| Literature DB >> 21122214 |
Benoit Durand1, Gina Zanella, Fabienne Biteau-Coroller, Caroline Locatelli, Florence Baurier, Cecile Simon, Eric Le Dréan, José Delaval, Eric Prengère, Véronique Beauté, Hélène Guis.
Abstract
The introduction of bluetongue virus serotype 8 into northern Europe at the end of summer 2006 initiated one of the most widespread epizootics of bluetongue infection ever to occur. In winter 2007-2008, a cross-sectional serologic study was conducted in France along a transect perpendicular to the epizootic wave. Cattle herd-level seroprevalence varied from 4% to 100%, and animal-level seroprevalence from <1% to 40%. Only a low proportion of seropositive herds reported clinical cases in 2007. Sheep flocks were less frequently affected than cattle herds. The local occurrence of clinical cases and environmental indicators linked to forests were seropositivity risk factors, whereas the local density of cows had a protective effect. Overall results suggest that amplification of virus circulation in affected herds played a limited role in the epizootic wave diffusion and that bluetongue virus serotype 8 circulation in natural ecosystems could have played a substantial role in this progression.Entities:
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Year: 2010 PMID: 21122214 PMCID: PMC3294545 DOI: 10.3201/eid1612.100412
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Emerg Infect Dis ISSN: 1080-6040 Impact factor: 6.883
VideoMovement of bluetongue virus in France, 2007–2009. A serotype 8 epizootic wave originated in northern France and progressed southward during 2007–2009; a serotype 1 epizootic wave began in southern France in 2007 and progressed northward during 2008–2009.
Figure 1Locations included in a serologic study of the 2007 epizootic wave of bluetongue virus serotype 8 (BTV-8) among cattle herds in France. Black lines indicate the 7 departments included in the study: 6 departments aligned on an east–west transect (codes 18, 41, 36, 37, 49, and 35); and the first department to report BTV-8 infection in 2006 (code 08). Dots represent locations of BTV-8 outbreaks during 2007.
Herd-level anti–bluetongue virus serotype 8 seroprevalence rate and clinical expression of bluetongue disease in 7 departments, France, winter 2007–2008*
| Species | Department code | No. positive†/no. tested | Herd-level seroprevalence (95% CI‡) | No. outbreaks§ | Reporting rate¶ (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cattle | 08 | 63/63 | 1.00 (0.94–1.00) | 37 | 0.59 (0.46–0.71) |
| 18 | 49/49 | 1.00 (0.93–1.00) | 4 | 0.08 (0.02–0.20) | |
| 41 | 42/50 | 0.84 (0.71–0.93) | 3 | 0.07 (0.01–0.19) | |
| 36 | 29/48 | 0.60 (0.45–0.74) | 1 | 0.03 (0.00–0.18) | |
| 37 | 31/50 | 0.62 (0.47–0.75) | 0 | 0.00 (0.00–0.11) | |
| 49 | 1/50 | 0.02 (0.00–0.11) | 0 | 0.00 (0.00–0.98) | |
|
| 35 | 2/50 | 0.04 (0.00–0.14) | 0 | 0.00 (0.00–0.84) |
| Sheep | 08 | 42/44 | 0.95 (0.85–0.99) | 23 | 0.55 (0.39–0.70) |
| 18 | 14/59 | 0.24 (0.14–0.37) | 2 | 0.14 (0.02–0.43) | |
| 36 | 0/4 | 0.00 (0.00–0.60) | NA | NA | |
| 35 | 0/50 | 0.00 (0.00–0.07) | NA | NA |
*CI, confidence interval; NA, no seropositive flock. †No. seropositive herds: >1positive result among tested serum samples. ‡Exact binomial 95% CI. §No. seropositive herds with reported confirmed clinical disease in 2007. ¶Proportion of seropositive herds with reported confirmed clinical cases in 2007.
Animal-level anti–bluetongue virus serotype 8 seroprevalence rate and distribution of within-herd seroprevalence rates in seropositive herds or flocks of 7 departments, France, winter 2007–2008*
| Species | Department code | No. positive/no. tested | Animal-level seroprevalence (95% CI†) | Median within-herd seroprevalence in seropositive herds (25%–75% quartiles) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cattle | 08 | 1,563/1,573 | 0.99 (0.99–1.00) | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) |
| 18 | 642/1,530 | 0.42 (0.39–0.44) | 0.40 (0.23–0.57) | |
| 41 | 203/1,500 | 0.16 (0.14–0.17) | 0.15 (0.07–0.27) | |
| 36 | 103/1,470 | 0.07 (0.06–0.08) | 0.10 (0.07–0.17) | |
| 37 | 103/1,500 | 0.07 (0.06–0.08) | 0.10 (0.05–0.13) | |
| 49 | 1/1,410 | 0.001 (0.000–0.003) | 0.03‡ | |
|
| 35 | 2/905 | 0.002 (0.000–0.007) | 0.03§ |
| Sheep | 08 | 478/833 | 0.57 (0.54–0.61) | 0.70 (0.43–0.87) |
| 18 | 19/874 | 0.02 (0.01–0.03) | 0.08 (0.06–0.10) | |
| 36 | 0/326 | 0.00 (0.00–0.01) | NA | |
| 35 | 0/432 | 0.00 (0.00–0.01) | NA |
*CI, confidence interval; NA, no seropositive flock. †Exact binomial 95% CI. ‡ A single seropositive herd. §Two seropositive herds or flocks with the same within-herd seroprevalence.
Land cover repartition in municipalities with at least 1 herd tested, in 6 French departments aligned on an east–west transect*
| ID | Land cover classes | CLC classes | Department† | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 41 | 36 | 37 | 49 | 35 | |||
| C1 | Artificial surfaces | 111–142‡ | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| C2 | Arable land | 211–213 | 0.33 | 0.51 | 0.24 | 0.46 | 0.45 | 0.33 |
| C3 | Permanent crops | 221–223 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.00 |
| C4 | Pastures | 231 | 0.40 | 0.08 | 0.39 | 0.15 | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| C5 | Heterogeneous agricultural areas | 241–244 | 0.08 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 0.11 | 0.19 | 0.39 |
| C6 | Forests and semi-natural areas | 311–335 | 0.15 | 0.23 | 0.15 | 0.23 | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| C7 | Inland wetlands and water bodies | 411–412, 511–512 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0 | 0.01 |
| C8 | Marine wetlands and water bodies | 421–423, 521–523 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||
*Source: Coordination de l’Information sur l’Environnment (CORINE) land cover database, 2006 version.; ID, identification code for land-cover class; CLC, CORINE land cover. †Departments: 18, Cher; 41, Loir-et-Cher; 36, Indre; 37, Indre-et-Loire; 49, Maine-et-Loire; 35, Ille-et-Vilaine. ‡Range of CLC classes. Each CLC class is identified by 3 numbers.
Figure 2Results from a serologic study of the 2007 epizootic wave of bluetongue virus serotype 8 (BTV-8) in France among cattle herds from an east–west transect of 6 departments (codes 18, 41, 36, 37, 49 and 35) and from the first department to report BTV-8 infection in 2006 (code 08). Circles, herd-level anti–BTV-8 seroprevalence rate; squares, animal-level seroprevalence rate; triangles, proportion of seropositive herds having reported confirmed clinical cases in 2007; box plots, distribution of within-herd seroprevalence rates. Thick horizontal lines represent the median value of the distribution. Rectangles represent the 25th and 75th percentiles. Error bars represent the maximum and minimum values observed in the distribution.
Logistic model of animal seropositivity in cattle according to the local conditions in 6 departments aligned on an east–west transect, France, winter 2007–2008*
| Variable | Odds ratio | p value |
|---|---|---|
| Department | ||
| 18: Cher | Reference | |
| 41: Loir-et-Cher | 0.21 | <0.0001 |
| 36: Indre | 0.12 | <0.0001 |
| 37: Indre-et-Loire | 0.09 | <0.0001 |
| 49: Maine-et-Loire | 0.002 | 0.0009 |
| 35: Ille-et-Vilaine | 0.007 | 0.0002 |
| Confirmed clinical cases reported in 2007 | 1.49 | 0.01 |
| Spatial density of cows in the municipality | 0.84† | 0.02 |
| Spatial density of sheep flocks in the municipality | NS | 0.15 |
| Edge density between arable land and forests or seminatural areas | 1.66‡ | 0.02 |
| Edge density between pastures and forests or seminatural areas | 2.06‡ | 0.001 |
*NS, not significant. †Change in the odds of seropositivity when spatial density is increased by 10 cows/km2. ‡Change in the odds of seropositivity when edge density is increased by 10 m/ha.