.06 | 132 | 56 | 2.36 | 1.97, 2.79 |
| Race | ||||||||||||
| Black | 221 | 329 | 0.67 | 0.59, 0.77 | 1,388 | 1,049 | 1.32 | 1.25, 1.40 | 1,609 | 1,332 | 1.21 | 1.15, 1.27 |
| Nonblack | 185 | 146 | 1.27 | 1.09, 1.47 | 856 | 404 | 2.12 | 1.98, 2.26 | 1,041 | 519 | 2.01 | 1.89, 2.13 |
| Age group, years | ||||||||||||
| <65 | 373 | 446 | 0.84 | 0.75, 0.93 | 2,183 | 1,357 | 1.61 | 1.54, 1.68 | 2,556 | 1,758 | 1.45 | 1.40, 1.51 |
| ≥65 | 33 | 29 | 1.13 | 0.78, 1.58 | 61 | 96 | 0.63 | 0.48, 0.81 | 94 | 93 | 1.01 | 0.82, 1.24 |
| Educational level | ||||||||||||
| Less than high school diploma | 234 | 278 | 0.84 | 0.74, 0.96 | 1,310 | 878 | 1.49 | 1.41, 1.57 | 1,544 | 1,102 | 1.40 | 1.33, 1.47 |
| High school diploma or more | 149 | 178 | 0.84 | 0.71, 0.98 | 821 | 511 | 1.61 | 1.50, 1.72 | 970 | 668 | 1.45 | 1.36, 1.55 |
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; Exp, expected no. of deaths; Obs, observed no. of deaths; SMR, standardized mortality ratio.
Because of rounding and missing values, numbers of expected deaths may not add up to totals.
Numbers of Expected and Observed Deaths and Standardized Mortality Ratios in a Prisoner Cohort, by Sex-Race Group, Georgia, 1991–2006a
| Sex-Race Group | In Prison | Out of Prison | Overall | |||||||||
| Obs | Exp | SMR | 95% CI | Obs | Exp | SMR | 95% CI | Obs | Exp | SMR | 95% CI | |
| Men | ||||||||||||
| Black | 215 | 324 | 0.66 | 0.58, 0.76 | 1,309 | 1,013 | 1.29 | 1.22, 1.36 | 1,524 | 1,292 | 1.18 | 1.12, 1.24 |
| Nonblack | 182 | 142 | 1.28 | 1.10, 1.48 | 812 | 392 | 2.07 | 1.93, 2.22 | 994 | 503 | 1.98 | 1.86, 2.10 |
| Women | ||||||||||||
| Black | 6 | 5 | 1.21 | 0.44, 2.63 | 79 | 36 | 2.22 | 1.76, 2.76 | 85 | 40 | 2.13 | 1.70, 2.63 |
| Nonblack | 3 | 4 | 0.79 | 0.16, 2.31 | 44 | 12 | 3.56 | 2.59, 4.78 | 47 | 16 | 2.92 | 2.14, 3.88 |
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; Exp, expected no. of deaths; Obs, observed no. of deaths; SMR, standardized mortality ratio.
Numbers of expected deaths may not add up to total numbers because of rounding.
Standardized Mortality Ratios for Leading Causes of Low Mortality During Incarceration, Georgia, 1991–2006
| Cause of Death | No. of Deaths | Standardized Mortality Ratio | 95% Confidence Interval | % Unexpected Mortality | |
| Observed | Expected | ||||
| Accidental poisoning | 1 | 6 | 0.16 | 0.00, 0.89 | –7 |
| Homicide | 20 | 31 | 0.65 | 0.40, 1.00 | –16 |
| Suicide | 11 | 17 | 0.65 | 0.33, 1.17 | –9 |
| Transportation injuries | 0 | 29 | N/A | N/A | –42 |
| Total | 32 | 83 | 0.39 | 0.27, 0.54 | –74 |
Abbreviation: N/A, not applicable.
There were 69 fewer deaths than expected. The percentage of unexpected mortality was calculated as ([observed − expected]/69) × 100.
Standardized Mortality Ratios for Leading Causes of Excess Mortality Following Release From Prison, Georgia, 1991–2006
| Cause of Death | No. of Deaths | Standardized Mortality Ratio | 95% Confidence Interval | % Excess Mortality | |
| Observed | Expected | ||||
| Accidental poisoning | 80 | 23 | 3.48 | 2.76, 4.33 | 7 |
| Cancer | 326 | 268 | 1.22 | 1.09, 1.35 | 7 |
| Cirrhosis and other liver diseases | 52 | 26 | 1.99 | 1.48, 2.60 | 3 |
| Homicide | 215 | 76 | 2.84 | 2.47, 3.24 | 18 |
| Human immunodeficiency virus | 313 | 156 | 2.00 | 1.78, 2.23 | 20 |
| Transportation injuries | 140 | 86 | 1.63 | 1.37, 1.92 | 7 |
| Total | 1,126 | 635 | 1.77 | 1.67, 1.88 | 62 |
There were 791 excess deaths following release. The percentage of excess mortality was calculated as ([observed − expected]/791) × 100.