Anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody predicts functional disability in patients with rheumatoid arthritis in a large prospective observational cohort in Japan.

To clarify the clinical significance of anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody (anti-CCP) in the long-term outcome of RA, we established a large observational cohort of RA patients (IORRA) in our institute beginning in 2000. Essentially all RA patients who consulted our institute were registered, and clinical parameters, including disease activity and drug use, were assessed biannually based on patient reports, physician examinations, and laboratory data. In the third phase (October 2001) of the IORRA survey, anti-CCP levels were measured in 1,226 RA patients. In a cross-sectional analysis, clinical variables were compared in anti-CCP-positive versus -negative patients and in RF-positive versus -negative patients. In a longitudinal analysis, subsequent progression of disability was analyzed in anti-CCP-positive versus -negative and in RF-positive versus -negative patients. A verified Japanese version of the Health Assessment Questionnaire (J-HAQ) was used to measure functional disability. In the cross-sectional analysis, anti-CCP-positive patients (84.2%) had a significantly longer disease duration and higher disease activity score and more frequently used corticosteroids and methotrexate compared to anti-CCP-negative patients statistically. Similar phenomena were noted between RF-positive and -negative patients. In contrast, the longitudinal analysis revealed that J-HAQ slopes-a measure of progression of functional disability-were strongly associated with anti-CCP positivity but not with RF positivity. In a linear regression model, J-HAQ scores significantly worsened in anti-CCP-positive patients compared to anti-CCP-negative patients at the third year (annual progression 0.0317, P = 0.001) and the fifth year (annual progression 0.0199, P = 0.0012); however, J-HAQ progression was not influenced by RF status. Anti-CCP is a better predictive and discriminative marker for progression of disability in the long-term outcome of RA patients compared to RF.