Literature DB >> 21059863

Prediction of incident diabetes mellitus by baseline IGF1 levels.

Harald Jörn Schneider1, Nele Friedrich, Jens Klotsche, Sabine Schipf, Matthias Nauck, Henry Völzke, Caroline Sievers, Lars Pieper, Winfried März, Hans-Ulrich Wittchen, Günter Karl Stalla, Henri Wallaschofski.   

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: IGF1 is associated with metabolic parameters and involved in glucose metabolism. Low-IGF1 has been implicated in the etiology of glucose intolerance and subjects with pathological causes of either low- or high-IGF1 are at risk of diabetes. We hypothesized that both low- and high-IGF1 levels increase the risk of diabetes and aimed to assess the role of IGF1 in the risk of developing diabetes in a large prospective study.
DESIGN: An analysis of two prospective cohort studies, the DETECT study and SHIP.
METHODS: We measured IGF1 levels in 7777 nondiabetic subjects and assessed incident diabetes mellitus during follow-up.
RESULTS: There were 464 cases of incident diabetes during 32 229 person-years (time of follow-up in the DETECT study and SHIP: 4.5 and 5 years respectively). There was no heterogeneity between both studies (P > 0.4). The hazard ratios (HRs) of incident diabetes in subjects with IGF1 levels below the 10th or above the 90th age- and sex-specific percentile, compared to subjects with intermediate IGF1 levels, were 1.44 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.07-1.94) and 1.55 (95% CI 1.06-2.06) respectively, after multiple adjustment. After further adjustment for metabolic parameters, the HR for low-IGF1 became insignificant. Analysis of IGF1 quintiles revealed a U-shaped association of IGF1 with risk of diabetes. Results remained similar after exclusion of patients with onset of new diabetes within 1 year or with borderline glucose or HbA1c levels at baseline.
CONCLUSIONS: Subjects with low- or high-IGF1 level are at increased risk of developing diabetes.

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Year:  2010        PMID: 21059863     DOI: 10.1530/EJE-10-0963

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Eur J Endocrinol        ISSN: 0804-4643            Impact factor:   6.664


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