Literature DB >> 21057602

Effective Vaccination Policies.

L Shaw1, W Spears, L Billings, P Maxim.   

Abstract

We present a framework for modeling the spread of pathogens throughout a population and generating policies that minimize the impact of those pathogens on the population. This framework is used to study the spread of human viruses between cities via airplane travel. It combines agent-based simulation, mathematical analysis, and an Evolutionary Algorithm (EA) optimizer. The goal of this study is to develop tools that determine the optimal distribution of a vaccine supply in the model. Using plausible benchmark vaccine allocation policies of uniform and proportional distribution, we compared their effectiveness to policies found by the EA. We then designed and tested a new, more effective policy which increased the importance of vaccinating smaller cities that are flown to more often. This "importance factor" was validated using U.S. influenza data from the last four years.

Entities:  

Year:  2010        PMID: 21057602      PMCID: PMC2967767          DOI: 10.1016/j.ins.2010.06.005

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Inf Sci (N Y)        ISSN: 0020-0255            Impact factor:   6.795


  9 in total

1.  Forecasting the geographical spread of smallpox cases by air travel.

Authors:  R F Grais; J H Ellis; G E Glass
Journal:  Epidemiol Infect       Date:  2003-10       Impact factor: 2.451

2.  Finding optimal vaccination strategies for pandemic influenza using genetic algorithms.

Authors:  Rajan Patel; Ira M Longini; M Elizabeth Halloran
Journal:  J Theor Biol       Date:  2005-01-20       Impact factor: 2.691

3.  Quarantine in a multi-species epidemic model with spatial dynamics.

Authors:  Julien Arino; Richard Jordan; P van den Driessche
Journal:  Math Biosci       Date:  2005-12-15       Impact factor: 2.144

4.  Containing a large bioterrorist smallpox attack: a computer simulation approach.

Authors:  Ira M Longini; M Elizabeth Halloran; Azhar Nizam; Yang Yang; Shufu Xu; Donald S Burke; Derek A T Cummings; Joshua M Epstein
Journal:  Int J Infect Dis       Date:  2006-08-08       Impact factor: 3.623

5.  The role of the airline transportation network in the prediction and predictability of global epidemics.

Authors:  Vittoria Colizza; Alain Barrat; Marc Barthélemy; Alessandro Vespignani
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2006-02-03       Impact factor: 11.205

6.  Spatial heterogeneity in epidemic models.

Authors:  A L Lloyd; R M May
Journal:  J Theor Biol       Date:  1996-03-07       Impact factor: 2.691

7.  Some discrete-time SI, SIR, and SIS epidemic models.

Authors:  L J Allen
Journal:  Math Biosci       Date:  1994-11       Impact factor: 2.144

8.  The modeling of global epidemics: stochastic dynamics and predictability.

Authors:  V Colizza; A Barrat; M Barthélemy; A Vespignani
Journal:  Bull Math Biol       Date:  2006-06-20       Impact factor: 1.758

9.  Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic.

Authors:  Neil M Ferguson; Derek A T Cummings; Christophe Fraser; James C Cajka; Philip C Cooley; Donald S Burke
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2006-04-26       Impact factor: 49.962

  9 in total

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